Experimental Alpha 4 Game - Wrongway Corrigan vs. Noll

[corriganbp]

the Germans were expected to exceed the Russians in hits on the 3rd round 28 vs 24

[corriganbp]

actually 28 vs. 23

[corriganbp]

expected 4th round 21 vs. 14 hits, going into the 5th round its

23 arts 9 tanks 1 ftr 3 tacs 2 bmbs vs. 9 tanks 2 ftrs 1 tac

[corriganbp]

taken with 17 arts 9 tanks was the expected outcome.

[corriganbp]

rolling out 1 more time randomly.

109 inf 2 mech 31 art 9 tank 1 ftr 3 tacs 2 bmbs vs.
2 aa 74 inf 9 mech 38 art 11 tanks 2 ftrs 1 tac

AttackRolls: 80@1 62@2 10@3 5@4; Total Hits: 5180@1: (2, 5, 1, 6, 5, 6, 4, 1, 6, 3, 2, 3, 2, 3, 1, 4, 1, 6, 4, 6, 6, 3, 5, 3, 3, 1, 1, 3, 2, 4, 5, 4, 3, 6, 3, 1, 5, 1, 1, 4, 3, 2, 1, 5, 5, 2, 3, 5, 1, 6, 5, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 4, 5, 1, 6, 2, 6, 3, 4, 5, 6, 4, 4, 6, 5, 2, 3, 1, 2, 1, 6, 4, 3, 4, 4)62@2: (2, 2, 4, 4, 5, 1, 2, 3, 5, 3, 2, 6, 2, 5, 4, 1, 4, 2, 5, 3, 1, 6, 6, 1, 2, 6, 6, 5, 2, 4, 2, 4, 6, 6, 2, 5, 1, 3, 1, 5, 6, 3, 5, 2, 1, 3, 3, 4, 4, 1, 1, 4, 1, 6, 5, 2, 6, 5, 1, 2, 2, 2)10@3: (6, 1, 2, 1, 5, 2, 4, 6, 1, 3)5@4: (2, 5, 4, 3, 1)
DefendRolls: 121@2 12@3 1@4; Total Hits: 58121@2: (1, 1, 5, 1, 1, 3, 1, 1, 1, 2, 1, 5, 3, 2, 1, 5, 1, 2, 6, 2, 1, 1, 5, 6, 2, 2, 2, 6, 6, 4, 1, 6, 4, 6, 6, 4, 2, 1, 5, 3, 3, 5, 2, 5, 1, 2, 3, 2, 3, 2, 4, 3, 3, 2, 2, 4, 4, 3, 4, 3, 1, 5, 2, 4, 4, 2, 2, 5, 2, 6, 2, 4, 5, 3, 2, 6, 4, 5, 2, 1, 6, 5, 3, 3, 1, 5, 6, 4, 2, 4, 6, 2, 2, 2, 6, 5, 3, 1, 4, 4, 1, 5, 2, 6, 2, 4, 5, 6, 2, 1, 6, 2, 5, 3, 4, 5, 2, 4, 2, 4, 1)12@3: (2, 6, 2, 3, 5, 6, 6, 5, 3, 4, 6, 2)1@4: (5)

[corriganbp]

51 inf 2 mech 31 art 9 tank 1 ftr 3 tacs 2 bmbs vs.
25 inf 9 mech 38 art 11 tanks 2 ftrs 1 tac

AttackRolls: 22@1 62@2 10@3 5@4; Total Hits: 3322@1: (3, 5, 1, 1, 3, 2, 5, 5, 3, 4, 4, 6, 3, 2, 5, 2, 1, 3, 5, 1, 4, 2)62@2: (4, 4, 3, 2, 4, 6, 2, 6, 2, 5, 5, 3, 5, 1, 5, 4, 6, 1, 2, 4, 1, 4, 6, 6, 6, 6, 2, 4, 6, 6, 5, 3, 3, 1, 5, 1, 1, 6, 1, 3, 4, 5, 5, 3, 5, 3, 1, 5, 4, 2, 2, 4, 5, 1, 4, 4, 1, 5, 2, 6, 5, 6)10@3: (3, 2, 1, 2, 2, 1, 2, 2, 4, 6)5@4: (6, 2, 2, 4, 5)
DefendRolls: 72@2 12@3 1@4; Total Hits: 3372@2: (3, 3, 2, 4, 4, 6, 3, 5, 3, 6, 5, 2, 2, 5, 6, 1, 1, 1, 2, 3, 2, 3, 4, 3, 6, 3, 2, 1, 5, 6, 5, 1, 2, 1, 4, 6, 6, 6, 4, 2, 6, 3, 3, 1, 1, 2, 2, 2, 2, 3, 4, 3, 5, 2, 6, 4, 4, 2, 5, 2, 1, 4, 3, 3, 4, 1, 3, 3, 6, 6, 4, 6)12@3: (3, 6, 1, 3, 1, 3, 4, 3, 5, 2, 6, 4)1@4: (3)

[corriganbp]

18 inf 2 mech 31 art 9 tank 1 ftr 3 tacs 2 bmbs vs.
1 mech 38 art 11 tanks 2 ftrs 1 tac

AttackRolls: 51@2 10@3 5@4; Total Hits: 2551@2: (1, 4, 1, 1, 3, 6, 5, 3, 1, 2, 4, 3, 4, 5, 6, 3, 2, 5, 1, 6, 4, 4, 2, 4, 1, 4, 3, 1, 3, 4, 5, 4, 2, 6, 4, 4, 5, 3, 1, 6, 4, 4, 2, 1, 3, 2, 4, 4, 6, 4, 4)10@3: (4, 2, 5, 1, 2, 3, 4, 3, 5, 2)5@4: (2, 2, 4, 2, 6)
DefendRolls: 39@2 12@3 1@4; Total Hits: 1439@2: (1, 6, 3, 2, 5, 6, 6, 1, 1, 2, 2, 4, 6, 2, 2, 3, 5, 3, 2, 6, 5, 4, 4, 2, 3, 5, 3, 4, 2, 4, 4, 3, 4, 6, 5, 3, 5, 4, 3)12@3: (6, 6, 5, 4, 5, 6, 5, 2, 5, 2, 3, 4)1@4: (6)

[corriganbp]

4 inf 2 mech 31 art 9 tank 1 ftr 3 tacs 2 bmbs vs.
14 art 11 tanks 2 ftrs 1 tac

AttackRolls: 37@2 10@3 5@4; Total Hits: 2237@2: (2, 5, 4, 4, 5, 6, 4, 3, 3, 2, 6, 6, 3, 6, 1, 2, 2, 2, 6, 3, 5, 4, 1, 6, 1, 1, 5, 1, 3, 5, 3, 5, 3, 1, 2, 2, 6)10@3: (5, 4, 3, 1, 4, 3, 3, 3, 4, 5)5@4: (4, 5, 4, 1, 4)
DefendRolls: 14@2 12@3 1@4; Total Hits: 1314@2: (2, 1, 4, 2, 2, 2, 3, 4, 6, 6, 2, 3, 6, 4)12@3: (5, 6, 2, 2, 2, 2, 5, 5, 5, 2, 2, 3)1@4: (5)

[corriganbp]

one more time . . .

what makes this one painful is that it was a great game and it would have played out really interestingly if the Germans actually had a credible shot at Moscow in late 1944.

109 inf 2 mech 31 art 9 tank 1 ftr 3 tacs 2 bmbs vs.
2 aa 74 inf 9 mech 38 art 11 tanks 2 ftrs 1 tac

AttackRolls: 80@1 62@2 10@3 5@4; Total Hits: 3880@1: (3, 2, 6, 3, 2, 5, 6, 2, 3, 5, 6, 1, 5, 6, 4, 2, 1, 2, 6, 3, 2, 6, 6, 3, 6, 5, 6, 1, 4, 3, 3, 6, 4, 2, 2, 6, 1, 2, 1, 3, 6, 1, 4, 4, 6, 1, 6, 6, 3, 5, 3, 4, 4, 2, 6, 3, 1, 6, 4, 5, 2, 6, 4, 6, 2, 6, 5, 2, 1, 6, 5, 1, 6, 2, 5, 6, 2, 4, 6, 5)62@2: (3, 3, 2, 6, 5, 2, 3, 5, 1, 6, 3, 2, 6, 1, 1, 1, 6, 6, 2, 1, 5, 1, 2, 4, 3, 1, 4, 5, 4, 3, 3, 1, 5, 4, 6, 3, 5, 3, 1, 5, 3, 4, 1, 2, 4, 2, 2, 4, 1, 4, 5, 6, 5, 6, 4, 1, 6, 1, 5, 4, 3, 2)10@3: (4, 2, 5, 4, 4, 4, 6, 5, 3, 2)5@4: (2, 4, 4, 5, 6)
DefendRolls: 121@2 12@3 2@4; Total Hits: 51121@2: (5, 3, 6, 3, 1, 6, 1, 6, 3, 1, 6, 3, 6, 4, 6, 1, 1, 1, 6, 5, 4, 4, 4, 3, 1, 6, 4, 4, 4, 3, 3, 2, 5, 3, 4, 6, 2, 5, 6, 5, 5, 5, 1, 5, 2, 1, 6, 3, 1, 6, 1, 5, 3, 5, 1, 4, 5, 5, 1, 2, 1, 4, 3, 6, 6, 1, 6, 2, 6, 5, 6, 4, 4, 1, 3, 6, 1, 3, 2, 1, 2, 2, 6, 5, 1, 6, 2, 5, 4, 2, 6, 5, 6, 3, 5, 6, 4, 4, 1, 3, 2, 1, 1, 5, 1, 3, 5, 2, 5, 6, 3, 1, 2, 2, 5, 2, 1, 6, 6, 5, 2)12@3: (6, 3, 2, 2, 2, 1, 6, 5, 1, 2, 1, 1)2@4: (2, 6)

[corriganbp]

58 inf 2 mech 31 art 9 tank 1 ftr 3 tacs 2 bmbs vs.
38 inf 9 mech 38 art 11 tanks 2 ftrs 1 tac

AttackRolls: 29@1 62@2 10@3 5@4; Total Hits: 2929@1: (5, 4, 4, 1, 4, 4, 4, 4, 6, 5, 2, 2, 3, 5, 5, 5, 4, 5, 2, 6, 5, 3, 3, 2, 3, 1, 5, 2, 3)62@2: (1, 5, 2, 5, 3, 3, 3, 6, 6, 6, 6, 4, 2, 2, 1, 1, 6, 5, 4, 5, 6, 3, 3, 3, 6, 5, 5, 6, 3, 6, 3, 4, 5, 5, 2, 1, 1, 5, 1, 6, 4, 6, 4, 6, 1, 4, 6, 1, 3, 4, 5, 3, 1, 1, 5, 6, 5, 3, 6, 2, 3, 3)10@3: (5, 1, 1, 1, 2, 1, 5, 2, 1, 3)5@4: (1, 5, 3, 2, 3)
DefendRolls: 85@2 12@3 2@4; Total Hits: 4085@2: (2, 3, 5, 6, 1, 1, 6, 2, 5, 6, 1, 2, 5, 2, 5, 2, 1, 5, 2, 1, 6, 3, 6, 2, 4, 2, 3, 2, 5, 4, 4, 6, 6, 3, 6, 1, 3, 5, 3, 2, 5, 4, 4, 3, 5, 2, 4, 6, 1, 6, 6, 1, 2, 6, 2, 5, 2, 4, 1, 6, 2, 5, 6, 2, 1, 5, 3, 4, 4, 5, 6, 2, 2, 3, 5, 1, 5, 2, 6, 5, 2, 6, 6, 3, 6)12@3: (1, 2, 1, 5, 3, 6, 6, 1, 5, 2, 1, 4)2@4: (4, 4)

[corriganbp]

18 inf 2 mech 31 art 9 tank 1 ftr 3 tacs 2 bmbs vs.
9 inf 9 mech 38 art 11 tanks 2 ftrs 1 tac

AttackRolls: 51@2 10@3 5@4; Total Hits: 2851@2: (5, 2, 1, 5, 6, 6, 4, 1, 4, 4, 1, 4, 3, 6, 1, 4, 4, 3, 1, 3, 1, 2, 1, 2, 6, 2, 2, 2, 2, 3, 5, 6, 4, 5, 5, 4, 4, 2, 5, 2, 5, 6, 6, 2, 5, 6, 6, 2, 3, 6, 5)10@3: (3, 1, 6, 4, 1, 1, 5, 3, 2, 2)5@4: (1, 2, 6, 6, 1)
DefendRolls: 56@2 12@3 2@4; Total Hits: 2756@2: (4, 3, 2, 2, 5, 1, 1, 4, 2, 6, 3, 1, 1, 6, 1, 6, 2, 2, 5, 6, 2, 6, 5, 4, 2, 6, 4, 4, 5, 4, 4, 2, 1, 5, 3, 5, 6, 4, 3, 2, 3, 6, 2, 4, 5, 3, 3, 1, 4, 2, 6, 5, 2, 4, 3, 3)12@3: (3, 1, 6, 2, 4, 4, 3, 4, 3, 6, 3, 2)2@4: (3, 5)

[corriganbp]

24 art 9 tank 1 ftr 3 tacs 2 bmbs vs.
20 art 11 tanks 2 ftrs 1 tac

AttackRolls: 24@2 10@3 5@4; Total Hits: 1724@2: (1, 3, 5, 1, 4, 6, 3, 4, 6, 2, 5, 6, 1, 6, 4, 1, 5, 4, 4, 2, 2, 3, 4, 2)10@3: (2, 5, 3, 2, 6, 3, 1, 6, 6, 6)5@4: (1, 3, 5, 4, 1)
DefendRolls: 20@2 12@3 2@4; Total Hits: 1320@2: (5, 5, 5, 4, 5, 4, 2, 6, 3, 5, 3, 4, 6, 6, 1, 2, 2, 6, 4, 3)12@3: (6, 1, 4, 6, 6, 3, 6, 3, 2, 3, 3, 1)2@4: (1, 2)

[corriganbp]

11 art 9 tank 1 ftr 3 tacs 2 bmbs vs.
3 art 11 tanks 2 ftrs 1 tac

AttackRolls: 11@2 10@3 5@4; Total Hits: 1311@2: (6, 1, 1, 4, 4, 4, 3, 3, 5, 2, 4)10@3: (4, 2, 4, 1, 6, 2, 3, 1, 5, 4)5@4: (2, 4, 1, 1, 1)
DefendRolls: 3@2 12@3 2@4; Total Hits: 93@2: (4, 2, 3)12@3: (1, 5, 2, 2, 6, 5, 5, 3, 2, 2, 1, 3)2@4: (5, 5)

[corriganbp]

2 art 9 tank 1 ftr 3 tacs 2 bmbs vs.
1 tanks 2 ftrs 1 tac

AttackRolls: 2@2 10@3 5@4; Total Hits: 92@2: (2, 6)10@3: (4, 2, 4, 3, 3, 5, 2, 2, 5, 5)5@4: (3, 5, 4, 4, 5)
DefendRolls: 2@3 2@4; Total Hits: 22@3: (6, 6)2@4: (1, 2)

[corriganbp]

taken with 9 tanks.

that was the outcome that I was worried about, a victory but a weak one where I might not have enough to see me thru to Moscow.

the expected outcome would have been enough to keep the game interesting.

[corriganbp]

109 inf 2 mech 31 art 9 tank 1 ftr 3 tacs 2 bmbs vs.
2 aa 74 inf 9 mech 38 art 11 tanks 2 ftrs 1 tac

AttackRolls: 80@1 62@2 10@3 5@4; Total Hits: 4280@1: (1, 4, 2, 2, 6, 6, 3, 6, 4, 3, 1, 5, 3, 2, 2, 4, 5, 1, 1, 5, 3, 4, 3, 5, 2, 6, 2, 2, 3, 5, 1, 4, 2, 3, 6, 2, 2, 2, 1, 5, 5, 2, 4, 1, 4, 6, 4, 3, 6, 5, 1, 3, 2, 3, 1, 4, 3, 2, 5, 5, 1, 6, 3, 2, 2, 2, 3, 4, 3, 4, 3, 2, 6, 1, 2, 3, 6, 6, 6, 6)62@2: (4, 6, 2, 6, 3, 2, 3, 6, 4, 2, 5, 4, 1, 1, 6, 3, 2, 3, 6, 5, 6, 3, 6, 5, 3, 2, 2, 3, 1, 1, 2, 4, 1, 3, 3, 4, 5, 6, 3, 3, 2, 1, 1, 2, 2, 6, 5, 3, 2, 5, 1, 2, 1, 1, 1, 4, 2, 3, 6, 2, 3, 1)10@3: (6, 4, 4, 3, 1, 2, 2, 4, 5, 3)5@4: (5, 5, 5, 6, 5)
DefendRolls: 121@2 12@3 2@4; Total Hits: 47121@2: (4, 3, 1, 2, 3, 3, 3, 4, 3, 6, 5, 5, 5, 1, 2, 6, 6, 5, 3, 2, 6, 5, 4, 4, 3, 1, 2, 2, 6, 2, 1, 3, 4, 2, 5, 1, 4, 2, 4, 6, 1, 3, 5, 6, 3, 6, 6, 2, 5, 2, 3, 5, 1, 1, 2, 4, 1, 4, 6, 6, 5, 6, 3, 2, 1, 1, 2, 5, 2, 6, 5, 3, 2, 3, 3, 4, 3, 2, 6, 2, 4, 3, 6, 4, 3, 2, 2, 3, 5, 1, 3, 3, 1, 5, 5, 2, 6, 1, 6, 1, 6, 5, 4, 1, 1, 6, 5, 4, 2, 4, 6, 5, 1, 6, 3, 3, 1, 4, 6, 5, 5)12@3: (2, 2, 5, 1, 6, 1, 6, 6, 1, 1, 5, 5)2@4: (4, 6)

[corriganbp]

62 inf 2 mech 31 art 9 tank 1 ftr 3 tacs 2 bmbs vs.
34 inf 9 mech 38 art 11 tanks 2 ftrs 1 tac

AttackRolls: 33@1 62@2 10@3 5@4; Total Hits: 3533@1: (1, 5, 3, 1, 5, 3, 3, 2, 1, 3, 1, 5, 1, 1, 3, 4, 4, 5, 5, 5, 6, 3, 3, 5, 2, 3, 4, 2, 3, 4, 5, 4, 2)62@2: (2, 5, 1, 4, 1, 2, 4, 4, 3, 3, 4, 4, 5, 1, 1, 3, 6, 5, 3, 2, 2, 2, 3, 4, 5, 5, 1, 2, 3, 4, 4, 4, 2, 4, 2, 3, 5, 6, 6, 2, 2, 3, 5, 6, 4, 5, 3, 4, 4, 6, 5, 6, 1, 2, 3, 6, 6, 4, 1, 3, 1, 5)10@3: (1, 3, 2, 2, 5, 1, 2, 4, 2, 3)5@4: (1, 6, 3, 5, 5)
DefendRolls: 81@2 12@3 2@4; Total Hits: 2981@2: (6, 2, 3, 5, 1, 2, 5, 3, 5, 5, 3, 3, 6, 5, 3, 4, 6, 5, 5, 2, 4, 6, 3, 1, 1, 6, 1, 1, 2, 6, 6, 1, 1, 3, 6, 2, 5, 5, 4, 3, 3, 6, 5, 2, 5, 2, 5, 4, 1, 4, 5, 4, 4, 2, 4, 5, 1, 5, 5, 3, 5, 5, 4, 5, 1, 4, 1, 5, 2, 4, 2, 4, 3, 1, 6, 1, 2, 5, 5, 3, 3)12@3: (4, 6, 6, 5, 4, 4, 6, 3, 3, 3, 1, 2)2@4: (6, 6)

[corriganbp]

33 inf 2 mech 31 art 9 tank 1 ftr 3 tacs 2 bmbs vs.
8 mech 38 art 11 tanks 2 ftrs 1 tac

AttackRolls: 4@1 62@2 10@3 5@4; Total Hits: 364@1: (3, 1, 3, 5)62@2: (3, 4, 4, 1, 4, 6, 5, 1, 2, 2, 3, 6, 5, 1, 5, 2, 5, 2, 1, 1, 5, 4, 3, 2, 3, 4, 4, 6, 5, 1, 4, 1, 4, 2, 2, 1, 1, 1, 2, 3, 2, 4, 2, 1, 5, 1, 3, 3, 2, 3, 3, 1, 1, 6, 2, 3, 4, 6, 2, 2, 6, 6)10@3: (3, 4, 1, 5, 5, 2, 5, 6, 4, 1)5@4: (3, 6, 2, 2, 6)
DefendRolls: 46@2 12@3 2@4; Total Hits: 1846@2: (4, 4, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 3, 4, 4, 3, 6, 6, 2, 6, 3, 6, 6, 1, 4, 2, 6, 3, 5, 6, 6, 4, 1, 1, 3, 5, 5, 4, 5, 6, 5, 6, 6, 1, 3, 4, 4, 3, 3, 5)12@3: (2, 5, 4, 2, 6, 2, 3, 5, 4, 1, 5, 3)2@4: (5, 6)

[corriganbp]

15 inf 2 mech 31 art 9 tank 1 ftr 3 tacs 2 bmbs vs.
10 art 11 tanks 2 ftrs 1 tac

AttackRolls: 48@2 10@3 5@4; Total Hits: 2148@2: (2, 1, 3, 1, 1, 4, 4, 4, 1, 6, 1, 6, 2, 6, 4, 3, 5, 5, 5, 4, 3, 6, 3, 6, 4, 2, 3, 5, 5, 5, 4, 1, 6, 1, 2, 6, 5, 5, 3, 6, 5, 4, 5, 6, 3, 3, 2, 2)10@3: (2, 1, 6, 5, 6, 2, 4, 4, 3, 1)5@4: (3, 2, 6, 6, 2)
DefendRolls: 10@2 12@3 2@4; Total Hits: 1310@2: (5, 1, 3, 4, 5, 2, 1, 4, 6, 5)12@3: (3, 5, 1, 6, 1, 3, 1, 1, 2, 6, 1, 3)2@4: (4, 5)

[corriganbp]

2 inf 2 mech 31 art 9 tank 1 ftr 3 tacs 2 bmbs vs.
2 ftrs 1 tac

AttackRolls: 35@2 10@3 5@4; Total Hits: 1535@2: (3, 6, 4, 4, 4, 4, 1, 1, 5, 3, 6, 5, 2, 2, 4, 4, 3, 1, 1, 3, 6, 4, 6, 4, 5, 1, 6, 4, 4, 4, 5, 6, 4, 3, 3)10@3: (2, 6, 4, 2, 5, 6, 2, 3, 2, 3)5@4: (1, 5, 5, 2, 6)
DefendRolls: 1@3 2@4; Total Hits: 31@3: (2)2@4: (1, 3)