200 million man army… of course not. How about 50 Million, with replaceable losses. China won’t worry much about 100,000 being lost in the battle, theres 150 million potential drafties out there.
The Chineese Air Force isn’t pathetic, remember they can see our Stealthe Bombers. The Bombers would likely be based in Japan. To bomb deep into China, they are going to go without Fighter Support. And we know what happens then.
China will overwhelm South Korea and Taiwan easily. Japan is another matter, but if the Chineese built up their navy in the pre war years, you never know. Keep in mind we’re not going to war this very second. China’s space program is well underway. Soon they will have spy satellites everywhere we do.