Trajan01 (Allies) vs Alex (Axis), G40 alpha3+

[lexgreat]

3. NON-COMBAT MOVES

Inf, AA Nov –> Bal
Air Bel --> W-Ger
Bomb Ger --> W-Ger
3 Inf Fra --> W-Ger
2 Inf Hol --> W-Ger
Inf W-Fra --> Fra
Mech, Art W-Ger --> Hol
Sub SZ 125 --> SZ 112
Fig Nor --> Hol
Arm Yugo --> W-Ger
Arm W-Ger --> Den
Arm Ger --> Den
AA W-Ger --> Hol
3 Art Fra --> Hol
1 Sub SZ 125 --> SZ 110
Arm, 2 Mech Hun --> W-Ger
Fig, Tac N-Per --> Hun
All Bes --> E-Pol
8 Arm E-Pol --> Ger
2 Fig N_per -_> E-Pol
Fig, Tac E-Pol --> W-Ger
3 Mech Ger --> Fra
6 Mech Ger --> E-Pol
Mech E-Pol --> Rom
Mech Yugo --> Rom
2 Arm E-Pol --> Rom
Fig W-Ger --> Hol

4. MOBILIZATION

10 TTs SZ 113
1 Inf Fra

5. INCOME

49 (terr) + 15 (NO) = 64

TrajanAllies_AlexAxis_9aG.AAM

[Trajan01]

I think you missed i8

[Trajan01]

And I just got home and saw the map.
Can’t believe I left London open.
But I’m not sure you have an attack off Carolines.

[lexgreat]

Sry, I coming up later today.

Why do you think Carolines is not possible? Every plane i have other than the two bombers can land either on the acs or on an island. 3 from japan on acs, 2 fic on acs, 2 manchur on acs, 3 more from phil on acs (for a total of 10 on 5 acs), all other from phil and fleet on any islands that neighbour carolines (range is 5 from phil and 4 from fleet). Fleet itself can move three spaces.

Do I miss something? Not sure without map if 7 is correct number for all air that is not in phil / on fleet, but shouldnt make a difference.

[Trajan01]

Sorry I don’t mean that it’s not possible, you definitely have an edge. But it is close. i.e. it isn’t an “obvious error” that I should be permitted to take back.
I see you can attack with 13 Ftr, 4 Tac, 12 Super Subs, 2 DD, 1Cr, 5 CV and 2 BB
I defend with 10 Ftr, 4 Tac, 4 Subs, 10 DD, 3 Cr, 6 CV and 1 BB
I see you as a 59/40 favorite by a simple compute (although in practice we will probably take non-standard OOLs here). I see you gain approx 40 IPCs.
But all of your CVs will have to take a hit, so you won’t be able to land any of the planes you intended to land on them (although still legal to bring them).
And then the US comes back with 5 super subs to finish off some Navy (It looks like you will end up with around 3 damaged CV, 1 damaged BB and maybe a Cr left).

Along with my defense of London, I must have taken stupid pills when I was posting this  :?

[lexgreat]

Hm. The Simulator I use shows a 75% to 25% in my favour, but I guess those vary, and for sure I do not know if the one I found is any good. he is G40 specific though and includes super subs. Would the battle be low luck, the sim gives me a 99% win chance. So all in all I am happy with those odds. Of course one in 4 times you would win, thats a risk I have to take.

As for your subs, yes, true. But if I win the first battle then my own new super subs from Manchuria + DD and surrounding air will also come and trump your 5 subs. Or I build in japan and then your subs need to go there instead of my fleet. And so on :)

So, all together the battle is in my favour, but still admittedly risky. But its not suicide or too unwise.

And I never said it is an error. You can afford the losses, should they realize.

Just realize in your account you miss quite some Tacs, maybe this is why its only 60/40. Should be 8 Tacs (4 Phil, 2 fleet, manch, FIC) as far as I remember.

[Trajan01]

I think I missed the 4 tacs phi in my calc. And yeah I think you have to make the hit as strategically will give J breathing room even if the pacific is empty except subs after! Go ahead with I. I’ll post f and R tonight and should be able to give you a full Car OOL.

[lexgreat]

I8

1. PURCHASE (34)

• Tac (11)
• 3 Inf (9)
• 1 Art (4)

2. COMBAT MOVES

SZ 98 <– Fig Egy, Sub SZ 97
A
Rolls: 1@3 1@2; Total Hits: 01@3: (5)1@2: (5)
D
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (3)

SZ 95 <-- AC, DD, Sub SZ 97; Fig N-Ita; Fig S-Ita
A
Input ErrorThere was an error in your dice throw: "/>Daaa 1@2:

[lexgreat]

SZ 98
A
Rolls: 1@3 1@2; Total Hits: 01@3: (5)1@2: (4)
D
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (6)

SZ 95
A
Rolls: 2@3 2@2; Total Hits: 42@3: (2, 3)2@2: (1, 1)
D
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 11@2: (1)

[lexgreat]

SZ 98
A
Rolls: 1@3 1@2; Total Hits: 21@3: (3)1@2: (2)
D
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 11@2: (2)

[lexgreat]

3. NON-COMBAT MOVES

2 TT SZ 97-98-99 bring 2 Art, Inf to Greece
AA Egy –> Alex
Fig SZ 98 --> S-Ita
2 Fig SZ 95: One to N, one to S-Ita
Art S-Ita --> N_ita

4. MOBILIZATION

Tac, Art N-Ita
3 Inf S-Ita

5. INCOME

Russian Sub
Rolling 2d6:
(2, 2)

[lexgreat]

17 (terr) + 9 (NO) - 3 CD = 23

TrajanAllies_AlexAxis_9aG.AAM

[Trajan01]

France inf to Sudan. Is it ok to move the for to mor? Think I would have done that anyway. Do you leav G the same as yest? I will post R and give you full OOL tonight

[lexgreat]

From Mor it can reach London, which I guess is what you want. If you tell me that is what you would have done (although I see no reason why the fig should go there strategically (I could not have reached Mor with a combat move), I certainly am fine with it.

[Trajan01]

Agree, Fr Ftr stays in Alg, no way i would have moved it.

R9 coming up.

[Trajan01]

R9:
4 Tk (24)
2 Inf (6)

Save 2

Combat:
Nov ():
Inf Arch

Bel (2 Inf):
3 Inf Smo
3 Ftr Rus
1 Tac Rus
A:
Rolls: 2@1 3@3 1@4; Total Hits: 12@1: (2, 1)3@3: (6, 5, 4)1@4: (6)
D:
Rolls: 2@2; Total Hits: 12@2: (1, 5)

Bes ():
Inf SUkr

NPr ():
Inf Cauc

[Trajan01]

Non-Com:
Sub to z91
Air + Everything that can reach to Bry
AAs Arch to Smo
Ros 5 Inf to Bry
AA Tam to Bry
Rt Cauc, Inf Vol to Kaz

Place:
All in Rus

Earn:
34 Ter + 5 NO + 2 Saved = 41

For z33 Battle, I assume you are bringing 13 Ftr, 8 Tac, 12 Sub, 2 DD, 1 Cr, 5 Cv, 2 DD or something similar. If vastly less than this, I’ll need to re-think, but otherwise:
Scramble 2 Ftrs
OOL is fight to the death, save as much defense as possible, so:
1 Hit Each on BBs, CVs
Anz Subs
US Subs
Anz DDs
US DDs (except save 1 if you have a sub left)
Anz CV
US CVs
US Cr
Anz Cr
US Tacs
US BB

Map attached

TrajanAllies_AlexAxis_9bR.AAM

[Trajan01]

I missed the Ftrs, so the end should be:
US Tacs
Anz Ftrs
US Ftrs
US BB

[lexgreat]

J9 then.

1. PURCHASE (74)

• 2 Inf (6)
• 1 Arm (6)
• 3 Mech (12)
• 4 Subs (20)
• DD (7)
• Fig (10)
• AC (13)

2. COMBAT MOVES

Yun <– Inf, Mec FIC; Bomber Shan
A
Rolls: 1@4 2@1; Total Hits: 11@4: (1)2@1: (2, 2)
D
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (5)

Jeh <-- Arm, 2 Mech, 3 Inf, Art Man
A
Rolls: 1@3 2@2 4@1; Total Hits: 21@3: (1)2@2: (4, 2)4@1: (6, 2, 6, 5)
D
Rolls: 2@2; Total Hits: 02@2: (6, 5)

Hun <-- Arm FIC, Bomber SHan
A
Rolls: 1@4 1@3; Total Hits: 11@4: (1)1@3: (4)
D
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 11@2: (1)

DNG <-- Inf Ceylon, Arm Java via TT off India
A
Rolls: 1@3 1@1; Total Hits: 01@3: (4)1@1: (2)
D
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (3)

Lets do all of those before
SZ 33, facing off:

Japan: 2 BB, 1 CR, 2 DD, 12 Super subs, 5 AC, 8 Fig and 2 Tac SZ 35 (I/IV), 4 Tac Phil (II/V), Fig and Tac FIC (III/V), Fig and Tac Manch (IV/IV), 3 Fig Jap (IV/V)
US/ANZAC: 1 BB, 3 CR, 10 DD, 8 Subs, 6 AC, 10 Fig, 4 Tac

[lexgreat]

DNG <– Inf Ceylon, Arm Java via TT off India
A
Rolls: 1@3 1@1; Total Hits: 11@3: (5)1@1: (1)
D
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (4)