Jim010/Stirling vs Cromwell

[jim010]

:roll:

Loss?

[Chromwell]

FTR

[jim010]

def
Rolls: 3@4; Total Hits: 33@4: (3, 2, 2)

[jim010]

I’m about to surrender …

[jim010]

att
Rolls: 1@4; Total Hits: 01@4: (6)

def
Rolls: 2@4; Total Hits: 12@4: (1, 5)

[jim010]

I surrender.

Good game.

[Chromwell]

Well, by my calculations before battle, you had about 62% probability of victory - it’s hardly a guaranteed battle. But I really deserve to lose for not considering the invasion of EUS. I was stupidly only considering the naval conflict. Pretty unforgivable on my part.

[Chromwell]

Seems like you’re giving up prematurely, it’s hardly guaranteed that I won’t make a completely stupid mistake with Russia…

[jim010]

No, its over.  My TTs are dead on your turn.  I planned on this, knowing that if it didn’t work, it would be over.  If I hadn’t bought the TTs and bought land units instead with Germany on turn 2, I’d keep at it, but I didn’t.  Russia now has such a lead in land units, that I’ll never catch up.  And Japan has bled itself try trying to suck out US planes and ships, that there’s not much left.

Your game.  You won.

[Chromwell]

Yeah, I see the strategy you were trying out and it seems well conceived, specifically in choking America on her coasts with CRD, if an outright invasion isn’t possible.

Germany 1 and 2 are Naval Builds with Sea Lion on G2. Japan Pearl Harbors on J2 with landing force on Haw. One of my mistakes seems to have been to allow you to Pearl in the first place, destroying the entire initial Pacific Fleet. That was a mistake on my part. It seems best to retreat the Americans to sz 10 with, perhaps, a DD blocker in sz 25. There, America can at least divide up their starting Naval Fleet; gives them options. Also, it would mean with more U.S. Navy, your plan (invading U.S. coastline) would only work if the U.S. failed purchase management.

My second tactical mistake with America was not recognizing the EUS invasion you planned, which was obvious enough, or I would have made the sz 101 Naval odds more airtight by sending the undamaged CV I sent to sz 26 to sz 101 (the 5th FTR would have been present in EUS to scramble as well), which would have given you ~40%.

The overall German Plan seems to weaken Germany too much against Russia and it has low probability of success if the U.S. plays reasonably (not making my poor tactical choices). I’m not even sure at what point it’s best to conquer an under-defended UK - perhaps G2 is too early, no matter what the odds.

[jim010]

@Cromwell:

Yeah, I see the strategy you were trying out and it seems well conceived, specifically in choking America on her coasts with CRD, if an outright invasion isn’t possible.

I wasn’t committed to it until I bought the TTs on G2.

Germany 1 and 2 are Naval Builds with Sea Lion on G2. Japan Pearl Harbors on J2 with landing force on Haw. One of my mistakes seems to have been to allow you to Pearl in the first place, destroying the entire initial Pacific Fleet. That was a mistake on my part. It seems best to retreat the Americans to sz 10 with, perhaps, a DD blocker in sz 25. There, America can at least divide up their starting Naval Fleet; gives them options. Also, it would mean with more U.S. Navy, your plan (invading U.S. coastline) would only work if the U.S. failed purchase management.

My guess was you would think I was a fool for buying those TTs and be lax in the Europe side.  I also thought you’d smell blood in the Pacific and go hard there.  I didn’t think you’d see it.  Almost worked.

My second tactical mistake with America was not recognizing the EUS invasion you planned, which was obvious enough, or I would have made the sz 101 Naval odds more airtight by sending the undamaged CV I sent to sz 26 to sz 101 (the 5th FTR would have been present in EUS to scramble as well), which would have given you ~40%.

At that point, I would have gone for it anyway.  I was commited.

The overall German Plan seems to weaken Germany too much against Russia and it has low probability of success if the U.S. plays reasonably (not making my poor tactical choices). I’m not even sure at what point it’s best to conquer an under-defended UK - perhaps G2 is too early, no matter what the odds.

Keep in mind, that if I bought ground units with that $68 on G2, I would be a at least a match for Russia in terms of ground forces.