Lemming (Allies) v Wheatbeer (Axis) g40 a2

[Lemming]

z125 R2: sub sneak 1st dice
AttRolls: 1@2 1@2 2@3; Total Hits: 21@2: (5)1@2: (1)2@3: (2, 5)
DefRolls: 1@1; Total Hits: 01@1: (2)

[Lemming]

Non-combat as per map. (reshuffled some Chinese troops to Yunnan instead too)
Place 1Mech, 1Arm Saf, rest in z110 and UK.
Place 4Inf, 2Art Ind.
London collect 33IPCs.
Ind collect 18IPCs.

Anzac5
save 11IPCs.
Non-combat as per map.
Collect 8+11=19IPCs.
Map

lemming v wheat nz5.AAM

[wheatbeer]

I5

Buy (29/29)
3 inf
2 fig

CM:

SZ92
4 sub, 1 dest, 1 bsh SZ98
2 fig sita

MOR
1 inf egy load trans SZ98 unload mor

need scrambling orders SZ92

[Lemming]

no scramble

[wheatbeer]

SZ92

A 4 sub, 1 dest, 1 bsh, 2 fig

Rolls: 5@2 2@3 1@4; Total Hits: 55@2: (1, 5, 3, 4, 2)2@3: (3, 1)1@4: (4)

D 1 dest

Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (6)

[wheatbeer]

sz92 cleared no loss
mor walk in

NCM:
2 fig SZ92 >> tun
1 inf, 1 art, 1 aa gun sita >> nita
1 trans SZ98 >> SZ97

Mobilize:
3 inf egy
2 fig sita

Collect 33 IPC

lemming v wheat i5.AAM

[wheatbeer]

France can’t impact Germany so I am going to post G6 for the sake of expediency.

G6

Buy (51/51)
17 inf

CM:

POL
2 inf, 1 art ger

EPL
22 inf, 2 mech, 14 art, 6 tank hun
1 inf, 3 art rom
1 fig sita

[wheatbeer]

POL

A 2 inf, 1 art

Rolls: 1@1 2@2; Total Hits: 01@1: (6)2@2: (5, 5)

D 1 inf

Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (6)

[wheatbeer]

POL r2

A 2 inf, 1 art

Rolls: 1@1 2@2; Total Hits: 11@1: (4)2@2: (3, 2)

D 1 inf

Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (5)

[wheatbeer]

pol twol

EPL

aa fire

Rolls: 1@1; Total Hits: 01@1: (4)

[wheatbeer]

EPL

A 23 inf, 2 mech, 17 art, 6 tank, 1 fig

Rolls: 8@1 34@2 7@3; Total Hits: 258@1: (1, 5, 6, 1, 6, 6, 2, 3)34@2: (1, 6, 2, 1, 2, 1, 6, 2, 3, 3, 1, 3, 4, 3, 4, 2, 2, 5, 4, 1, 1, 6, 1, 1, 4, 1, 1, 3, 1, 3, 5, 1, 2, 1)7@3: (2, 3, 2, 1, 5, 4, 4)

D 28 inf, 11 art, 7 tank, 1 tact, 1 fig

Rolls: 39@2 8@3 1@4; Total Hits: 1539@2: (5, 6, 1, 2, 4, 3, 3, 2, 6, 4, 3, 6, 5, 3, 3, 6, 4, 6, 6, 6, 5, 1, 2, 5, 2, 4, 6, 3, 3, 3, 6, 1, 3, 1, 3, 1, 3, 6, 3)8@3: (3, 3, 5, 2, 2, 2, 4, 1)1@4: (5)

[wheatbeer]

Did not expect that.  I need to think.

[wheatbeer]

I guess I’ll push on.

EPL r2

A 8 inf, 2 mech, 17 art, 6 tank, 1 fig

Rolls: 27@2 7@3; Total Hits: 1027@2: (1, 2, 4, 6, 5, 3, 4, 4, 5, 4, 4, 3, 4, 5, 2, 2, 4, 1, 3, 1, 5, 4, 3, 6, 1, 1, 5)7@3: (2, 5, 3, 6, 6, 5, 4)

D 3 inf, 11 art, 7 tank, 1 tact, 1 fig

Rolls: 14@2 8@3 1@4; Total Hits: 1014@2: (5, 3, 6, 3, 6, 5, 1, 3, 1, 4, 2, 2, 6, 6)8@3: (3, 2, 6, 2, 6, 3, 2, 6)1@4: (4)

[wheatbeer]

EPL r3

A 17 art, 6 tank, 1 fig

Rolls: 17@2 7@3; Total Hits: 817@2: (2, 5, 5, 2, 5, 3, 2, 3, 5, 6, 2, 2, 6, 1, 3, 2, 5)7@3: (6, 2, 5, 4, 6, 6, 4)

D 4 art, 7 tank, 1 tact, 1 fig

Rolls: 4@2 8@3 1@4; Total Hits: 74@2: (1, 6, 6, 2)8@3: (6, 5, 3, 2, 4, 2, 3, 2)1@4: (5)

[wheatbeer]

EPL r4

A 10 art, 6 tank, 1 fig

Rolls: 10@2 7@3; Total Hits: 910@2: (6, 2, 4, 3, 6, 1, 1, 2, 1, 5)7@3: (5, 5, 1, 5, 1, 1, 2)

D 3 tank, 1 tact, 1 fig

Rolls: 4@3 1@4; Total Hits: 14@3: (5, 5, 4, 6)1@4: (2)

[wheatbeer]

epl twlo 23 inf, 2 mech, 8 art

[wheatbeer]

NCM:

1 fig epl >> hun
1 aa gun hun >> epl
2 mech sita >> fra
2 carrier, 1 fig, 2 tact SZ98 >> SZ92
2 trans SZ98 >> SZ97
1 fig SZ98 >> sita
1 sub SZ95 >> SZ98
2 inf nita >> fra
4 inf wgr >> ger
4 inf, 3 art ger >> pol

Mobilize:
7 inf wgr
10 inf ger

Collect 44 IPC

lemming v wheat g6.AAM

[Lemming]

Think I can concede. The luck was just not realistic

[wheatbeer]

If you want me to reroll, I’m willing to do that rather than simply end the game.

But I have to point out that there was 5.4% chance of Germany doing that well or better and a 38.8% chance of Germany winning the battle overall (unless the odds calculator at frood.net is in error).

I am not denying I was lucky, but it wasn’t that improbable either.

[wheatbeer]

• the end result being 5.4% chance or better

After running round 1 probability, Germany’s hits on Round 1 alone being so effective was only a 0.8% chance.

Let me know whether you want a reroll or what.