S03 Gamerman01 (allies +12) v JWW

  • 25 24 23 22 15 11 10 Official Q&A Mod

    Retreat to Cau, I guess.  No battleship shots for you this turn, at least…

    NCM -
    Sik - AA (Chi)
    Cau - 5 INF (Rus) ART (Kaz)
    Nov - 2 FTR (Yak) ARM (Ura)
    BSt - AA (Pol)
    Bul - AA (Ukr)
    Chi - ART (Kaz)
    Kaz - INF (Rus)
    Z27 - SS (Z17)

    Place 2 INF (Kar)
    Place 4 INF (Cau)
    Place 3 INF, 3 ARM (Rus)
    Collect 44, 45 on hand

    S3_JWW(x)_v_Gamerman01(12)_14b.AAM

  • 25 24 23 22 15 11 10 Official Q&A Mod

    Hm - I think the way I have the map is actually all 6 infantry going from Rus to Cau, none to Kaz….
    Map is legal and the way I want it…

  • 25 24 23 22 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10

    @Gamerman01:

    Hm - I think the way I have the map is actually all 6 infantry going from Rus to Cau, none to Kaz….
    Map is legal and the way I want it…

    I am away on business, trying to get moves in best I can, but I have no time right now, sorry. Well get to this as soon I can, thanks for understanding.

  • 25 24 23 22 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10

    Sorry for the delay G-Man, still on the road……returning home Sunday. Will be able to get back to a move a day + then…in the meantime…

    J 14 purchase 2 dd, fgt, arm, 15 inf spend 76 (save 0)

    combat
    #1A sbr CAU v 2 bmb (ita)
    #1 ala (arm) v CA, 2 inf (jpn) 2 fgt(z64)
    #2 sud (mt) v 2 inf (sum) cwol
    #3 lib (mt) v inf (egy) cwol
    #4 z59 (ss) v dd (z62) & 2 fgt (z64)

  • 25 24 23 22 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10

    cau aaDiceRolls: 2@1; Total Hits: 02@1: (3, 2)

  • 25 24 23 22 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10

    cau damageDiceRolling 2:
    (1, 2)

    ala attackDiceRolls: 3@3 2@1; Total Hits: 23@3: (6, 5, 1)2@1: (1, 3)v armDiceRolls: 1@3; Total Hits: 11@3: (1)

  • 25 24 23 22 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10

    cau damaged by 3

    ala taken w/loss of inf

    #4 z59 attackDiceRolls: 2@3 1@2; Total Hits: 02@3: (4, 5)1@2: (5)v ssDiceRolls: 1@1; Total Hits: 11@1: (1)

  • 25 24 23 22 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10

    think that is your second ss to hit on d. at least your aa didn’t hit….

  • 25 24 23 22 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10

    ala and z59 fgt’s > z64
    far stack > bry
    z64 trn . z62
    jpn 2 inf > bry
    man inf > sui & kia
    fic inf > fuk
    bur inf > yun
    z62 inf, art > man
    z62 dd > z 64
    trj 3inf & aa > egy
    z38 trn > z34
    sum inf & art > eaf
    per inf & aa > trj
    cau 2 bmb > ind
    bur inf > fic
    ind 2inf & art > bur
    fra fgt’s > ita
    z34 2 trn > z 38

    placement 2 dd z62, 6 inf jon, 4inf sum, 2inf arm ind, inf & fgt bur, 2inf fic

    J collects 71

    S3_JWW(x)_v_Gamerman01(12)_14c.AAM

  • 25 24 23 22 15 11 10 Official Q&A Mod

    UK14 with 27, buy 6 INF, ART, ARM

    Combat moves -
    Sui - 2 ARM (Chi) FTR (Kaz)
    Per - ARM (Rus)
    Cze - 2 INF (Pol) 3 FTR (Z5)
    Blk - 3 ARM (Pol)
    NWE - 2 FTR (Z12) FTR (Z5) INF (GBr) 5-6-5
    Ita - SBR (GBr)

    Ita AADiceRolls: 1@1; Total Hits: 01@1: (5)
    NWEDiceRolls: 1@1 3@3; Total Hits: 11@1: (3)3@3: (4, 4, 1)DiceRolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 11@2: (2)

  • 25 24 23 22 15 11 10 Official Q&A Mod

    NWE clwlo INF

    Ita SBRDiceRolling 1:
    (1)  
    CzeDiceRolls: 2@1 3@3; Total Hits: 32@1: (3, 1)3@3: (3, 4, 2)DiceRolls: 2@2; Total Hits: 22@2: (2, 2)

  • 25 24 23 22 15 11 10 Official Q&A Mod

    Totally sucks
    SuiDiceRolls: 3@3; Total Hits: 33@3: (2, 2, 1)DiceRolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 11@2: (2)Don’t go 4/4 on d, OK?

  • 25 24 23 22 15 11 10 Official Q&A Mod

    Freaking stupid
    You owe me 2 misses
    BlkDiceRolls: 3@3; Total Hits: 23@3: (6, 2, 3)DiceRolls: 2@2; Total Hits: 12@2: (4, 2)

  • 25 24 23 22 15 11 10 Official Q&A Mod

    5/6 on defending 2’s - you continue to be charmed
    And yes, defending 2 hit rate is a significant indicator of luck.  In many battles, they are the only ones that matter.
    At least there are no non-AA targets for the Luftwaffe  :roll:
    Oh, and I guess I have Americans to pick up the money…

    Nin - FTR (Sui)
    Alg - INF, ARM (GBr)
    BSt - 5 INF, ART (GBr)
    Bul - 19 INF, ART (Pol)
    Ukr - ARM (Pol)
    FEq - 2 INF (Cng)
    Cau - BMB (Ind)
    Z5 - DD, CV (w/ US guest FTR) (Z3)
    Z5 - FTR (NWE) 3 FTR (Cze) 2 on USSR, 2 on UK
    Z12 - 2 FTR (NWE)

    Collect 28, 28 on hand  :cry:

    S3_JWW(x)_v_Gamerman01(12)_14d.AAM

  • 25 24 23 22 15 11 10 Official Q&A Mod

    Oh, and I do acknowledge the similar fortune I enjoyed on J14 in not losing a sub in Z59.  Now I have a chance to lose my California bomber trying to sink the Z62 fleet!  Kinda have to try, with 66% chance of sinking everything!  :evil:
    I guess you assumed you were going to sink the sub!  :-D

  • 25 24 23 22 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10

    @Gamerman01:

    Oh, and I do acknowledge the similar fortune I enjoyed on J14 in not losing a sub in Z59.  Now I have a chance to lose my California bomber trying to sink the Z62 fleet!  Kinda have to try, with 66% chance of sinking everything!  :evil:
    I guess you assumed you were going to sink the sub!  :-D

    yes, I assumed I’d get the ss. I considered bringing back the sub into 62 but……

  • 25 24 23 22 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10

    I 14 rpr 2 purch 4 inf spend 14 (save 0)

    combat
    #1 blk (2arm) v 2inf (ita) & 2 arm, fgt (fra)

    dice….

    blk aaDiceRolls: 1@1; Total Hits: 11@1: (1)
    if aa misses the fgt attacksDiceRolls: 1@3; Total Hits: 11@3: (2)& 2 armDiceRolls: 2@3; Total Hits: 12@3: (4, 1)2 infDiceRolls: 2@1; Total Hits: 12@1: (4, 1)v 2 armDiceRolls: 2@3; Total Hits: 12@3: (4, 3)

  • 25 24 23 22 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10

    another 1 for 1 for ya….gotta count for something?

    blk twlo fgt & inf
    ncm:
    fra 6 inf > ita
    fra inf > nwe
    fra 6 inf > ger
    italy collects 15

    S3_JWW(x)_v_Gamerman01(12)_14e.AAM

  • 25 24 23 22 15 11 10 Official Q&A Mod

    @JWW:

    another 1 for 1 for ya….gotta count for something?

    Sweet!  Yes, of course.

    Probably time to update my records….  But first, America

  • 25 24 23 22 15 11 10 Official Q&A Mod

    @Gamerman01:

    5/6 on defending 2’s - you continue to be charmed
    And yes, defending 2 hit rate is a significant indicator of luck.  In many battles, they are the only ones that matter.

    OK, I went ahead and updated my records on AA and defending 2’s - didn’t take long.

    As usual, the larger the sample size, the closer to average the results are.  Defending 2’s are coming a little closer to odds.

    Axis have faced a hit rate of .32867 on 143 attempts, which is almost exactly average.
    Allies have faced a hit rate of .36771 on 223 rolls (largely because of horrific Russian offense allowing more defensive rolls), which is 8 hits above average (82 units lost compared to expected 74)

    However, the Allies have enjoyed near AA immunity.  The 2/5 US bombers lost on US11 were the only losses.
    Losing 2 air after 28 shots is about 2.5 less aircraft then expected (plus they came more recently, which is less devastating than losing a German bomber on G6).
    Axis lost 3 air on 17 shots, almost exactly average.

    So for the Allies, the bad luck on defending 2’s has been offset by good luck on AA fire
    For the Axis, losses to defending 2’s and AA fire both have been almost exactly average.

    Conclusion - Sometimes we each feel like we’re getting hosed, but in fact when we have suffered bad luck for a turn or two, it has just been evening out our good luck.  :-)

    And now, back to our game in progress.

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