@Young:
Grasshopper’s G1 attack on Russia
I purchased 1 destroyer, 6 infantry, and 1 artillery.
I sent 2 Strategic Bombers on Leningrad for a SBR. (took zero losses and bombed the IC for 6 damage)
I hit the Baltic States with 3 infantry and 1 tank from Poland, 1 tac bomber from Western Germany and 1 fighter from Slovakia, (lost 1 infantry)
I hit Eastern Poland with 2 infantry and 1 tank from Slovakia, and 3 tanks from Southern Germany, (took zero losses)
I hit Bessarabia with 2 infantry and 1 tank from Romania, and 1 tac bomber from Poland, (lost 1 infantry)
I hit #106 with 2 subs, (kept both)
I hit #91 with 2 subs, (lost one)
I hit #111 with 1 sub, 4 fighters, 3 tac bombers, and 1 battleship, UK scrambled their fighter, (lost sub and battleship, kept all planes)
I hit france with all land units on West Germany and Holland, (lost 6 infantry)
I walked on Finland with 3 infantry from Norway, and transported 2 from Germany to Norway from #113, I also moved my cruised into #113.
I moved all remaining infantry and artillery from Germany to Poland.
I moved all remaining infantry and artillery from Southern Germany to Slovakia.
I landed all air units from #111 back to Western Germany, and landed all air units fighting in Russia on Poland.
I placed all new units in Western Germany and #113.
I didn’t walk on Bulgaria, and I didn’t attack Yugoslavia, Normandy, or Southern France.
You’ve reduced your odds in France to 94%, with an average of taking it with 7 units left over. While you will only lose 6%, the percentage where you take it but take higher than acceptable casualties is higher.
I might be a little worried about a counter in East Poland too. Especially if R gets lucky in their D and gets the 2 hits. Even with inf 4 arm remaining it might be worthwhile for Russia to take a shot at it with 2 inf art 2 fig tac.
How UK should counter this in the Med is a complex topic and there are many options. UK could hit 96/97/91, or they could unite the fleet in 92 and just hit 91 and 96 with air/dds. Since UK will have 2 trn at its disposal, they can get up to 6 units into Algeria/Mor/Gib. Or just hit 96/97/91 and retreat the bb cru towards Canada.
I hate to pass up 97 when the opportunity is there but uniting in 92 might be the best since UK can get its entire fleet back up in 110 by UK2, and given an extra AC + scrambled figs it could be too much for the Luftwaffe unless they invest in more planes G2.
To stop it, you’d need to position your fleet in 112 at the end of G1, which would necessitate an AC buy.
So either UK can put a hurting on Italy or they can combine the fleet and come up to put a hurting on Germany.