@Van_Trump:
The problem I see with your response is if J2 sees the Naval base build in Midway, the IJN can reach the US west coast. This threat forces US to build defenders on Western US. Also, the US Fleet better not stick around San Francisco or they’ll end up on the bottom of San Francisco Bay.
Howdy, yeah it was your post that I referred to in my OP. Great J1 attack, the Japanese grabbing Midway right out of the gates, then buying a naval base on J2, which would put Japan in range of the US west coast by J3.
What I’ve been thinking about is the situation on US1, right after the Japanese opening move. 1 transport with one infantry at Midway, along with 2 CVs with all fighters, 2 BBs, 1 CA, 2 DDs (1 DD in the PI, and 1 to take out the ANZAC sub). 3 more Japanese transports in Japan.
Japan can’t hit the west coast until J3 from Midway, and they will be telescoping their intentions (a 55 IPC US buy will be waiting for them: 8 more tanks, 1 arty, 1 inf. + 4 AA shots on Japanese air). If the Japanese transports from Japan move to Alaska on J2, with the rest of the Japanese fleet in Midway, none of the fleet units will be able to join those transports, which will be defenseless to the US sub or bombers on US2.
With the Japanese fleet at Midway on US1, with all fighters loaded, they can only hit the US fleet at San Fran with their 4 fighters & 1 sub, requiring the Japanese fleet to move to SZ9 or 12. In that scenario, the US would get two free hits, as the BB & CV would “auto repair” in the following US turn, being on a naval base. If the US load two fighters of their own on the CV, then they are shooting back at 3 "4"s, a “3”, two "2"s & a “1”. I could see the Japanese loosing all 4 fighters & inflicting little damage to the US. Then the US could repair on their naval base, and kamikaze themselves with all available air into the Japanese, who have no island to land planes on now and probably 4 dive bombers from Japan loaded. If the Japanese survive with two damaged BBs, as you correctly point out, then the ANZAC air is now in a position to knock that out.
On top of that, if the Japanese are intending to move the 3 transports from Japan to either Midway, Alaska or Pearl on J2, they’ll be completely unguarded without that Japanese fleet on T2.
If the J2 target is Pearl for the 3 transports in Japan, the only planes that could make the land battle would have to come from your CVs at Midway. For each plane that would move from a CV to the land battle, it would negate one of the dive bombers at Japan from joing the sea battle, as any fighter that goes from a CV at Midway into a land battle at Pearl will have to land back on one of the CVs. So at most, Japan could send in 3 fighters to Pearl in the land attack, with 4 Japanese infantry, and I’m guess 3 arty to take on the 2 infantry, 3 US dive bombers, 4 Anzac fighters, 2 US bombers, and a minimum of 1 additional US fighter (possibly 2 if the US buys a fighter & transport on US1).
If Japan were to take all 4 fighters to the land battle at Pearl on J2, then the fleet would have no air support from Japan or the Caroline Islands, and the Allies would have the option to bring out all its fighters and dive bombers to a sea battle.
So I’ve been batting around US1 buys and responses.