12L 41 Tyzoq (Axis) v Boldfresh (Allies+6) -Tech

[boldfresh]

have you run the numbers?  what are the US chances?

[boldfresh]

how about we run it 100 times and if the US wins one we go forward with that one…    :lol:

still stinging from that crappy battle this morning.  so freakin disappointing.  i know i couldn’t stop a german fleet eventually but i could have slowed it way down and bought time for the USA…  :|

[boldfresh]

if z5 had gone well, the USA could have done some very interesting things in the pacific, now they have to take a suicide shot…  :|

[boldfresh]

USA17 - the end - coming soon

[Tyzoq]

OOL for Japan = Bmr > Inf > Arm > Ftr (Italy) > Ftr (Jap)

[Tyzoq]

if my AA gun misses you have a 1% chance!

[boldfresh]

run it 300 times then?  :-D

[Tyzoq]

looks like a 1 in 2000 chance, maybe we should run it 2000 times?

[boldfresh]

ok 2000 times, you’re on!!  :-o

USA17 - with 63 buys 6 ftr, save 3

CM

z48 (trn) - sub (z61)
everything to jpn - that’s 2 inf, 2 arm, 24 ftr, 8 bom

JAPAN AA FIRE
fighters
Rolls: 24@1; Total Hits: 224@1: (6, 4, 4, 4, 1, 5, 4, 6, 3, 6, 3, 5, 4, 3, 3, 5, 3, 3, 2, 3, 3, 6, 1, 5)
bombers
Rolls: 8@1; Total Hits: 28@1: (3, 2, 6, 5, 1, 1, 5, 6)

[boldfresh]

jpn
Rolls: 2@1 24@3 6@4; Total Hits: 202@1: (3, 5)24@3: (4, 2, 6, 4, 2, 1, 2, 1, 2, 1, 3, 3, 4, 1, 1, 6, 2, 3, 3, 6, 3, 2, 1, 6)6@4: (3, 6, 5, 2, 6, 2)
Rolls: 2@1 7@2 3@3 29@4; Total Hits: 272@1: (6, 4)7@2: (4, 6, 1, 5, 1, 2, 5)3@3: (3, 3, 2)29@4: (5, 1, 2, 5, 6, 4, 2, 2, 3, 5, 4, 4, 4, 1, 3, 3, 3, 3, 4, 3, 6, 1, 2, 6, 6, 2, 2, 5, 4)

[boldfresh]

well my fighters were pretty valiant but i didn’t get the complete crap defense you owed me…

jpn2
Rolls: 1@3 4@4; Total Hits: 21@3: (5)4@4: (1, 3, 6, 5)
Rolls: 21@4; Total Hits: 1721@4: (4, 5, 1, 4, 2, 2, 2, 3, 5, 1, 4, 6, 1, 3, 4, 1, 1, 4, 1, 5, 3)

[boldfresh]

terrible right to the end.

time for 2/2000

aa fire
Rolls: 24@1; Total Hits: 524@1: (1, 3, 5, 1, 2, 3, 1, 2, 5, 6, 6, 5, 6, 2, 6, 1, 3, 1, 6, 4, 3, 5, 6, 3)
Rolls: 8@1; Total Hits: 18@1: (4, 5, 2, 3, 4, 1, 4, 4)

[boldfresh]

3/2000

aa fire
Rolls: 24@1; Total Hits: 424@1: (6, 5, 1, 1, 5, 3, 1, 4, 3, 2, 2, 3, 4, 5, 4, 4, 6, 6, 5, 2, 5, 1, 2, 2)
Rolls: 8@1; Total Hits: 38@1: (1, 5, 6, 1, 3, 2, 1, 2)

[boldfresh]

4/2000

aa fire
Rolls: 24@1; Total Hits: 624@1: (4, 2, 1, 2, 5, 5, 1, 5, 3, 3, 4, 4, 4, 5, 4, 2, 5, 5, 5, 1, 6, 1, 1, 1)
Rolls: 8@1; Total Hits: 18@1: (3, 1, 4, 5, 3, 4, 3, 6)

[boldfresh]

so far the first one was best…  :lol:

5/2000

aa fire
Rolls: 24@1; Total Hits: 224@1: (2, 1, 2, 2, 5, 4, 2, 5, 6, 6, 4, 5, 4, 6, 6, 5, 4, 6, 6, 1, 6, 3, 5, 2)
Rolls: 8@1; Total Hits: 18@1: (2, 2, 6, 4, 5, 1, 5, 6)

[boldfresh]

hey HEY

jpn
Rolls: 2@1 24@3 7@4; Total Hits: 152@1: (1, 6)24@3: (2, 5, 2, 4, 5, 1, 4, 1, 5, 6, 3, 4, 2, 5, 5, 2, 6, 3, 1, 6, 6, 5, 5, 4)7@4: (3, 4, 4, 3, 6, 5, 3)
Rolls: 2@1 7@2 3@3 29@4; Total Hits: 242@1: (2, 4)7@2: (4, 6, 2, 5, 3, 2, 3)3@3: (3, 5, 1)29@4: (4, 3, 6, 5, 3, 2, 5, 2, 2, 4, 6, 5, 6, 4, 3, 3, 4, 2, 5, 5, 5, 2, 4, 1, 1, 1, 3, 3, 3)

[boldfresh]

6/2000

aa fire
Rolls: 24@1; Total Hits: 424@1: (6, 5, 1, 4, 1, 5, 6, 4, 2, 3, 6, 4, 5, 6, 1, 5, 2, 3, 5, 6, 1, 6, 6, 2)
Rolls: 8@1; Total Hits: 08@1: (2, 5, 2, 6, 5, 3, 6, 5)

[boldfresh]

let’s just take the 20 times that the aa fire will all miss and run those…  out of these 20 first rounds, we will proceed with the best for USA and take battle to completion…  fun fun fun

jpn
Rolls: 2@1 26@3 8@4; Total Hits: 232@1: (6, 1)26@3: (6, 6, 3, 5, 1, 1, 6, 2, 4, 1, 2, 2, 6, 1, 6, 4, 2, 5, 6, 4, 3, 1, 1, 1, 3, 4)8@4: (4, 1, 2, 4, 1, 2, 3, 3)
Rolls: 2@1 7@2 3@3 29@4; Total Hits: 202@1: (1, 3)7@2: (3, 6, 4, 6, 1, 6, 2)3@3: (1, 6, 1)29@4: (5, 2, 6, 4, 5, 2, 4, 5, 3, 1, 2, 6, 1, 4, 3, 1, 6, 6, 4, 6, 2, 6, 6, 5, 6, 6, 5, 2, 1)

jpn
Rolls: 2@1 26@3 8@4; Total Hits: 202@1: (4, 3)26@3: (5, 5, 2, 2, 4, 4, 6, 3, 6, 6, 4, 6, 6, 2, 3, 6, 2, 2, 3, 1, 3, 3, 1, 2, 3, 1)8@4: (6, 4, 1, 4, 6, 5, 2, 2)
Rolls: 2@1 7@2 3@3 29@4; Total Hits: 272@1: (6, 6)7@2: (5, 6, 2, 4, 5, 6, 3)3@3: (4, 1, 6)29@4: (4, 3, 1, 1, 3, 3, 4, 4, 5, 6, 4, 4, 4, 4, 1, 4, 2, 3, 5, 2, 2, 3, 1, 3, 1, 5, 2, 3, 3)

jpn
Rolls: 2@1 26@3 8@4; Total Hits: 172@1: (3, 2)26@3: (1, 5, 3, 2, 2, 5, 5, 5, 4, 4, 2, 1, 2, 6, 2, 5, 1, 4, 3, 3, 5, 6, 3, 2, 6, 2)8@4: (4, 3, 5, 6, 5, 6, 5, 1)
Rolls: 2@1 7@2 3@3 29@4; Total Hits: 192@1: (1, 6)7@2: (6, 5, 4, 3, 3, 6, 4)3@3: (4, 5, 5)29@4: (2, 6, 2, 5, 2, 1, 4, 5, 3, 3, 1, 6, 6, 6, 5, 4, 5, 3, 4, 5, 3, 4, 4, 1, 6, 6, 1, 3, 4)

jpn
Rolls: 2@1 26@3 8@4; Total Hits: 182@1: (5, 1)26@3: (6, 5, 3, 4, 1, 4, 2, 5, 6, 5, 6, 5, 4, 5, 4, 1, 4, 1, 5, 3, 3, 2, 6, 3, 1, 6)8@4: (4, 4, 3, 2, 5, 3, 1, 1)
Rolls: 2@1 7@2 3@3 29@4; Total Hits: 272@1: (1, 1)7@2: (4, 2, 6, 3, 1, 5, 2)3@3: (4, 4, 5)29@4: (5, 1, 5, 4, 3, 2, 5, 3, 5, 6, 2, 2, 3, 5, 4, 1, 2, 4, 2, 2, 4, 6, 4, 3, 2, 4, 2, 4, 2)

jpn
Rolls: 2@1 26@3 8@4; Total Hits: 152@1: (5, 2)26@3: (1, 5, 6, 4, 2, 2, 3, 5, 6, 2, 6, 1, 5, 5, 4, 6, 1, 1, 1, 2, 4, 6, 6, 1, 2, 4)8@4: (2, 5, 5, 6, 1, 6, 5, 1)
Rolls: 2@1 7@2 3@3 29@4; Total Hits: 232@1: (3, 1)7@2: (2, 5, 5, 1, 1, 5, 1)3@3: (5, 4, 4)29@4: (4, 4, 5, 5, 6, 2, 4, 5, 3, 6, 2, 4, 5, 1, 4, 5, 6, 3, 5, 3, 3, 6, 2, 2, 1, 2, 6, 1, 1)

jpn
Rolls: 2@1 26@3 8@4; Total Hits: 182@1: (4, 5)26@3: (4, 1, 3, 2, 6, 5, 6, 4, 1, 6, 6, 5, 4, 6, 3, 2, 5, 5, 1, 2, 2, 1, 3, 3, 1, 5)8@4: (3, 1, 5, 6, 6, 3, 1, 2)
Rolls: 2@1 7@2 3@3 29@4; Total Hits: 282@1: (5, 1)7@2: (1, 4, 4, 2, 4, 3, 6)3@3: (1, 3, 2)29@4: (3, 1, 1, 4, 2, 2, 4, 5, 5, 4, 3, 1, 5, 1, 1, 4, 3, 2, 6, 1, 2, 6, 5, 6, 1, 3, 3, 1, 4)

jpn
Rolls: 2@1 26@3 8@4; Total Hits: 192@1: (5, 3)26@3: (6, 5, 3, 4, 1, 5, 1, 5, 3, 5, 1, 4, 4, 2, 5, 1, 5, 6, 1, 5, 2, 1, 4, 1, 1, 6)8@4: (3, 2, 3, 1, 4, 3, 6, 1)
Rolls: 2@1 7@2 3@3 29@4; Total Hits: 242@1: (6, 6)7@2: (5, 1, 5, 2, 5, 6, 6)3@3: (2, 1, 4)29@4: (3, 5, 4, 4, 4, 5, 4, 2, 5, 5, 2, 1, 6, 5, 2, 4, 1, 1, 4, 1, 1, 2, 1, 5, 4, 6, 5, 3, 1)

jpn
Rolls: 2@1 26@3 8@4; Total Hits: 182@1: (5, 6)26@3: (4, 4, 4, 1, 2, 2, 4, 4, 1, 2, 5, 1, 2, 3, 3, 5, 4, 3, 2, 4, 3, 4, 5, 2, 1, 4)8@4: (6, 3, 5, 5, 3, 2, 3, 6)
Rolls: 2@1 7@2 3@3 29@4; Total Hits: 252@1: (3, 5)7@2: (2, 6, 2, 2, 2, 1, 3)3@3: (3, 4, 5)29@4: (2, 1, 2, 4, 4, 5, 1, 2, 6, 2, 6, 6, 5, 4, 5, 1, 5, 1, 1, 1, 6, 2, 1, 2, 4, 3, 2, 6, 6)

jpn
Rolls: 2@1 26@3 8@4; Total Hits: 172@1: (5, 5)26@3: (1, 5, 6, 4, 3, 4, 5, 5, 4, 6, 5, 3, 4, 2, 2, 5, 1, 3, 6, 2, 2, 2, 3, 3, 5, 5)8@4: (5, 5, 4, 3, 3, 5, 2, 3)
Rolls: 2@1 7@2 3@3 29@4; Total Hits: 282@1: (2, 5)7@2: (6, 1, 4, 4, 1, 2, 1)3@3: (4, 3, 2)29@4: (3, 4, 4, 2, 5, 6, 4, 1, 2, 2, 5, 1, 6, 3, 4, 3, 1, 5, 5, 3, 4, 5, 3, 1, 3, 4, 3, 3, 2)

jpn
Rolls: 2@1 26@3 8@4; Total Hits: 192@1: (6, 5)26@3: (4, 3, 3, 6, 1, 2, 3, 2, 4, 5, 1, 4, 4, 3, 1, 1, 4, 6, 6, 1, 3, 5, 3, 4, 1, 6)8@4: (6, 3, 1, 5, 2, 5, 2, 4)
Rolls: 2@1 7@2 3@3 29@4; Total Hits: 232@1: (5, 2)7@2: (5, 1, 4, 2, 5, 4, 5)3@3: (3, 1, 6)29@4: (3, 5, 5, 3, 5, 1, 1, 2, 5, 1, 2, 5, 4, 3, 3, 5, 1, 4, 2, 5, 6, 6, 6, 4, 2, 4, 2, 1, 1)

jpn
Rolls: 2@1 26@3 8@4; Total Hits: 142@1: (2, 6)26@3: (4, 6, 4, 6, 4, 5, 6, 5, 4, 6, 1, 2, 4, 3, 5, 2, 3, 3, 4, 2, 3, 4, 1, 6, 5, 5)8@4: (1, 5, 5, 3, 5, 2, 2, 2)
Rolls: 2@1 7@2 3@3 29@4; Total Hits: 232@1: (2, 6)7@2: (1, 1, 5, 4, 1, 5, 6)3@3: (4, 1, 4)29@4: (6, 4, 6, 3, 6, 2, 6, 6, 2, 4, 5, 2, 3, 4, 4, 1, 6, 6, 3, 1, 6, 4, 2, 4, 1, 2, 3, 1, 6)

jpn
Rolls: 2@1 26@3 8@4; Total Hits: 202@1: (4, 4)26@3: (5, 2, 4, 1, 1, 6, 6, 6, 1, 4, 5, 2, 1, 2, 6, 1, 1, 6, 4, 2, 5, 1, 3, 3, 2, 5)8@4: (5, 2, 4, 3, 5, 2, 4, 3)
Rolls: 2@1 7@2 3@3 29@4; Total Hits: 232@1: (3, 4)7@2: (2, 3, 4, 2, 1, 2, 4)3@3: (1, 4, 3)29@4: (2, 5, 2, 5, 6, 1, 5, 3, 3, 1, 1, 2, 2, 5, 4, 1, 6, 2, 3, 3, 5, 5, 5, 3, 6, 6, 4, 3, 6)

jpn
Rolls: 2@1 26@3 8@4; Total Hits: 182@1: (2, 6)26@3: (1, 6, 2, 5, 6, 2, 4, 3, 5, 4, 3, 6, 6, 1, 4, 6, 1, 5, 3, 4, 4, 1, 3, 6, 1, 2)8@4: (3, 4, 1, 5, 3, 1, 4, 5)
Rolls: 2@1 7@2 3@3 29@4; Total Hits: 192@1: (6, 4)7@2: (6, 4, 6, 5, 1, 3, 4)3@3: (6, 4, 1)29@4: (6, 5, 6, 3, 2, 3, 4, 5, 2, 4, 6, 5, 2, 1, 3, 5, 2, 1, 3, 1, 5, 3, 5, 4, 1, 5, 1, 5, 5)

jpn
Rolls: 2@1 26@3 8@4; Total Hits: 202@1: (5, 5)26@3: (5, 3, 5, 2, 5, 1, 5, 3, 2, 3, 3, 1, 4, 3, 3, 2, 5, 3, 5, 6, 1, 1, 4, 5, 2, 3)8@4: (6, 6, 1, 4, 4, 6, 6, 3)
Rolls: 2@1 7@2 3@3 29@4; Total Hits: 202@1: (1, 5)7@2: (3, 6, 2, 5, 2, 5, 5)3@3: (6, 2, 2)29@4: (2, 6, 4, 6, 5, 5, 1, 3, 4, 2, 5, 3, 1, 5, 6, 5, 4, 6, 1, 5, 5, 4, 4, 6, 3, 5, 4, 1, 5)

jpn
Rolls: 2@1 26@3 8@4; Total Hits: 152@1: (5, 2)26@3: (1, 5, 6, 1, 4, 5, 1, 6, 3, 3, 4, 5, 3, 3, 5, 2, 6, 5, 3, 5, 4, 6, 2, 4, 2, 1)8@4: (2, 3, 5, 1, 5, 5, 5, 5)
Rolls: 2@1 7@2 3@3 29@4; Total Hits: 232@1: (6, 2)7@2: (4, 6, 1, 6, 3, 5, 5)3@3: (6, 1, 3)29@4: (1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 5, 3, 6, 3, 5, 6, 4, 2, 4, 4, 1, 3, 2, 5, 3, 4, 2, 2, 5, 1, 5, 3, 6, 4)

jpn
Rolls: 2@1 26@3 8@4; Total Hits: 182@1: (3, 2)26@3: (4, 3, 4, 1, 1, 3, 4, 1, 5, 3, 6, 2, 4, 4, 6, 4, 1, 2, 3, 3, 5, 5, 5, 3, 6, 3)8@4: (5, 5, 6, 2, 1, 4, 4, 4)
Rolls: 2@1 7@2 3@3 29@4; Total Hits: 262@1: (5, 5)7@2: (1, 3, 5, 6, 5, 4, 2)3@3: (3, 2, 1)29@4: (1, 2, 2, 4, 5, 6, 2, 3, 3, 1, 6, 1, 5, 5, 2, 6, 3, 6, 4, 2, 4, 4, 4, 3, 3, 3, 1, 4, 6)

jpn
Rolls: 2@1 26@3 8@4; Total Hits: 132@1: (2, 5)26@3: (6, 4, 6, 3, 2, 6, 5, 5, 2, 5, 4, 3, 4, 3, 5, 4, 5, 4, 1, 1, 2, 4, 4, 5, 1, 1)8@4: (5, 5, 6, 1, 3, 5, 5, 2)
Rolls: 2@1 7@2 3@3 29@4; Total Hits: 292@1: (2, 1)7@2: (1, 1, 5, 2, 6, 2, 5)3@3: (3, 5, 3)29@4: (1, 3, 6, 1, 4, 2, 4, 1, 6, 5, 2, 4, 3, 1, 5, 5, 6, 3, 6, 2, 3, 1, 2, 2, 3, 1, 4, 1, 4)

jpn
Rolls: 2@1 26@3 8@4; Total Hits: 172@1: (2, 3)26@3: (4, 5, 3, 4, 2, 4, 2, 3, 3, 6, 4, 1, 2, 4, 6, 6, 3, 2, 6, 4, 5, 1, 5, 1, 3, 5)8@4: (4, 4, 3, 6, 6, 6, 4, 2)
Rolls: 2@1 7@2 3@3 29@4; Total Hits: 242@1: (3, 5)7@2: (6, 4, 1, 2, 4, 4, 3)3@3: (5, 2, 2)29@4: (5, 4, 4, 5, 2, 3, 5, 1, 3, 2, 5, 1, 5, 2, 6, 4, 1, 3, 6, 3, 2, 5, 1, 3, 1, 5, 1, 3, 3)

jpn
Rolls: 2@1 26@3 8@4; Total Hits: 222@1: (2, 5)26@3: (2, 6, 2, 6, 1, 4, 5, 1, 1, 6, 6, 1, 5, 1, 1, 2, 2, 4, 2, 5, 5, 1, 5, 2, 1, 3)8@4: (2, 4, 6, 4, 2, 2, 3, 4)
Rolls: 2@1 7@2 3@3 29@4; Total Hits: 252@1: (2, 4)7@2: (1, 6, 5, 2, 6, 5, 3)3@3: (4, 6, 3)29@4: (6, 1, 1, 2, 5, 6, 2, 4, 1, 2, 1, 3, 6, 1, 6, 1, 2, 3, 4, 4, 6, 5, 3, 4, 1, 3, 3, 3, 1)

jpn
Rolls: 2@1 26@3 8@4; Total Hits: 212@1: (2, 6)26@3: (1, 2, 6, 2, 1, 6, 3, 4, 6, 5, 5, 2, 5, 5, 2, 5, 1, 4, 3, 4, 3, 1, 1, 1, 1, 4)8@4: (3, 4, 4, 5, 3, 4, 1, 3)
Rolls: 2@1 7@2 3@3 29@4; Total Hits: 252@1: (6, 1)7@2: (2, 3, 5, 2, 2, 3, 4)3@3: (6, 2, 5)29@4: (5, 2, 2, 1, 6, 5, 2, 6, 6, 3, 4, 3, 6, 1, 1, 3, 5, 1, 6, 4, 2, 1, 1, 1, 3, 2, 3, 6, 1)

[boldfresh]

wow first one was best again!  for all the marbles it’s 16 against 18!!

jpn 2
Rolls: 8@3 8@4; Total Hits: 108@3: (4, 6, 1, 5, 6, 1, 1, 2)8@4: (6, 2, 5, 4, 2, 2, 2, 4)
Rolls: 18@4; Total Hits: 1418@4: (1, 5, 1, 5, 2, 4, 3, 1, 1, 3, 2, 1, 5, 3, 6, 3, 2, 1)

[boldfresh]

pounded AGAIN!

jpn3
Rolls: 1@3 1@4; Total Hits: 11@3: (1)1@4: (6)
Rolls: 8@4; Total Hits: 48@4: (5, 5, 4, 6, 3, 5, 4, 2)