I haven’t played Axis yet, but from my games as Allies thus far what I took from them is that:
A) Germany either needs to go all in and take UK out, or commit to Russia and take them out asap. Before, or on G3.
B) Italy assists with France destruction and control in Africa.
C) Japan must push into China/UK before US3 and control the income on the mainland.
If that can happen it seems like an easy win for Axis.
If not…. Japan gets pushed out of the mainland, loosing a war of attrition to the annoying Chinese, UK and Anzac. Russia has 4 turns to beef up defenses making the German push, without Japan aid very difficult. UK can retake France and then it’s not good.
Allies have one every global game we’ve played thus far. Looking forward to playing Axis next time.