Worse yet, you weaken your position in europe in order to remove forces from europe thus weaking it further. The long term plan obviously is to earn enough income to offset this initial weakness. I believe this is more viable in Spring 42 then revised. It would certainly be worth looking at, perhaps run a ‘simulated’ game, rolls dice but toss out really silly rolls, perhaps give a slight dice advantage to the ‘defender’ of the plan. However, it is important to realize that early in the game with battles between small numbers of high valued units, bad rolls are not unlikely. With Spring 42, failure to secure egypt on R1 with Germany is usually fatal for Germany. The battle is a 5 on 3 for germany, germany has 4 land and 1 air unit typically and England defends with an infantry, tank and fighter. I have played spring 42 about 30 times or so, I have seen this occur twice now where england retained control of Egypt and thus the Seuz and in both times actually had a fighter survive. Luckily, I was the allies in both times. The consequence, the British on their turn transit the Seuz, sink the german fleet and that was all she wrote for the most part for Germany having fun in Africa.