Jennifer (Axis) vs Krychek (Allies) Game 2 - Theory Test

[Jennifer]

Round 2:
Attacker: 11@3 6@4: 9
Rolls: 1@3; Total Hits: 01@3: (4)
Defender: 10@2 2@3 6@4: 8
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (6)

[Jennifer]

Attacker: 4@3 5@4: 5
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 11@2: (1)
Defender: 1@2 2@3 6@4:5
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (3)

[Jennifer]

Attacker: 2@3 2@4:2 Hits
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (4)
Defender: 3@4: 2 Hits

[Jennifer]

Attacker Hits (Arm/S. Bom)
Defender:
Rolls: 1@4; Total Hits: 11@4: (2)

[Jennifer]

England taken with armor, all other units lost…expensive, but done.

NCM:

2 MI to Hungary
3 Infantry, AA Gun to Hungary
4 Infantry to Hungary
Artillery to W. Germany
Infantry to Finland

Build: 7 Infantry, 3 Armor in Germany
Build: 3 Armor in W. Germany

Collect: 34 IPC London, +5 IPC London NO, +5 IPC Russia NO, +5 IPC Sweeden NO + 47 TT - 2 CRD SZ 109  = 94 IPC

Krychek_v_Jennifer_Game03_03Agermany.AAM

[Krychek]

so you are telling me that I did what was needed to stop germany and you took london because I missed @5 aa fire?

[Krychek]

so yes, actually I’m pretty proud of my moves to removes 5 of your units for 2 of mines.

You did attack with 80% chances of losing, that’s pretty funny. But knowing how lucky you are, I guess you didn’t care?

[Krychek]

AA Fires is flawed in Low luck as well. You can’t possibly get to decide what you lose. I wonder how others do with their AA fires because when I think about it it should remains 11 rolls @1 since each fire fires up at a specific planes and thats why you can’t get to chose which you lost so maybe you lost your bomber. too late for this game but I guess I did the same in the other game and that really needs to be adressed.

[Jennifer]

Yes, but if you do it by plane then the attacker could lose 3 planes when in LL there could never be more than 2 planes lost out of 11.

[Krychek]

Doesn’t matter, could lose 11 in normal luck as well lol. Low luck lower overall luck in the game but if it breaks a certain law we must go arround. Maybe it should be different rolls for each type of planes then?

[Jennifer]

Assuming I lost 2 planes (as I did, since you had 1 shot at 5 or less) and my calculator is a bit screwy, so let’s pretend my shore bombardments only hit one defender (since my luck seems to trend that way).  I chose 1 fighter, 1 tactical bomber as the planes lost.  Given my druthers, I would just lose two fighters since the TBs can be paired with tanks.

Now, it cannot really handle tactical bombers  well, but here’s what I have:

3.5 rounds of combat on average.

Most likely outcome: 1 Armor, 4 Aircraft remaining.

Odds of success: 100%

To counter the fact it cannot handle tactical bombers (having to be paired iwth a fighter or armor, you know.) Let’s run it again with -1 bomber and see what happens:

4.4 rounds of combat on average.

Most likely outcome: 1 armor, 1 strategic bomber

Odds of success: 68.3%

What I take that to mean is that virtually everytime this battle is run, Germany wins with at least 1 ground unit left to take the capitol.

Straight up odds, from a different, less trust-worthy calculator (but it can do TBs correctly) I get (ADS): 84.4% odds, but that calculator is going to assume the Strategic Bomber is the last unit lost.

All in all, despite your being able to time it perfectly to kill 5 units and then land and retreat into London again, the battle for England seems to always be a losing proposition for England.  I don’t know why, but despite ones best hopes and dreams and plans, Germany always seems to get it if they go for early in the game.

[Krychek]

Can the allies win ever without London…?

[Jennifer]

Yes.  I’ve lost a few games even with London in my hands.  One major effect can be an American fleet convoy raiding England, that removes 8 IPC from Germany a round right there.  Also, America can shuttle troops through Ireland into England, eventually liberating it.

[Krychek]

Russia 3

Purchases
4 Inf 3 Rtl 1 Minf 1 Arm

CMs

Bury
1 Minf 1 Arm Yen to Bury
2 Inf Sak to Bury

Sib
3 Inf Sak to Sib
1 Tbmb Sak to Sib

Bury Def
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (3)

Sib Def
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (6)

[Krychek]

Bury, Sib Twol

NCMs
1 Inf Bel to Epl
8 Inf 2 Rtl 1 AA Nukr to Epl
20 Inf 1 Rtl Bel to Epl
1 Inf Nov to Bel
1 Inf Sukr to Bes
2 Inf SUkr to Nukr
2 Inf Bry to Bel
1 Inf Ros to Sukr
1 Rtl Sam to Kaz
2 Inf Kaz to Sik
2 Minf Vol to Novo
1 Arm Vol to Sukr
1 Arm Tsi to Kan
1 Minf Tim to Yak
3 Inf 1 Rtl Rus to Bry
1 Inf Sik to Tsi
1 SS SZ109 to SZ123
1 SS SZ115 to SZ113
1 BB SZ114 to SZ115
1 Ftr Yen to Rus
1 Tbmb Sib to Sak

Places 1 Inf 1 Minf 1 Rtl Vol
Places 1 Inf 1 Rtl 1 Arm Sukr
Places 2 Inf 1 Rtl Nov

Collects 35 IPCs

Krychek_v_Jennifer_Game03_03bRussia.AAM

[Jennifer]

Japan:

Buy(48)

• 4 Infantry
• 2 Armor
• 3 Destroyers

Combat Moves:

Infantry from SUI to KAN
2 Strategic Bombers from KWA to KAN

Attacker: Hit
Defender:
Rolls: 1@3; Total Hits: 11@3: (3)

[Jennifer]

Cleared, not taken

NCMs on Map

Build: 4 Infantry, 2 Armor, 3 Destroyers in Japan

Collect: 47 IPC

Krychek_v_Jennifer_Game03_03cJapan.AAM

[Krychek]

US 3

Declaration of War against Germany, Italy and Japan !!!

Purchases
Eus: 2 Infs 1 ss = 12 IPCs
Cus: 1 BB 2 Trn = 34 IPCs
Wus: 1 Trn = 7 IPCs
= 53 IPCs

CMs

SZ25
1 SS SZ10 to SZ25
2 Ftr Haw to SZ25

Bra
1 Trn SZ101 to SZ86 With 1 Inf 1 Minf

Gib
3 Trn SZ101 to SZ91 With 3 Inf 2 Rtl 1 Minf
1 DD 1 Cru 1 AC 2 Ftr SZ101 to SZ91

Car/SZ33
1 AC 1 BB 2 Cru 2 DD 1 Sub SZ26 to SZ33 2 Ftr
2 Trn SZ26 to SZ33 With 2 Inf 1 Rtl 1 Arm

[Krychek]

SZ25 Def
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 11@2: (2)

Gib Def
Rolls: 1@2; Total Hits: 01@2: (6)

Car Def
Rolls: 1@4; Total Hits: 01@4: (6)

Bra Twof since pro allied

[Krychek]

SZ25 Cwlo 1 SS
Gib Twol
Car Twol

NCMs
1 Rtl Cus to Eus
1 AC 1 SS SZ10 to SZ26
1 Trn SZ10 to SZ26 With 1 AA Wus to Haw
1 Tbmb Wus to SZ26
1 Ftr Haw to SZ26
1 Sbmb Eus to Haw
1 Minf Wus to Eus
2 Ftr SZ25 to Haw
1 DD SZ39 to SZ37
1 SS SZ56 to SZ54

Places + Collects 84 IPCs