Oof. Very good dice for the Soviets this turn:
Net Allies dice swing: +4.31 swing
Net Axis dice swing: -4.31 swing
This means the Soviets ended up with 4.31 more units than they would’ve had otherwise.
I cant catch a break in the dice. My defense dice are below average, and your hits are killing me. 8 hits @4. Not impossible… but crap!
Actually this fight was statistically expected.
I had attack power 63 (84 + 83 + 22 + 31) which equates to 10.5 hits.
You had attack power 26 (112 + 41) which equates to 4.33 hits
I rolled 1.5 hits over expected and you got .33 hits under expected. With 21 rolls and 12 rolls respectively, it’s hardly a statistical anomaly.
All the early rolls I get not a single hit @2, you got 8/17 or 39%, I go 0/5.
Yes, you got unlucky with your returned fire here, but I went at you with superior numbers in every case. You should have scored 1.66 hits back, but again not an outlier by any means.
Fact of the matter is an Infantry stack of 11 means 3.66 hits back. Not intimidating at all. Infantry stacks don’t scare me much. Sure it’s POSSIBLE to get an extremely lucky 7+ hits on 11 INF, but the odds are astronomically low.
I understand it was not an anomaly, and that you hit with overwhelming force. But every hit I score helps, and so when not getting my few hits, AND you getting a few extra it can really turn a bad situation worse quickly. Every battle from there own out you should be slightly thinner, especially in the INF, and your not. Nothing meant by it, just commenting on the fact I wish I had gotten my few hits I should have gotten, especially if you are going to be above average, even if just slightly.
US3 CONTINUATION
Collect INCOME
–------------------
52+25NO+1 SAVED=78total
4 INF
4 Units Yun
3
UK3
–----------------
UK Europe (31)
1 Airbase
1 DD
1 TRN
Save 1
UK Pacific (29)
2 FGT
3INF
1 ART, 1 MECH, 1 ARM IRQ–>TRJ
1 FGT EGY–>TRJ
1 STR UK–>WGER (SBR)
1 STR UK–>FRA ) (SBR)
AA over Wger
Rolls: 1@1; Total Hits: 01@1: (2)
if no hit SBR on Wger+2
Rolls: 1@6; Total Hits: 11@6: (6)
AA over FRA
Rolls: 1@1; Total Hits: 01@1: (6)
if no hit SBR on FRA+2
Rolls: 1@6; Total Hits: 11@6: (1)
TRJ 1 ART,1 MECH, 1 ARM, 1 FGT vs. 3 ART
R1A
Rolls: 2@2, 2@3; Total Hits: 42@2,: (2, 2)2@3: (1, 1)
R1D
Rolls: 2@3; Total Hits: 12@3: (6, 2)
SBR over WGER=8 dmg
SBR over FRA=3 DMG
reroll dice for TRJ D since i flipped the numbers
R1D TRJ
Rolls: 3@2; Total Hits: 03@2: (3, 4, 5)
TRJ TWOL
NCM
–-----------
1 STR WGER–>UK
1 STR FRA–>UK
1 SUB sz109–>sz105
3 INF CPR–>IRQ
1 FGT TRJ–>EGY
2 INF, 1 ART SAF–>RHO
UK EUROPE
1 AIRBASE GIB
1 DD, 1 TRN sz 106
UK PACIFIC
3 INF, 2 FGT IND
UK Europe
30+1 SAVED=31 Total
UK Pacific
18
Italy GOGO!
Forgot to add the MDG markers. This file for correct SBR dmg.
Italy Round Three
–-----------------------------
5 INF
3 ART
3 INF, 1 ART Alx --> Egy
3 INF, 1 ART Sud --> Egy
1 TANK, 1 MECH Tob --> Egy
1 STR Tob --> Trj (3/6)
2 TRN z97 --> z98
2 ART Sita --> Trj (TRN)
2 INF Yugo --> Trj (TRN)
2 FTR Sita --> Egy (4/5)
Egy (6 INF, 1 MECH, 2 ART, 1 TANK, 2 FTR vs. 4 INF, 1 ART, 1 FTR)
Rolls: 5@1 4@2 3@3; Total Hits: 55@1: (1, 1, 2, 6, 6)4@2: (6, 1, 2, 6)3@3: (5, 5, 2)
Rolls: 5@2 1@4; Total Hits: 05@2: (4, 5, 3, 5, 5)1@4: (5)
Yeah now THAT was bad luck!!
Egy r2
Rolls: 5@1 4@2 3@3; Total Hits: 35@1: (5, 2, 6, 6, 1)4@2: (3, 2, 4, 2)3@3: (6, 5, 4)
Rolls: 1@4; Total Hits: 11@4: (2)
Egy twlo 1 INF
Trj (2 INF, 2 ART, 1 STR, 1 BB, 2 CA vs. 1 ART, 1 MECH, 1 TANK)
Rolls: 4@2 2@3 2@4; Total Hits: 54@2: (1, 1, 2, 4)2@3: (1, 5)2@4: (2, 6)
Rolls: 2@2 1@3; Total Hits: 02@2: (3, 5)1@3: (4)
Trj twol
Non-Combat Movement
–-----------------------------
2 FTR Egy --> Alx
1 STR Trj --> Alx
2 INF Yugo --> Alb
1 INF Nita --> Sita
1 TANK Nita --> Fra
2 TRN z98 --> z97
1 SUB z91 --> z83
2 INF, 1 ART in Wfr
1 INF in Sfr
1 INF, 2 ART in Sita
1 INF in Nita
Wfr (1 SUB)
Rolls: 2@6; Total Hits: 22@6: (1, 2)
Ken (1 DD)
Rolls: 1@6; Total Hits: 11@6: (4)
Convoy Damage: 2 in Wfr, 0 in Ken
Collect Income 23 + 5 NO - 2 Convoy = 26 IPCs
Gogo ANZAC…
No reason to even try and defend! :(
ANZAC 3
–------------------
3 ARM
Save 6
1 TRN sz61–>sz63
1 INF, 1 ART SAU–>QUE
3 ARM NSW
14+10NO+6 SAVED=30 Total
1 INF ALG–>TUN
TUN twol
1 INF FEA–>CON
1 DD sz72–>sz71
Germany GoGo!
When looking at my board at home I found a mistake. I typed in my ANZAC 2 placement, but they are not on abattlemap.
There should have been 2 INF NSW and 1 DD off the coast of NSW.
I would like to add them, and move them in ANZAC 3 especially since we have not gotten to J4 yet.
2 INF NSW–>QUE
1 DD sz 62–>sz54
I will add these on my R4 if that is okay.
I’ll add them where indicated.
Germany Round Four
–-------------------------------------
1 SUB
9 MECH
17 INF, 11 ART, 3 MECH, 6 TANK Epl --> Nukr
10 INF, 3 TANK Bes --> Nukr
1 INF Fin --> Kar
1 INF Bal --> Bel
2 TAC Pol --> Bel (2/4)
1 STR Pol --> Bel (2/6)
Bel (1 INF, 2 TAC, 1 STR vs. 1 INF)
Rolls: 1@1 2@3 1@4; Total Hits: 11@1: (4)2@3: (4, 4)1@4: (2)
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (3)
Bel twol
Nukr (27 INF, 11 ART, 9 TANK, 3 MECH vs. 1 INF)
Rolls: 19@1 22@2 9@3; Total Hits: 1219@1: (3, 5, 4, 2, 1, 1, 3, 3, 4, 3, 5, 6, 2, 6, 2, 5, 2, 2, 6)22@2: (3, 2, 3, 5, 5, 2, 2, 1, 5, 1, 5, 3, 4, 3, 1, 6, 3, 1, 2, 5, 5, 4)9@3: (4, 4, 6, 3, 5, 4, 5, 6, 3)
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 11@2: (1)
Nukr twlo 1 INF
Non-Combat Movement
–-----------------------------
1 STR, 2 TAC Bel --> Epl
1 INF Pol --> Bal
9 INF Pol --> Epl
8 INF, 10 ART Ger --> Pol
1 STR Tob --> Epl
2 AAgun Epl --> Nukr
1 INF Fra --> Nita
1 SUB in z113
9 MECH in Ger
Collect Income 43 + 5 = 48 IPCs.
Gogo USSR…