TheONE (allies) vs. Corriganbp (axis) - Nov 2011 A3


  • The dice can be cruel.  As someone who routinely loses battles that the odds calculators round to 100%, I would be crazy to stay that anything is 100% - but yeah, it’s harder but still achievable with much better than 50% odds.  At this point, too many variables to tell you exactly what it is.  I think that the naval rearrangement will change my opening naval attacks.  I might send a single sub into 106 now for example, and then that becomes a 50-50 battle against the cruiser (the sneak attack compensates almost exactly for the defense at 3).

    Germany requires a certain amount of “fair weather” round 1 (I’m not talking about getting lucky, just talking about getting average or slightly above average rolls) to have it worth risking.  I’m not opposed to going for Barbarossa rather than a foolish sea lion.  Given his opening R1 purchases, and my opening loss of a ftr and a tank and all my artillery, if I go for it, it’s really just because this particular game is supposed to be all about sea lion game.


  • America1

    Buy: 3 bombers, 2 destroyers = 52 ipcs none saved

    Ncms on map

    Placement: 3 bombers to E. Us, 2 dest to SZ10

    I always feel as if im forgetting something lol.  I thinks its because the units are so small and hard to define.

    A1.AAM


  • You are forgetting China and the UK.  Just kidding, I know that you’ll get those turns in when you have a chance.


  • Incidentally, I’ve always had in my back pocket, one move that will help to increase the chances, depending on how he defends, but as is the case with most of those moves, it hurts the axis position post sea lion, and then there is the concern about whether or not that puts you over the tipping point.


  • Sorry, in the middle of a bathroom remodel lol… Here we go!

    China

    4 inf=12ipcs

    Combat

    2 inf fr sui to cha vs 1 inf

    2 inf fr. kwe to Yun, 3 inf, ftr fr. sze to yun

    Cha
    ADiceRolls: 2@1 ; Total Hits: 02@1: (6, 4)
    DDiceRolls: 1@2 ; Total Hits: 11@2: (1)

    Yun
    ADiceRolls: 5@1 1@3 ; Total Hits: 35@1: (1, 3, 5, 2, 1)1@3: (3)
    DDiceRolls: 3@2 ; Total Hits: 13@2: (2, 3, 5)


  • cha lost inf….inf retreats

    yun won with loss of inf

    NCMs and Placement on map


  • UK India 1

    Buy: 4 mechs =16 save 1ipc

    Combat

    2inf frm malaya to DGU

    NCM on map

    UK London 1

    Buy: 8 inf, mech = 28 ipcs

    Combat

    ftr fr. malta, tac fr. SZ98 attacking SZ96 dest and trans

    SZ96
    aDiceRolls: 1@3 1@4 ; Total Hits: 21@3: (3)1@4: (4)
    dDiceRolls: 1@2 ; Total Hits: 01@2: (6)


  • SZ96 cleared with no losses

    NCM on map

    Placement
    8 inf, mech to London

    UK1.AAM


  • ah . . . .you played for the luck and got it in sz 96.


  • Usually the player that is hit with CRD rolls the CRD before their collect income phase.  Obviously in online play there is no opportunity for the raiding player to point this out during the collect income phase.
    CRD in 106DiceRolls: 4@3; Total Hits: 34@3: (2, 4, 1, 2)
    CRD in 109DiceRolls: 4@3; Total Hits: 34@3: (3, 2, 5, 2)


  • CRD’d for 10 ipcs.  That might be enough to get me thinking of going for sea lion.


  • UK collects 28 + 5 -10= 23.  Note the IPCs column in the upper left.
    China collected 15 ipcs.


  • ooops forgot bout the convoy lol and no i just realized the upper left lol.  Just add or delet flags to it to change the ipc value i assume?


  • I feel like a type casted actor, who scores a great part when they’re young, but then can’t get cast as anything else.

    I know, I need to try to for sea lion, so people won’t be disappointed, sigh.


  • Italy 1
    With 10 ipcs,
    1 ftr = 10

    Combat

    Attack Tunis (1 inf) with
    1 inf 1 art fr Libya
    1 tnk 1 mech fr Tobrua

    AttackDiceRolls: 1@1 2@2 1@3; Total Hits: 01@1: (5)2@2: (4, 5)1@3: (5)
    DefendDiceRolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (3)

    Attack 94 (1 dd) with
    1 sub fr 95
    1 ftrs fr s Italy
    1 bmb fr n italy

    AttackDiceRolls: 1@2 1@3 1@4; Total Hits: 21@2: (1)1@3: (4)1@4: (3)
    DefendDiceRolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (3)

    Attack 93 (1 dd 1 ca) with
    1 ftr fr s Italy
    Ca dd fr 95
    Ca bb fr 97

    AttackDiceRolls: 1@2 3@3 1@4; Total Hits: 21@2: (5)3@3: (5, 6, 3)1@4: (4)
    DefendDiceRolls: 1@2 1@3; Total Hits: 21@2: (1)1@3: (3)

    Attack s france (1 inf 1 art) with
    2 inf 2 art 1 tank fr N Italy
    2 inf 1 tank fr Albania
    1 inf fr s italy

    Waiting on sz attack


  • Attack Tunis (1 inf) with
    1 inf 1 art fr Libya
    1 tnk 1 mech fr Tobrua

    AttackDiceRolls: 1@1 2@2 1@3; Total Hits: 21@1: (5)2@2: (2, 1)1@3: (4)
    DefendDiceRolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (3)

    94 taken without loss

    You lucky guy, 93 taken with dmg to bb, sunk dd

    Attack s france (1 inf 1 art) with
    2 inf 2 art 1 tank fr N Italy
    2 inf 1 tank fr Albania
    1 inf fr s italy

    AttackDiceRolls: 3@1 4@2 2@3; Total Hits: 23@1: (3, 2, 3)4@2: (4, 1, 4, 4)2@3: (5, 2)
    DefendDiceRolls: 2@2; Total Hits: 02@2: (5, 5)


  • Italy 1
    With 10 ipcs,
    1 ftr = 10

    Combat

    Tunis taken without loss

    94 taken without loss

    You lucky guy, 93 taken with dmg to bb, sunk dd

    S france taken without loss

    Italy collects 14 ipcs

    I1.AAM


  • Anzac1

    Buy: Transport, Inf =10ipcs saves nothing

    NCMs on the map

    French1

    NCMs on the map

    F1.AAM


  • Germany 2
    I really want to try Barbarossa someday soon, but you are entitled to your shot at stopping sea lion.  I think I see what you are going to do (and that includes Russia), and I still think I’ve got decent odds, but nowhere close to 100% either on the defense of the fleet or the taking of London, so you certainly have a chance for this to work.  There might be some things that I can do to save the fleet that would compromise the taking of London, but that doesn’t seem to make sense. 
    Here I go (big gulp) . . .
    With 70 ipcs,
    10 transports = 70 (building the ships instead of burning them, there’s no turning back once the armada is built)
    Combat
    Normally I would bomb London, but when I see battleships and cruisers being used as ship blockers, those look like great targets to me …  .
    Sz 104 (1 bb) with
    1 sub fr 109
    4 ftrs 5 tacs fr Holland, w germ, 112

    SneakDiceRolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 11@2: (2)
    AttackDiceRolls: 5@3 4@4; Total Hits: 65@3: (2, 2, 3, 5, 5)4@4: (4, 4, 5, 3)
    DefendDiceRolls: 1@4; Total Hits: 11@4: (4)

    Sz 91 (2 cas) with
    1 sub fr 109
    2 bmbs fr Holland and W Germany

    SneakDiceRolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (3)


  • Sz 104 cleared with loss of sub

    Sz 91 (2 cas) with
    1 sub fr 109
    2 bmbs fr Holland and W Germany

    Darn, was really hoping for that sneak attack to hit

    AttackDiceRolls: 2@4; Total Hits: 22@4: (3, 1)
    DefendDiceRolls: 2@3; Total Hits: 12@3: (1, 6)

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