Shadowguidex vs. Leodar

[Leodor]

forgot to attach map

shadowguidx_leodor_R3.AAM

[shadowguidex]

Japan Round Three
–------------------------------

Purchase Units (48)

2 CV
2 TANK
1 MECH

Combat Movement

2 SUB z36 --> z45
2 DD, 1 CA, 1 TRN z36 --> z44
2 INF, 2 ART Kwa --> Cel (TRN)
3 TRN z19 --> z20
3 INF, 3 ART Ksu --> Hon (TRN)
2 TRN z6 --> z20
2 INF, 2 ART Jap --> Hon (TRN)
4 INF, 1 ART Kwe --> Sze
6 FTR, 4 TAC, 2 STR Kwa --> Sze (2/4)(2/6)
2 INF, 1 ART Sui --> Kan
1 INF Hop --> She
1 INF Bury --> Yak
1 MECH Sak --> Yak
3 INF, 2 ART Ula --> Yak
2 FTR, 2 TAC Cha --> Sze (3/4)

Combat

z45 (2 SUB vs. 1 DD, 1 TRN)
Rolls: 2@2; Total Hits: 02@2: (4, 5)
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (6)

[shadowguidex]

z45 r2
Rolls: 2@2; Total Hits: 12@2: (6, 2)
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (3)

[shadowguidex]

z45 twol

z44 twol

Cel (2 INF, 2 ART vs. 1 INF)
Rolls: 4@2; Total Hits: 24@2: (3, 2, 2, 4)
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (3)

[shadowguidex]

Cel twol

Hon (5 INF, 5 ART vs. 2 INF)
Rolls: 10@2; Total Hits: 410@2: (2, 1, 6, 2, 3, 1, 3, 4, 4, 5)
Rolls: 2@2; Total Hits: 02@2: (4, 3)

[shadowguidex]

Hon twol

Sze (4 INF, 1 ART, 8 FTR, 6 TAC, 2 STR vs. 11 INF, 1 FTR)
Rolls: 3@1 2@2 8@3 8@4; Total Hits: 143@1: (3, 3, 3)2@2: (1, 2)8@3: (3, 2, 3, 4, 6, 5, 1, 6)8@4: (3, 1, 1, 2, 4, 3, 1, 4)
Rolls: 11@2 1@4; Total Hits: 411@2: (2, 6, 2, 6, 5, 6, 3, 1, 6, 3, 3)1@4: (3)

[shadowguidex]

Sze twlo 4 INF

Non-Combat Movement
–---------------------------
2 FTR, 2 TAC Sze --> Sui
2 FTR, 2 TAC Sze --> Kwe
4 FTR, 2 TAC, 2 STR Sze --> Kwa
1 TANK Sfe --> Amu
1 AAgun Ula --> Yak
1 CA, 1 CV z6 --> z20
2 CV, 2 BB, 2 DD, 2 FTR, 2 TAC z6 --> z33

Place Units

2 CV in z6
2 TANK , Ksu
1 MECH in Ksu

Collect Income 47 + 10 NO = 57 IPCs

Gogo USA…

shadowguidx_leodor_J3.AAM

[shadowguidex]

Slight NCM change

Use this file.

shadowguidx_leodor_J3.AAM

[Leodor]

I cant catch a break in the dice. My defense dice are below average, and your hits are killing me. 8 hits @4. Not impossible… but crap!

All the early rolls I get not a single hit @2, you got 8/17 or 39%, I go 0/5.

[shadowguidex]

Yeah I’ve found two things never seem to work out as well as I hope: defending with infantry stacks or attacking a large navy.

[Leodor]

And China, Russia, and to some extent, India have to defend with INF stacks.

USA 3
–--------------

Purchase Units(52)

4 SUB
1 CV
1 TAC

save 1

NCM

1 BB sz10–>sz26
1 TAC WUS–>sz26

Placement

1 TAC CUS
1 CV, 2 SUB sz 10
2 SUB sz 101

Collect Income

Declare War Japan, Italy, Germany

Question do I get NO’s this turn?

[shadowguidex]

Yeah you do.

[shadowguidex]

@Leodor:

I cant catch a break in the dice. My defense dice are below average, and your hits are killing me. 8 hits @4. Not impossible… but crap!

Actually this fight was statistically expected.

I had attack power 63 (84 + 83 + 22 + 31) which equates to 10.5 hits.

You had attack power 26 (112 + 41) which equates to 4.33 hits

I rolled 1.5 hits over expected and you got .33 hits under expected.  With 21 rolls and 12 rolls respectively, it’s hardly a statistical anomaly.

All the early rolls I get not a single hit @2, you got 8/17 or 39%, I go 0/5.

Yes, you got unlucky with your returned fire here, but I went at you with superior numbers in every case.  You should have scored 1.66 hits back, but again not an outlier by any means.

[shadowguidex]

Fact of the matter is an Infantry stack of 11 means 3.66 hits back.  Not intimidating at all.  Infantry stacks don’t scare me much.  Sure it’s POSSIBLE to get an extremely lucky 7+ hits on 11 INF, but the odds are astronomically low.

[Leodor]

I understand it was not an anomaly, and that you hit with overwhelming force. But every hit I score helps, and so when not getting my few hits, AND you getting a few extra it can really turn a bad situation worse quickly. Every battle from there own out you should be slightly thinner, especially in the INF, and your not. Nothing meant by it, just commenting on the fact I wish I had gotten my few hits I should have gotten, especially if you are going to be above average, even if just slightly.

US3 CONTINUATION

Collect INCOME
–------------------
52+25NO+1 SAVED=78total

China 3

Purchase(12)

4 INF

Place Units

4 Units Yun

Collect Income

3

[Leodor]

UK3
–----------------

Purchase

UK Europe (31)
1 Airbase
1 DD
1 TRN
Save 1

UK Pacific (29)
2 FGT
3INF

Combat Movement

1 ART, 1 MECH, 1 ARM IRQ–>TRJ
1 FGT EGY–>TRJ
1 STR UK–>WGER (SBR)
1 STR UK–>FRA ) (SBR)

AA over Wger
Rolls: 1@1; Total Hits: 01@1: (2)

if no hit SBR on Wger+2
Rolls: 1@6; Total Hits: 11@6: (6)

AA over FRA
Rolls: 1@1; Total Hits: 01@1: (6)

if no hit SBR on FRA+2
Rolls: 1@6; Total Hits: 11@6: (1)

TRJ 1 ART,1 MECH, 1 ARM, 1 FGT vs. 3 ART

R1A
Rolls: 2@2, 2@3; Total Hits: 42@2,: (2, 2)2@3: (1, 1)

R1D
Rolls: 2@3; Total Hits: 12@3: (6, 2)

[Leodor]

SBR over WGER=8 dmg
SBR over FRA=3 DMG

reroll dice for TRJ D since i flipped the numbers
R1D TRJ
Rolls: 3@2; Total Hits: 03@2: (3, 4, 5)

[Leodor]

TRJ TWOL

NCM
–-----------
1 STR WGER–>UK
1 STR FRA–>UK
1 SUB sz109–>sz105
3 INF CPR–>IRQ
1 FGT TRJ–>EGY
2 INF, 1 ART SAF–>RHO

Placement

UK EUROPE
1 AIRBASE GIB
1 DD, 1 TRN sz 106

UK PACIFIC
3 INF, 2 FGT IND

Collect Income

UK Europe
30+1 SAVED=31 Total

UK Pacific
18

Italy GOGO!

shadowguidex_leodor_UK3.AAM

[Leodor]

Forgot to add the MDG markers. This file for correct SBR dmg.

shadowguidex_leodor_UK3.AAM

[shadowguidex]

Italy Round Three
–-----------------------------

Purchase Units (27)

5 INF
3 ART

Combat Movement

3 INF, 1 ART Alx --> Egy
3 INF, 1 ART Sud --> Egy
1 TANK, 1 MECH Tob --> Egy
1 STR Tob --> Trj (3/6)
2 TRN z97 --> z98
2 ART Sita --> Trj (TRN)
2 INF Yugo --> Trj (TRN)
2 FTR Sita --> Egy (4/5)

Combat

Egy (6 INF, 1 MECH, 2 ART, 1 TANK, 2 FTR vs. 4 INF, 1 ART, 1 FTR)
Rolls: 5@1 4@2 3@3; Total Hits: 55@1: (1, 1, 2, 6, 6)4@2: (6, 1, 2, 6)3@3: (5, 5, 2)
Rolls: 5@2 1@4; Total Hits: 05@2: (4, 5, 3, 5, 5)1@4: (5)