A comment to what I adress as the Standard german start move.
Of cause you don’t put 8 inf in africa if not needed. The point is you have the ability too do it. Flexibility is very important. German can counter a lot of moves, with that.
2 transport in the mediteranian, (with a german standard first turn)is not going to ferry 4 troops to africa every turn in the game (but sometimes they ferry troops the other way, flexibility !!). But the ability to do it, can discourage allies a few more rounds to make an africa landing from the atlantic. It certainly should discourage england from do an early factory setup in africa.
Now to the argument about the value of the investments in 2 factorys with england compared to the african ipc value of 10.
Here it’s important to understand that every teritory taken and kept is worth twice as much, because the enemy does not have them.
10 to england and minus 10 to germany= worth 20 in one round!! worth a factory ?
the second factory in egypt is often not needed for the taking of africa. But its valuable for puting presure on the asian front, getting back from the indian set back.
if germany have lost africa in turn one (happends in around 1/3 of the cases!) the 2 factorys in turn 1 and 2 would make a persian front in turn 4, with 4 armors rolling in each turn.
if germany gets egypt scratced then the counterattack and a south african factory givis england an immidiatly edge in the african battle, at the cost of an indian factory, but with a russia with less presure from germany, and later an possible asian front, from persia. (also around 1/3 cases)
If germany gets egypt with 1 or zero losses, and still haves the abillity to gets troops to africa, england stays in India. And what germany got was an african take over accomplised 1 round earlyer than with a standard 1st round move.
(also roughly around 1/3 cases)
so we comes down to 1/3 cases there is clarly an disaster for germany and 1/3 cases there is just max 1 round faster in taking africa and then 1/3 cases there is unclear(at this stage in the argument)
so is this worth it. NO its not.
I think it is that simple as put by Yanny in the short version. And with analyzing and discussion, we might get more to agree on that!
And then to the case with an german egypt attack with only libyan troops (and maybe a fighter) and a shoot at the sub. this combined with the ability to ferry in 4 more troops in round 2 (in egybt if the sub is gone) to the 2 there lands in libya in round 1. Is this move usefull for germany ?
Is it worth it try to force England to choose between India and Africa, while still having abillity to land more troops in africa. Is the price to high! I rarely sees it played among my circle of friends , so I have not made up my mind on this. And defently would like to hear others opinions on this.
with regards
Jondifool.