@The_Good_Captain Game History
Round: 1 Combat Move - Germans 1 mech and 2 tanks moved from El Agheila to Zella 1 mech, 1 scoutcar and 2 tanks moved from Zella to Mersa Brega 1 G-antitank and 1 artillery moved from El Agheila to Mersa Brega 1 G-bomber and 1 G-fighter moved from Tripoli to Mersa Brega Combat - Germans Non Combat Move - Germans Trigger AddCoastRoadTripoli: Germans has 1 coast_road placed in Tripoli Turning on Edit Mode EDIT: Removing units owned by Germans from El Agheila: 1 5-supply EDIT: Adding units owned by Italians to El Agheila: 3 1-supplys EDIT: Removing units owned by British from Mersa Brega: 1 5-supply EDIT: Adding units owned by Uncontrolled to Mersa Brega: 3 1-supplys EDIT: Removing units owned by Italians from El Agheila: 2 1-supplys EDIT: Removing units owned by Germans from Mersa Brega: 1 scoutcar EDIT: Removing units owned by Germans from Mersa Brega: 1 artillery and 1 mech EDIT: Removing units owned by British from Mersa Brega: 1 artillery, 1 infantry and 1 matilda EDIT: Removing units owned by British from Mersa Brega: 1 UK-truck EDIT: Adding units owned by Germans to Mersa Brega: 1 UK-truck EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode Trigger RemoveCoastRoadTripoli: has removed 1 coast_road owned by Germans in Tripoli 1 G-bomber and 1 G-fighter moved from Mersa Brega to El Agheila 1 mech moved from Tripoli to Mersa Brega Place Units - Germans 1 1-supply and 2 G-fighters placed in Tripoli Convoy G Assign Convoy Escorts - Germans Trigger AllowGermanFighterToStayAtSea: Setting carrierCost to 0 for unitAttachment attached to G-fighter Trigger AllowGermanBomberToStayAtSea: Setting carrierCost to 0 for unitAttachment attached to G-bomber Trigger ReduceMovementGermanAircraft: Setting movement to 2 for unitAttachment attached to G-fighter Trigger ReduceMovementGermanAircraft: Setting movement to 2 for unitAttachment attached to G-bomber Trigger 1British5-supplyCairo: Uncontrolled has 1 5-supply placed in Sahara Desert 1 Trigger 2British1-supplyMalta: Uncontrolled has 1 1-supply placed in Sahara Desert 1 Trigger 1British1-supplyTobruk: Uncontrolled has 1 1-supply placed in Sahara Desert 1 Trigger 2British5-supplyTobruk: Uncontrolled has 1 5-supply placed in Sahara Desert 1 Trigger 2British1-supplyTobruk: Uncontrolled has 1 1-supply placed in Sahara Desert 1 Trigger 2German1-supplyTripoli: Uncontrolled has 1 1-supply placed in Sahara Desert 1 Trigger 2British1-supplyBenghazi: Uncontrolled has 1 1-supply placed in Sahara Desert 1 Trigger 1British5-supplyTobruk: Uncontrolled has 1 5-supply placed in Sahara Desert 1 Trigger 3British1-supplyTobruk: Uncontrolled has 1 1-supply placed in Sahara Desert 1 Trigger 3British1-supplyBenghazi: Uncontrolled has 1 1-supply placed in Sahara Desert 1 Trigger 1British1-supplyBenghazi: Uncontrolled has 1 1-supply placed in Sahara Desert 1 Trigger 1German1-supplyTripoli Convoy G: Uncontrolled has 1 1-supply placed in Sahara Desert 1 Trigger 3German1-supplyTripoli: Uncontrolled has 1 1-supply placed in Sahara Desert 1 Trigger 1Italian1-supplyEl Agheila: Uncontrolled has 1 1-supply placed in Sahara Desert 1 Trigger 1German1-supplyTripoli: Uncontrolled has 1 1-supply placed in Sahara Desert 1 Trigger 1British1-supplyMalta: Uncontrolled has 1 1-supply placed in Sahara Desert 1 Trigger 3British5-supplyTobruk: Uncontrolled has 1 5-supply placed in Sahara Desert 1 Trigger IncreaseAircraftMovementTo4: Setting movement to 4 for unitAttachment attached to G-fighter Trigger IncreaseAircraftMovementTo4: Setting movement to 4 for unitAttachment attached to G-bomber 1 G-bomber moved from Sicily to Sea Zone 13 2 G-fighters moved from Tripoli Convoy G to Sea Zone 13 End Turn - Germans Germans collect 0 PUs; end with 4 PUs Objective Germans Base Income: Germans met a national objective for an additional 25 PUs; end with 29 PUsLemming (Allies) v Wheatbeer (Axis) g40 a2
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z125 R2: sub sneak 1st dice
Att
Rolls: 1@2 1@2 2@3; Total Hits: 21@2: (5)1@2: (1)2@3: (2, 5)
Def
Rolls: 1@1; Total Hits: 01@1: (2) -
Non-combat as per map. (reshuffled some Chinese troops to Yunnan instead too)
Place 1Mech, 1Arm Saf, rest in z110 and UK.
Place 4Inf, 2Art Ind.
London collect 33IPCs.
Ind collect 18IPCs.Anzac5
save 11IPCs.
Non-combat as per map.
Collect 8+11=19IPCs.
Map -
I5
Buy (29/29)
3 inf
2 figCM:
SZ92
4 sub, 1 dest, 1 bsh SZ98
2 fig sitaMOR
1 inf egy load trans SZ98 unload morneed scrambling orders SZ92
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no scramble
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SZ92
A 4 sub, 1 dest, 1 bsh, 2 fig
Rolls: 5@2 2@3 1@4; Total Hits: 55@2: (1, 5, 3, 4, 2)2@3: (3, 1)1@4: (4)D 1 dest
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (6) -
sz92 cleared no loss
mor walk inNCM:
2 fig SZ92 >> tun
1 inf, 1 art, 1 aa gun sita >> nita
1 trans SZ98 >> SZ97Mobilize:
3 inf egy
2 fig sitaCollect 33 IPC
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France can’t impact Germany so I am going to post G6 for the sake of expediency.
G6
Buy (51/51)
17 infCM:
POL
2 inf, 1 art gerEPL
22 inf, 2 mech, 14 art, 6 tank hun
1 inf, 3 art rom
1 fig sita -
POL
A 2 inf, 1 art
Rolls: 1@1 2@2; Total Hits: 01@1: (6)2@2: (5, 5)D 1 inf
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (6) -
POL r2
A 2 inf, 1 art
Rolls: 1@1 2@2; Total Hits: 11@1: (4)2@2: (3, 2)D 1 inf
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (5) -
pol twol
EPL
aa fire
Rolls: 1@1; Total Hits: 01@1: (4) -
EPL
A 23 inf, 2 mech, 17 art, 6 tank, 1 fig
Rolls: 8@1 34@2 7@3; Total Hits: 258@1: (1, 5, 6, 1, 6, 6, 2, 3)34@2: (1, 6, 2, 1, 2, 1, 6, 2, 3, 3, 1, 3, 4, 3, 4, 2, 2, 5, 4, 1, 1, 6, 1, 1, 4, 1, 1, 3, 1, 3, 5, 1, 2, 1)7@3: (2, 3, 2, 1, 5, 4, 4)D 28 inf, 11 art, 7 tank, 1 tact, 1 fig
Rolls: 39@2 8@3 1@4; Total Hits: 1539@2: (5, 6, 1, 2, 4, 3, 3, 2, 6, 4, 3, 6, 5, 3, 3, 6, 4, 6, 6, 6, 5, 1, 2, 5, 2, 4, 6, 3, 3, 3, 6, 1, 3, 1, 3, 1, 3, 6, 3)8@3: (3, 3, 5, 2, 2, 2, 4, 1)1@4: (5) -
Did not expect that. I need to think.
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I guess I’ll push on.
EPL r2
A 8 inf, 2 mech, 17 art, 6 tank, 1 fig
Rolls: 27@2 7@3; Total Hits: 1027@2: (1, 2, 4, 6, 5, 3, 4, 4, 5, 4, 4, 3, 4, 5, 2, 2, 4, 1, 3, 1, 5, 4, 3, 6, 1, 1, 5)7@3: (2, 5, 3, 6, 6, 5, 4)D 3 inf, 11 art, 7 tank, 1 tact, 1 fig
Rolls: 14@2 8@3 1@4; Total Hits: 1014@2: (5, 3, 6, 3, 6, 5, 1, 3, 1, 4, 2, 2, 6, 6)8@3: (3, 2, 6, 2, 6, 3, 2, 6)1@4: (4) -
EPL r3
A 17 art, 6 tank, 1 fig
Rolls: 17@2 7@3; Total Hits: 817@2: (2, 5, 5, 2, 5, 3, 2, 3, 5, 6, 2, 2, 6, 1, 3, 2, 5)7@3: (6, 2, 5, 4, 6, 6, 4)D 4 art, 7 tank, 1 tact, 1 fig
Rolls: 4@2 8@3 1@4; Total Hits: 74@2: (1, 6, 6, 2)8@3: (6, 5, 3, 2, 4, 2, 3, 2)1@4: (5) -
EPL r4
A 10 art, 6 tank, 1 fig
Rolls: 10@2 7@3; Total Hits: 910@2: (6, 2, 4, 3, 6, 1, 1, 2, 1, 5)7@3: (5, 5, 1, 5, 1, 1, 2)D 3 tank, 1 tact, 1 fig
Rolls: 4@3 1@4; Total Hits: 14@3: (5, 5, 4, 6)1@4: (2) -
epl twlo 23 inf, 2 mech, 8 art
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NCM:
1 fig epl >> hun
1 aa gun hun >> epl
2 mech sita >> fra
2 carrier, 1 fig, 2 tact SZ98 >> SZ92
2 trans SZ98 >> SZ97
1 fig SZ98 >> sita
1 sub SZ95 >> SZ98
2 inf nita >> fra
4 inf wgr >> ger
4 inf, 3 art ger >> polMobilize:
7 inf wgr
10 inf gerCollect 44 IPC
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Think I can concede. The luck was just not realistic
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If you want me to reroll, I’m willing to do that rather than simply end the game.
But I have to point out that there was 5.4% chance of Germany doing that well or better and a 38.8% chance of Germany winning the battle overall (unless the odds calculator at frood.net is in error).
I am not denying I was lucky, but it wasn’t that improbable either.
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- the end result being 5.4% chance or better
After running round 1 probability, Germany’s hits on Round 1 alone being so effective was only a 0.8% chance.
Let me know whether you want a reroll or what.





