Honestly, I believe that starting at 9, the Allies have a very decent chance.
If I had to give numbers, I would say that at the time being, I would perform something like 60-40 as axis wins if I was playing “against myself” with a bid between 3 and 8, and 50-50 with a bid of 9.
But this is mainly because I think I know quite well how to play the axis, whereas I’m still not 100% sure on what is the best allied play.
I played a lot a games as the allies at the beginning I was here, a lot of them with no bid or 3 or less bid, and I won almost all of them, and always in a KJF. But since then, the axis play has been improved around here, and I’m not as confident anymore with the allies ; thus I bid higher.
But from my experience, a very few minor details and the allies can have a very strong situation very fast. Axis really need to respond very well to counter the allies.
Anyway, just my current feelings about the balance ; and my conclusion is that I believe I’m still missing something on allied strategy :)