L23 - BM4 - Ghostglider vs. MrRoboto (+15) - Game 3

[MrRoboto]

You defend with

2 subs
2 carrier
3 destroyer
2 cruiser
1 tactical bomber
3 fighter
1 battleship

Total power: 37
total hitpoints: 17

[dice 2d6<=1]
[dice 5d6<=2]
[dice 3d6<=3]
[dice 4d6<=4]

[dicebot]

2d6<=1: 4, 6; Hits: 0
5d6<=2: 3, 2, 1, 6, 3; Hits: 2
3d6<=3: 4, 4, 5; Hits: 0
4d6<=4: 5, 3, 3, 6; Hits: 2

[MrRoboto]

I take 1 carrier, 2 destroyer and will carry on.

attack:
2 subs
1 destroyer
3 cruiser
5 fighter
1 battleship
1 bomber

Total power: 38
Total hitpoints: 14

[dice 2d6<=2]
[dice 1d6<=2]
[dice 8d6<=3]
[dice 2d6<=4]

You defend with

2 damaged carriers
2 destroyer
2 cruiser
1 tactical bomber
3 fighter
1 damaged battleship

Total power: 33
total hitpoints: 11

[dicebot]

2d6<=2: 3, 2; Hits: 1
1d6<=2: 3; Hits: 0
8d6<=3: 2, 5, 6, 1, 1, 4, 4, 6; Hits: 3
2d6<=4: 5, 3; Hits: 1

[Ghostglider]

5 hits - please kill 2 AC, 1 DD, 2 CRU, thanks

[MrRoboto]

You defend with

2 damaged carriers
2 destroyer
2 cruiser
1 tactical bomber
3 fighter
1 damaged battleship

Total power: 33
total hitpoints: 11

[dice 4d6<=2]
[dice 3d6<=3]
[dice 4d6y<=4]

[dicebot]

4d6<=2: 4, 2, 5, 4; Hits: 1
3d6<=3: 5, 5, 4; Hits: 0

[MrRoboto]

[dice 4d6<=4]

[dicebot]

4d6<=4: 6, 4, 1, 6; Hits: 2

[Ghostglider]

Remaining battle - max defense - keep FTRs if possible

[MrRoboto]

I will go on, after choosing 1 sub, 1 battleship and 1 destroyer as casualties

attack:
1 sub
3 cruiser
5 fighter
1 damaged battleship
1 bomber

Total power: 34
Total hitpoints: 11

[dice 1d6<=2]
[dice 8d6<=3]
[dice 2d6<=4]

You defend with

1 destroyer
1 tactical bomber
3 fighter
1 damaged battleship

Total power: 29
total hitpoints: 6

[dice 1d6<=2]
[dice 1d6<=3]
[dice 4d6<=4]

[dicebot]

1d6<=2: 5; Hits: 0
8d6<=3: 6, 4, 1, 5, 1, 3, 2, 6; Hits: 4
2d6<=4: 2, 5; Hits: 1
1d6<=2: 3; Hits: 0
1d6<=3: 6; Hits: 0
4d6<=4: 6, 6, 2, 3; Hits: 2

[MrRoboto]

Last round

attack:
3 cruiser
4 fighter
1 damaged battleship
1 bomber

Total power: 29
Total hitpoints: 9

[dice 7d6<=3]
[dice 2d6<=4]

You defend with

1 fighter

Total power: 4
total hitpoints: 1

[dice 1d6<=4]

[dicebot]

7d6<=3: 6, 3, 6, 2, 3, 3, 6; Hits: 4
2d6<=4: 5, 4; Hits: 1
1d6<=4: 1; Hits: 1

[MrRoboto]

I win with

3 cruisers
3 fighter
1 damaged battleship
1 bomber

remaining.

TUV change: +88

I have to say: Wow, that battle went way way better than expected. I’m quite sorry for you, those were some nasty dice…

[MrRoboto]

TripleA Turn Summary: UK_Pacific round 3

TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 Balanced Mod3

Game History

Round: 3

    Purchase Units - Americans
        Americans buy 2 destroyers, 3 fighters and 4 submarines; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; 

    Combat Move - Americans
        1 artillery and 3 infantry moved from Queensland to 54 Sea Zone
        2 infantry and 1 transport moved from 54 Sea Zone to 35 Sea Zone
        1 artillery, 1 infantry and 1 transport moved from 54 Sea Zone to 44 Sea Zone
        1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from 44 Sea Zone to Celebes
        2 infantry moved from 35 Sea Zone to Philippines
        1 bomber and 3 fighters moved from Queensland to 42 Sea Zone
        1 cruiser moved from 63 Sea Zone to 54 Sea Zone
        1 battleship, 1 carrier, 3 cruisers, 3 destroyers, 2 fighters and 2 submarines moved from 54 Sea Zone to 42 Sea Zone

    Combat - Americans
        Battle in Philippines
        Battle in Celebes
            Americans attack with 1 artillery and 1 infantry
            Japanese defend with 1 infantry
                Americans roll dice for 1 artillery and 1 infantry in Celebes, round 2 : 2/2 hits, 0,67 expected hits
                Japanese roll dice for 1 infantry in Celebes, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0,33 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Japanese lost in Celebes
            Americans win, taking Philippines from Japanese, taking Celebes from Japanese with 1 artillery and 1 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
            Casualties for Japanese: 1 infantry
        Battle in 42 Sea Zone
            Americans attack with 1 battleship, 1 bomber, 1 carrier, 3 cruisers, 3 destroyers, 5 fighters and 2 submarines
            Japanese defend with 1 battleship, 2 carriers, 2 cruisers, 3 destroyers, 3 fighters, 2 submarines, 1 tactical_bomber and 1 transport
                Americans roll dice for 2 submarines in 42 Sea Zone, round 2 : 2/2 hits, 0,67 expected hits
            Units damaged: 2 carriers owned by the Japanese
                Americans roll dice for 1 battleship, 1 bomber, 1 carrier, 3 cruisers, 3 destroyers and 5 fighters in 42 Sea Zone, round 2 : 8/13 hits, 6,33 expected hits
            Units damaged: 1 battleship owned by the Japanese
                Japanese roll dice for 2 submarines in 42 Sea Zone, round 2 : 0/2 hits, 0,33 expected hits
                Japanese roll dice for 1 battleship, 2 carriers, 2 cruisers, 3 destroyers, 3 fighters, 1 tactical_bomber and 1 transport in 42 Sea Zone, round 2 : 6/12 hits, 5,83 expected hits
            Units damaged: 1 battleship owned by the Americans
                2 submarines owned by the Americans, 1 destroyer owned by the Americans and 1 carrier owned by the Americans lost in 42 Sea Zone
                2 carriers owned by the Japanese, 3 destroyers owned by the Japanese and 2 submarines owned by the Japanese lost in 42 Sea Zone
                Americans roll dice for 1 battleship, 1 bomber, 3 cruisers, 2 destroyers and 5 fighters in 42 Sea Zone, round 3 : 7/12 hits, 6,00 expected hits
                Japanese roll dice for 1 battleship, 2 cruisers, 3 fighters, 1 tactical_bomber and 1 transport in 42 Sea Zone, round 3 : 2/7 hits, 4,17 expected hits
                2 destroyers owned by the Americans lost in 42 Sea Zone
                1 tactical_bomber owned by the Japanese, 3 fighters owned by the Japanese, 1 battleship owned by the Japanese and 2 cruisers owned by the Japanese lost in 42 Sea Zone
                1 transport owned by the Japanese lost in 42 Sea Zone
            Americans win, taking 42 Sea Zone from Neutral with 1 battleship, 1 bomber, 3 cruisers and 5 fighters remaining. Battle score for attacker is 108
            Casualties for Americans: 1 carrier, 3 destroyers and 2 submarines
            Casualties for Japanese: 1 battleship, 2 carriers, 2 cruisers, 3 destroyers, 3 fighters, 2 submarines, 1 tactical_bomber and 1 transport

    Non Combat Move - Americans
        2 fighters could not land in 42 Sea Zone and were removed
        1 bomber moved from 42 Sea Zone to India
        1 tactical_bomber moved from Hawaiian Islands to 26 Sea Zone
        2 infantry and 2 mech_infantrys moved from Western United States to 10 Sea Zone
        2 carriers, 1 submarine and 1 tactical_bomber moved from 26 Sea Zone to 54 Sea Zone
        1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from New Zealand to 63 Sea Zone
        1 artillery, 1 infantry and 1 transport moved from 63 Sea Zone to 54 Sea Zone
        1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from 54 Sea Zone to Queensland
        1 destroyer, 2 infantry, 2 mech_infantrys, 5 submarines and 2 transports moved from 10 Sea Zone to 26 Sea Zone
        2 infantry and 2 mech_infantrys moved from 26 Sea Zone to Hawaiian Islands
        3 fighters moved from 42 Sea Zone to 54 Sea Zone

    Place Units - Americans
        3 fighters placed in Western United States
        Americans undo move 1.
        3 fighters placed in Eastern United States
        2 destroyers and 4 submarines placed in 10 Sea Zone

    Turn Complete - Americans
        Americans collect 55 PUs; end with 55 PUs
        Objective Americans 1 Homeland: Americans met a national objective for an additional 10 PUs; end with 65 PUs
        Objective Americans 3 Defense Obligations: Americans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 70 PUs
        Objective Americans 2 Outer Territories: Americans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 75 PUs
        Objective Americans 4 Philippines: Americans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 80 PUs

    Purchase Units - Chinese
        Trigger Chinese Loses Burma Road: Chinese has their production frontier changed to: productionChinese_Burma_Road_Closed
        Chinese buy 4 infantry; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; 

    Combat Move - Chinese
        1 artillery, 1 fighter and 3 infantry moved from Szechwan to Yunnan

    Combat - Chinese
        Battle in Yunnan
            Chinese attack with 1 artillery, 1 fighter and 3 infantry
            Japanese defend with 2 infantry
                Chinese roll dice for 1 artillery, 1 fighter and 3 infantry in Yunnan, round 2 : 1/5 hits, 1,50 expected hits
                Japanese roll dice for 2 infantry in Yunnan, round 2 : 1/2 hits, 0,67 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Chinese lost in Yunnan
                1 infantry owned by the Japanese lost in Yunnan
                Chinese roll dice for 1 artillery, 1 fighter and 2 infantry in Yunnan, round 3 : 1/4 hits, 1,33 expected hits
                Japanese roll dice for 1 infantry in Yunnan, round 3 : 0/1 hits, 0,33 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Japanese lost in Yunnan
            Chinese win, taking Yunnan from Japanese with 1 artillery, 1 fighter and 2 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
            Casualties for Chinese: 1 infantry
            Casualties for Japanese: 2 infantry

    Non Combat Move - Chinese
        1 fighter moved from Yunnan to Szechwan

    Place Units - Chinese
        4 infantry placed in Szechwan

    Turn Complete - Chinese
        Chinese collect 8 PUs; end with 8 PUs
        Objective Chinese 1 Burma Road: Chinese met a national objective for an additional 3 PUs; end with 11 PUs

    Purchase Units - British
        British buy 1 factory_minor, 1 fighter, 3 infantry and 1 submarine; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; 

    Purchase Units - UK_Pacific
        UK_Pacific buy 2 infantry and 3 mech_infantrys; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; 

    Combat Move - British
        1 bomber and 1 fighter moved from United Kingdom to 91 Sea Zone
        1 destroyer moved from 92 Sea Zone to 91 Sea Zone
        1 infantry moved from British Somaliland to Italian Somaliland
              British take Italian Somaliland from Italians
        2 infantry moved from Belgian Congo to Kenya
        2 infantry moved from Anglo Egyptian Sudan to Ethiopia
        1 tactical_bomber moved from Egypt to Ethiopia
        1 fighter moved from 92 Sea Zone to 99 Sea Zone
        1 fighter moved from Egypt to Kenya

    Combat - British
        Battle in 99 Sea Zone
            British attack with 1 fighter
            Italians defend with 1 transport
                1 transport owned by the Italians lost in 99 Sea Zone
            British win with 1 fighter remaining. Battle score for attacker is 7
            Casualties for Italians: 1 transport
        Battle in 91 Sea Zone
            British attack with 1 bomber, 1 destroyer and 1 fighter; Russians loiter and taunt
            Germans defend with 1 submarine
                British roll dice for 1 bomber, 1 destroyer and 1 fighter in 91 Sea Zone, round 2 : 2/3 hits, 1,50 expected hits
                Germans roll dice for 1 submarine in 91 Sea Zone, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0,17 expected hits
                1 submarine owned by the Germans lost in 91 Sea Zone
            British win with 1 bomber, 1 destroyer and 1 fighter remaining. Battle score for attacker is 6
            Casualties for Germans: 1 submarine
        Battle in Kenya
            British attack with 1 fighter and 2 infantry
            Italians defend with 1 infantry
                British roll dice for 1 fighter and 2 infantry in Kenya, round 2 : 1/3 hits, 0,83 expected hits
                Italians roll dice for 1 infantry in Kenya, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0,33 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Italians lost in Kenya
            British win, taking Kenya from Italians with 1 fighter and 2 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
            Casualties for Italians: 1 infantry
        Battle in Ethiopia
            British attack with 2 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber
            Italians defend with 1 artillery
                British roll dice for 2 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber in Ethiopia, round 2 : 2/3 hits, 0,83 expected hits
                Italians roll dice for 1 artillery in Ethiopia, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0,33 expected hits
                1 artillery owned by the Italians lost in Ethiopia
            British win, taking Ethiopia from Italians with 2 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 4
            Casualties for Italians: 1 artillery

    Non Combat Move - British
        1 fighter moved from Kenya to Egypt
        1 tactical_bomber moved from Ethiopia to Egypt
        1 artillery and 2 infantry moved from Union of South Africa to Rhodesia
        1 artillery and 2 infantry moved from Rhodesia to Belgian Congo
        1 battleship, 1 cruiser, 1 destroyer and 1 transport moved from 76 Sea Zone to 98 Sea Zone
        1 destroyer moved from 81 Sea Zone to 98 Sea Zone
        1 battleship, 1 carrier, 2 cruisers, 1 fighter and 5 submarines moved from 92 Sea Zone to 98 Sea Zone
        1 fighter moved from 99 Sea Zone to 98 Sea Zone
        1 armour and 1 mech_infantry moved from Iraq to Northwest Persia
              British take Northwest Persia from Neutral_Allies
        1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from Quebec to 106 Sea Zone
        1 destroyer moved from 123 Sea Zone to 109 Sea Zone
        1 fighter moved from Iceland to United Kingdom
        1 fighter moved from 91 Sea Zone to Gibraltar
        1 bomber moved from 91 Sea Zone to French Equatorial Africa
        1 artillery, 1 infantry and 1 transport moved from 106 Sea Zone to 88 Sea Zone
        1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from 88 Sea Zone to Suriname
              British take Suriname from Dutch
        1 artillery, 3 infantry and 2 mech_infantrys moved from India to Burma
        1 tactical_bomber moved from Burma to India

    Place Units - British
        1 factory_minor placed in Egypt
        3 infantry placed in Persia
        1 fighter placed in United Kingdom
        1 submarine placed in 110 Sea Zone

    Turn Complete - British
        British collect 33 PUs; end with 33 PUs
        Trigger British 3 No Enemy Submarines: British met a national objective for an additional 3 PUs; end with 36 PUs
        Objective British 1 Original: British met a national objective for an additional 3 PUs; end with 39 PUs

    Place Units - UK_Pacific
        2 infantry and 3 mech_infantrys placed in India

    Turn Complete - UK_Pacific
        UK_Pacific collect 11 PUs; end with 11 PUs
        Trigger UK Pacific 4 No Enemy Submarines: UK_Pacific met a national objective for an additional 3 PUs; end with 14 PUs
        Some Units in India change ownership: 2 infantry and 3 mech_infantrys

Combat Hit Differential Summary :

Chinese regular : -0,83
Americans regular : 5,33
Italians regular : -0,67
Japanese regular : -2,67
Germans regular : -0,17
British regular : 1,83

Savegame

[Ghostglider]

Poor dice for both of us in that battle - just hit me harder. You had close to 1 hit below average in all rounds except the last round where we both had good dice.

[Ghostglider]

TripleA Turn Summary: Italians round 3

TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 Balanced Mod3

Game History

Round: 3

    Purchase Units - Italians
        Italians buy 5 infantry; Remaining resources: 3 PUs; 

    Combat Move - Italians
        1 transport moved from 97 Sea Zone to 99 Sea Zone
        1 infantry moved from Crete to 99 Sea Zone
        1 infantry moved from 99 Sea Zone to Cyprus
        1 armour moved from Romania to Belarus
        1 armour moved from Romania to Belarus
        1 fighter moved from Poland to Belarus
        1 bomber moved from Western Germany to Belarus

    Combat - Italians
        Battle in Cyprus
        Battle in Belarus
            Italians attack with 2 armour, 1 bomber and 1 fighter
            Russians defend with 1 infantry
                Italians roll dice for 2 armour, 1 bomber and 1 fighter in Belarus, round 2 : 2/4 hits, 2.17 expected hits
                Russians roll dice for 1 infantry in Belarus, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Russians lost in Belarus
            Italians win, taking Cyprus from British, taking Belarus from Russians with 2 armour, 1 bomber and 1 fighter remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
            Casualties for Russians: 1 infantry

    Non Combat Move - Italians
        1 fighter moved from Belarus to Eastern Poland
        1 bomber moved from Belarus to Eastern Poland
        1 battleship, 2 cruisers and 1 destroyer moved from 97 Sea Zone to 95 Sea Zone
        1 aaGun moved from Normandy Bordeaux to France

    Place Units - Italians
        3 infantry placed in Southern Italy
        2 infantry placed in Northern Italy

    Turn Complete - Italians
        Italians collect 13 PUs; end with 16 PUs

Combat Hit Differential Summary :

Italians regular : -0.17
Russians regular : -0.33

Savegame

[MrRoboto]

@Ghostglider said in L23 - BM4 - Ghostglider vs. MrRoboto (+15) - Game 3:

Poor dice for both of us in that battle - just hit me harder. You had close to 1 hit below average in all rounds except the last round where we both had good dice.

True.
The individual rounds were not very crazy - as you said I also had below average hits. But yours were 1-2 hits worse than mine and with sea battles this can escalate quickly and have a huge impact.

And since ships are expensive, even small deviations from the average in sea battles can have a huge TUV swing.

This favours the allied attacker here, since I always have the options to retreat and you also have to consider your casualties, in case UK / Anzac will strike too.

[MrRoboto]

TripleA Turn Summary: French round 3

TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 Balanced Mod3

Game History

Round: 3

    Purchase Units - ANZAC
        ANZAC buy 1 destroyer and 2 submarines; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; 

    Combat Move - ANZAC

    Combat - ANZAC

    Non Combat Move - ANZAC
        2 infantry moved from Egypt to Trans-Jordan
        1 destroyer and 1 submarine moved from 62 Sea Zone to 54 Sea Zone
        1 fighter moved from Burma to India

    Place Units - ANZAC
        1 destroyer and 2 submarines placed in 62 Sea Zone

    Turn Complete - ANZAC
        ANZAC collect 10 PUs; end with 10 PUs
        Objective ANZAC 3 Pacific Supply Lines: ANZAC met a national objective for an additional 3 PUs; end with 13 PUs
        Objective ANZAC 2 Control Strategic Islands: ANZAC met a national objective for an additional 3 PUs; end with 16 PUs

    Combat Move - French
        1 destroyer moved from 39 Sea Zone to 44 Sea Zone

    Combat - French
        Battle in 44 Sea Zone
            French attack with 1 destroyer; Americans loiter and taunt
            Japanese defend with 1 transport
                1 transport owned by the Japanese lost in 44 Sea Zone
            French win, taking 44 Sea Zone from Neutral with 1 destroyer remaining. Battle score for attacker is 7
            Casualties for Japanese: 1 transport

    Non Combat Move - French
        1 infantry moved from French Equatorial Africa to Anglo Egyptian Sudan
        1 fighter moved from Gibraltar to Malta
        1 infantry moved from Egypt to 98 Sea Zone

    Turn Complete - French

Combat Hit Differential Summary :

Savegame