Shadowguidex vs. Leodar

[shadowguidex]

Yeah I’ve found two things never seem to work out as well as I hope: defending with infantry stacks or attacking a large navy.

[Leodor]

And China, Russia, and to some extent, India have to defend with INF stacks.

USA 3
–--------------

Purchase Units(52)

4 SUB
1 CV
1 TAC

save 1

NCM

1 BB sz10–>sz26
1 TAC WUS–>sz26

Placement

1 TAC CUS
1 CV, 2 SUB sz 10
2 SUB sz 101

Collect Income

Declare War Japan, Italy, Germany

Question do I get NO’s this turn?

[shadowguidex]

Yeah you do.

[shadowguidex]

@Leodor:

I cant catch a break in the dice. My defense dice are below average, and your hits are killing me. 8 hits @4. Not impossible… but crap!

Actually this fight was statistically expected.

I had attack power 63 (84 + 83 + 22 + 31) which equates to 10.5 hits.

You had attack power 26 (112 + 41) which equates to 4.33 hits

I rolled 1.5 hits over expected and you got .33 hits under expected.  With 21 rolls and 12 rolls respectively, it’s hardly a statistical anomaly.

All the early rolls I get not a single hit @2, you got 8/17 or 39%, I go 0/5.

Yes, you got unlucky with your returned fire here, but I went at you with superior numbers in every case.  You should have scored 1.66 hits back, but again not an outlier by any means.

[shadowguidex]

Fact of the matter is an Infantry stack of 11 means 3.66 hits back.  Not intimidating at all.  Infantry stacks don’t scare me much.  Sure it’s POSSIBLE to get an extremely lucky 7+ hits on 11 INF, but the odds are astronomically low.

[Leodor]

I understand it was not an anomaly, and that you hit with overwhelming force. But every hit I score helps, and so when not getting my few hits, AND you getting a few extra it can really turn a bad situation worse quickly. Every battle from there own out you should be slightly thinner, especially in the INF, and your not. Nothing meant by it, just commenting on the fact I wish I had gotten my few hits I should have gotten, especially if you are going to be above average, even if just slightly.

US3 CONTINUATION

Collect INCOME
–------------------
52+25NO+1 SAVED=78total

China 3

Purchase(12)

4 INF

Place Units

4 Units Yun

Collect Income

3

[Leodor]

UK3
–----------------

Purchase

UK Europe (31)
1 Airbase
1 DD
1 TRN
Save 1

UK Pacific (29)
2 FGT
3INF

Combat Movement

1 ART, 1 MECH, 1 ARM IRQ–>TRJ
1 FGT EGY–>TRJ
1 STR UK–>WGER (SBR)
1 STR UK–>FRA ) (SBR)

AA over Wger
Rolls: 1@1; Total Hits: 01@1: (2)

if no hit SBR on Wger+2
Rolls: 1@6; Total Hits: 11@6: (6)

AA over FRA
Rolls: 1@1; Total Hits: 01@1: (6)

if no hit SBR on FRA+2
Rolls: 1@6; Total Hits: 11@6: (1)

TRJ 1 ART,1 MECH, 1 ARM, 1 FGT vs. 3 ART

R1A
Rolls: 2@2, 2@3; Total Hits: 42@2,: (2, 2)2@3: (1, 1)

R1D
Rolls: 2@3; Total Hits: 12@3: (6, 2)

[Leodor]

SBR over WGER=8 dmg
SBR over FRA=3 DMG

reroll dice for TRJ D since i flipped the numbers
R1D TRJ
Rolls: 3@2; Total Hits: 03@2: (3, 4, 5)

[Leodor]

TRJ TWOL

NCM
–-----------
1 STR WGER–>UK
1 STR FRA–>UK
1 SUB sz109–>sz105
3 INF CPR–>IRQ
1 FGT TRJ–>EGY
2 INF, 1 ART SAF–>RHO

Placement

UK EUROPE
1 AIRBASE GIB
1 DD, 1 TRN sz 106

UK PACIFIC
3 INF, 2 FGT IND

Collect Income

UK Europe
30+1 SAVED=31 Total

UK Pacific
18

Italy GOGO!

shadowguidex_leodor_UK3.AAM

[Leodor]

Forgot to add the MDG markers. This file for correct SBR dmg.

shadowguidex_leodor_UK3.AAM

[shadowguidex]

Italy Round Three
–-----------------------------

Purchase Units (27)

5 INF
3 ART

Combat Movement

3 INF, 1 ART Alx --> Egy
3 INF, 1 ART Sud --> Egy
1 TANK, 1 MECH Tob --> Egy
1 STR Tob --> Trj (3/6)
2 TRN z97 --> z98
2 ART Sita --> Trj (TRN)
2 INF Yugo --> Trj (TRN)
2 FTR Sita --> Egy (4/5)

Combat

Egy (6 INF, 1 MECH, 2 ART, 1 TANK, 2 FTR vs. 4 INF, 1 ART, 1 FTR)
Rolls: 5@1 4@2 3@3; Total Hits: 55@1: (1, 1, 2, 6, 6)4@2: (6, 1, 2, 6)3@3: (5, 5, 2)
Rolls: 5@2 1@4; Total Hits: 05@2: (4, 5, 3, 5, 5)1@4: (5)

[shadowguidex]

Yeah now THAT was bad luck!!

Egy r2
Rolls: 5@1 4@2 3@3; Total Hits: 35@1: (5, 2, 6, 6, 1)4@2: (3, 2, 4, 2)3@3: (6, 5, 4)
Rolls: 1@4; Total Hits: 11@4: (2)

[shadowguidex]

Egy twlo 1 INF

Trj (2 INF, 2 ART, 1 STR, 1 BB, 2 CA vs. 1 ART, 1 MECH, 1 TANK)
Rolls: 4@2 2@3 2@4; Total Hits: 54@2: (1, 1, 2, 4)2@3: (1, 5)2@4: (2, 6)
Rolls: 2@2 1@3; Total Hits: 02@2: (3, 5)1@3: (4)

[shadowguidex]

Trj twol

Non-Combat Movement
–-----------------------------
2 FTR Egy --> Alx
1 STR Trj --> Alx
2 INF Yugo --> Alb
1 INF Nita --> Sita
1 TANK Nita --> Fra
2 TRN z98 --> z97
1 SUB z91 --> z83

Place Units

2 INF, 1 ART in Wfr
1 INF in Sfr
1 INF, 2 ART in Sita
1 INF in Nita

Convoy Damage

Wfr (1 SUB)
Rolls: 2@6; Total Hits: 22@6: (1, 2)
Ken (1 DD)
Rolls: 1@6; Total Hits: 11@6: (4)

[shadowguidex]

Convoy Damage: 2 in Wfr, 0 in Ken

Collect Income 23 + 5 NO - 2 Convoy = 26 IPCs

Gogo ANZAC…

shadowguidx_leodor_I3.AAM

[Leodor]

No reason to even try and defend! :(

[Leodor]

ANZAC 3
–------------------

Purchase (24)

3 ARM
Save 6

NCM

1 TRN sz61–>sz63
1 INF, 1 ART SAU–>QUE

Placement

3 ARM NSW

Collect Income

14+10NO+6 SAVED=30 Total

France 3

CM

1 INF ALG–>TUN

TUN twol

NCM

1 INF FEA–>CON
1 DD sz72–>sz71

Germany GoGo!

[Leodor]

oops

shadowguidex_leodor_f3.AAM
shadowguidex_leodor_f3.AAM

[Leodor]

When looking at my board at home I found a mistake. I typed in my ANZAC 2 placement, but they are not on abattlemap.

There should have been 2 INF NSW and 1 DD off the coast of NSW.

I would like to add them, and move them in ANZAC 3 especially since we have not gotten to J4 yet.

2 INF NSW–>QUE
1 DD sz 62–>sz54

I will add these on my R4 if that is okay.

[shadowguidex]

I’ll add them where indicated.