Noll (Allies) vs. Corriganbp (Axis) - A3 as of Nov 2011 - Anti Sea Lion Test

[Noll]

Egypt attack failed;

Anzac collects 12 + 1 = 13

Russia#4

IPCs: 66

builds:

14 inf (42)
1minorIC (12)
3mec (12)

Combat Moves:

1inf 2mec 1arm NPR > IRQ
1bmb SUKR > IRQ (3inf)
Rolls: 3@1 1@3 1@4; Total Hits: 03@1: (3, 5, 3)1@3: (6)1@4: (5)
Rolls: 3@3; Total Hits: 13@3: (6, 3, 6)

1inf FIN > NOR

2inf ROM > YUGO (2inf)
1fig 1tac EPL > YUGO
Rolls: 2@1 1@3 1@4; Total Hits: 12@1: (6, 5)1@3: (5)1@4: (1)
Rolls: 2@2; Total Hits: 02@2: (3, 5)

1arm blitz ROM > BUL > GRE
1arm blitz ROM > BUL > ALB

2inf 1rtl 1fig EPL > HUN (2inf 1rtl)
Rolls: 1@1 2@2 1@3; Total Hits: 01@1: (3)2@2: (5, 3)1@3: (5)
Rolls: 2@2; Total Hits: 02@2: (4, 4)

[Noll]

IRQ missed, I typed @3 instead of @2

1inf 2mec 1arm NPR > IRQ
1bmb SUKR > IRQ (3inf)
Rolls: 3@1 1@3 1@4; Total Hits: 43@1: (1, 1, 3)1@3: (2)1@4: (4)
Rolls: 3@3; Total Hits: 03@3: (4, 4, 4)

1inf FIN > NOR

2inf ROM > YUGO (1inf)
1fig 1tac EPL > YUGO
Rolls: 2@1 1@3 1@4; Total Hits: 22@1: (1, 2)1@3: (4)1@4: (2)
Rolls: 2@2; Total Hits: 12@2: (5, 2)

2inf 1rtl 1fig EPL > HUN (2inf 1rtl)
Rolls: 1@1 2@2 1@3; Total Hits: 31@1: (1)2@2: (1, 4)1@3: (2)
Rolls: 2@2; Total Hits: 12@2: (4, 1)

[Noll]

everything taken;

Again, I rolled 1 more in Yugo, so Yugo is twol.

Collects: 61 (tt) + 5 (sz125) + 24 (Euro NOs) = 90 IPCs

More money than USA 4.AAM

[corriganbp]

if you want we can back up and play from America’s last turn.  Would you have used 2 ships to block?

[Noll]

Either wait 1 turn or put a carrier with figs there, what would be your counter to it?

[Noll]

(with a dd of course)

[corriganbp]

I would sink it with the subs and destroyer.  And I might even consider attacking both fleets anyway since I would still be able to hit the fleet at Gib with the bb ca and all planes.

[Noll]

There’s still good odds of sinking the american navy without the subs?

[Noll]

anyway go on, I don’t think the game is doomed in europe, but it might be in Asia, 'cause my project was to start build there now and I’m not sure I can.

My original plan was to put many resourches away from Russia (and I accomplished that somewhat) and by giving you targets in the medi to make yourself lose air/naval units there in the first rounds.

After getting into the med I wanted to get Greece with the americans to support the russians and convoy the italians, then unload the russians in the 3 islands (Cipro, Sicily and Sardinia).

I need lots of thinkering to improve this though. What do you think of it?

[corriganbp]

67% - expected result is 4 surviving planes.

If you really have to get to Gib this turn, then block with the CA and DD. Â

if you have all your carriers at gib, the odds get bad for Germany.

Of course, I will happily sink the CA and DD.

Also, I will want to relook at my Italian turn, to see what I would have done differently.

If we’re going to do this, we should basically back up to Allies 3, complete the non combat moves, and then let me take Italy’s turn.

[corriganbp]

I think that what you are suggesting is very close to what should be done; however, implementation - dice rolls - the breaks will be different each game.

I do not believe that the specifics of what the allies do are so important, as long as they take enough pressure off of Russia that russia can do what it must do for the allies to win a post sea lion game.

Also, remember that the Russian NO is changing.  You are going by the current official A3 rule, but Krieg has already suggested that the NO for pro allied neutrals, Yugo, Greece, is going away.

[corriganbp]

this game is somewhat of an experiment for me as well, as I am trying to see what would happen if Germany bought all Navy R3.

[corriganbp]

I noticed that you forgot the CRD against UK Mumbai, Shan State and Siam.

here’s rolling for that:

Rolls: 7@3; Total Hits: 27@3: (3, 4, 6, 2, 6, 5, 6)

[corriganbp]

I am deducting 2 from the UK Mumbai’s ipc total for the CRD.  There was enough to deduct Shan State and Siam.

[corriganbp]

CRD against Korea as well

Rolls: 9@3; Total Hits: 69@3: (2, 4, 3, 2, 2, 1, 3, 5, 5)

[corriganbp]

that’s 3 less ipcs for USSR

[corriganbp]

Japan 4
With 71 ipcs,
3 cvs = 48
2 dds = 16
1 sub = 6
Save 1 ipc

Combat
1 inf fr sze to sik
1 inf fr she to tsi
1 inf fr she to kan

Attack sui (4 inf) with
3 inf 2 art fr she
1 inf fr hop
2 bmbs fr kwa

AttackRolls: 2@1 4@2 2@4; Total Hits: 42@1: (2, 1)4@2: (5, 1, 1, 4)2@4: (6, 3)
DefendRolls: 4@2; Total Hits: 24@2: (2, 6, 5, 1)

Attack sz 42 ( 1 dd) with
1 sub fr 41
Ftr tac fr 41
Ftr tac fr kwa

AttackRolls: 1@2 2@3 2@4; Total Hits: 31@2: (2)2@3: (4, 6)2@4: (2, 2)
DefendRolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (4)

Attack shan state ( 1 inf ) with
2 inf fr Malaya
3 ftrs 2 tacs fr kwa, 37, 41

AttackRolls: 2@1 3@3 2@4; Total Hits: 22@1: (5, 4)3@3: (6, 3, 3)2@4: (6, 5)
DefendRolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (4)

Drop 1 inf fr Celebes to FIC
Drop 1 inf fr Borneo to Siam

Attack phillipines (2 inf) with

1 inf 1 art fr Sumatra
2 inf fr Kwangtung 1 art fr Kwa 1 inf fr Palau
1 bb 1 ca support shots
Ftr tac fr kwa
2 ftrs fr 36
BombardRolls: 1@3 1@4; Total Hits: 21@3: (2)1@4: (2)
AttackRolls: 2@1 4@2 3@3 1@4; Total Hits: 62@1: (6, 3)4@2: (1, 2, 3, 5)3@3: (2, 3, 2)1@4: (1)
DefendRolls: 2@2; Total Hits: 02@2: (6, 4)

[corriganbp]

Japan collects 63, saved 1 = 64

we’ve got our oil 4.AAM

[Noll]

hmmmmm

by checking the game, don’t you agree that my chances of defending a Japanese victory are very slim?

You can get Sydney in 2 turns, with:

11inf 3rtl 7fig 5tac
2cr bomb 2bb bomb

VS:

up to:

2aa 10inf 3rtl 1arm 2fig (1american one)

for a 100.0% chance of winning.

After Sydney even 2 full buys of Pacific #USA won’t prevent an Hawaii falling, do you agree with me and we can start a new game?

[corriganbp]

you might be in position to take a VC with the Russians by then, but I do agree that Japan can overcome and you must choose between Atlantic or Pacific.

we can start a new game, or continue an old game if you like.