L12G4Karl7(Axis)v.Gamerman(Allies)+Tech

[gamerman01]

Que - FTR (Z55)
Nte - FTR, BMB (Z42) 3 INF, ART, AA (Sau) INF (Que)
Z97 - TP, CA (Z98)
Gre - INF (Z98) INF (Tob) offload from 97, FTR (TrJ)
Irq - INF (Syr)

Collect 19, 20 on hand

---

Fra5
Z110 - INF (UK) to UK TP
UK - INF (Sco)
TrJ - INF (Egy)
Z97 - DD (Z98)

L12G40Karl7(Axis)v.Gamerman(Allies)5iFra.AAM

[Karl7]

Germany…hmm

[gamerman01]

Eagerly waiting  :-) Actually got caught up on all my games  :-o

[Karl7]

buy
2art
17inf

cm

arch
3inf from nov
ftr,2 tacb from bel
bomber

smo
2inf from bel
ftr, 2tacb from bel
bomber

bry – rest of army from bel moves in

ros
2inf from sukr
ftr, tacb

hol
2inf from wgr
2ftr from wgr

cc

hol
A
Rolls: 2@1 2@3; Total Hits: 12@1: (5, 6)2@3: (2, 5)
D
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (5)

arch
A
Rolls: 3@1 2@3 2@4; Total Hits: 33@1: (4, 2, 2)2@3: (2, 3)2@4: (2, 6)
d
Rolls: 3@2; Total Hits: 23@2: (5, 1, 2)

smo
A
Rolls: 2@1 2@3 2@4; Total Hits: 32@1: (6, 1)2@3: (6, 1)2@4: (6, 3)
D
Rolls: 2@2; Total Hits: 22@2: (2, 1)

bry
A
Rolls: 5@1 10@2 8@3; Total Hits: 55@1: (2, 3, 5, 4, 2)10@2: (1, 6, 3, 6, 5, 4, 5, 4, 2, 6)8@3: (5, 4, 2, 6, 3, 6, 1, 5)
D
Rolls: 3@2; Total Hits: 13@2: (6, 1, 4)

ros
A
Rolls: 2@1 1@3 1@4; Total Hits: 32@1: (6, 1)1@3: (1)1@4: (1)
D
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 11@2: (1)

[Karl7]

got to run… ugh.  will try to finish tonight.

looks like smo will hold

[gamerman01]

Ooo - some defense
I’ll be here when you get back

[gamerman01]

You really shouldn’t run multiple battles at once where retreating is an option….  gives the attacker the unfair advantage of seeing results across battles when you’re supposed to do one at a time  :-)

[Karl7]

Yeah, you have a point re: battle order.  I usually just roll them all at once for ease and save the big ones for play by play.  Let me know if you want battle by battle, and I’ll accommodate. :lol:

so all clear but smo holds empty

ncm

[gamerman01]

It’s just that if you ever retreat, you could be criticized for giving yourself more information…
It hasn’t been a problem this game - I just wanted to give you a friendly reminder that it’s not legal

However, it is a good idea to roll multiple battles together when you have amphibious assaults that you can’t retreat from anyway (if there’s no air) (remember to do all amphibious assaults first) and/or when you have overwhelming force and it’s highly unlikely to go 2 rounds (like moving into Bry this turn).

[gamerman01]

I acknowledge the 10 second timer and making multiple posts is a pain

[Karl7]

ncm
all air in arch, smo and ros to sukr, except ftr from smo to nukr, and bombers to wgr
all units in sukr and nukr to bry
3 arm from epl to bry
3inf from bes move up
inf in epl to bel
inf in fin, vyb, kar move up
3inf in rom to bes
4inf in bul to rom
fleet to 113
army in france to sfr
2inf in wgr to nita
mech from wgr to pol

place
2inf, art in nukr, sukr
10inf in wgr
3inf in rom

[Karl7]

collect

cvd

nor
Rolls: 2@3; Total Hits: 12@3: (4, 3)

yugo
Rolls: 15@3; Total Hits: 815@3: (6, 4, 5, 3, 4, 3, 1, 3, 1, 6, 3, 4, 3, 4, 3)

[Karl7]

61-5=56

[Karl7]

map

L12G40Karl7(Axis)v.Gamerman(Allies)6aGer.AAM

[Karl7]

so, the USSR has a 48% chance of winning Bry.  It’s the game is you win.  If you lose… well…

Basically I’ve given the chance to do something crazy.

[gamerman01]

Yeah, I had already thought about it but realized I have everything to lose and the only thing to gain is a faster win.

Also, I think I have a bit higher odds than that.  But I won’t be attacking it - pretty sure…  Not even for 1 round - I could lose twice as many infantry as you…  Your AA guns can’t help you on attack…

[Karl7]

blah… I need to reposition stuff on my ncm for ger :-P

hold on

[gamerman01]

OK, was just starting to check

[gamerman01]

One error your map had was 2 infantry in Bess (should be 3) and 1 extra in Suk

You did move AA from Bel to Bry without typing
Also 2 fighters from Holland to Wgr

[gamerman01]

I calculate 67.5% on Bry
Tantalizing, but is the wrong move given my positions around the world
If I got unlucky rolls I could be trading 23 infantry for 8 and 3 aa guns in the first round, which would then give you like a 60% chance on Russia when you have no chance if I don’t attack….  So yeah, it’s too risky.  Especially when I have key targets at Arc and Ros I would have to give up, and could lose air to AA.
Tough to resist, but resist I will.