L21 playoff OOB jkeller(X) vs trulpen (L+43)

[trulpen]

L21 SF jkeller vs trulpen (+43) OOB.tsvg

Game History

Round: 8

   Purchase Units - Americans

       Americans buy 1 carrier, 2 destroyers, 2 fighters, 2 infantry, 2 submarines and 1 transport; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; 



   Combat Move - Americans

       1 bomber moved from Trans-Jordan to Ukraine

       1 submarine moved from 33 Sea Zone to 36 Sea Zone

             Americans take 35 Sea Zone from Japanese

       2 infantry and 1 transport moved from 33 Sea Zone to 35 Sea Zone

       1 infantry moved from 35 Sea Zone to Philippines

       8 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber moved from 33 Sea Zone to 36 Sea Zone



   Combat - Americans

       Strategic bombing raid in Ukraine

               Germans roll AA dice in Ukraine : 0/1 hits, 0,17 expected hits

           Bombing raid in Ukraine rolls: 3 and causes: 3 damage to unit: factory_minor

           Bombing raid in Ukraine causes 3 damage total. 

       Battle in Philippines

       Battle in 36 Sea Zone

           Americans attack with 8 fighters, 1 submarine and 1 tactical_bomber

           Japanese defend with 1 destroyer

               Americans roll dice for 1 submarine in 36 Sea Zone, round 2 : 1/1 hits, 0,33 expected hits

               Japanese roll dice for 1 destroyer in 36 Sea Zone, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0,33 expected hits

               1 destroyer owned by the Japanese lost in 36 Sea Zone

           Americans win, taking Philippines from Japanese, taking 36 Sea Zone from Neutral with 8 fighters, 1 submarine and 1 tactical_bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 8

           Casualties for Japanese: 1 destroyer



   Non Combat Move - Americans

       8 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber moved from 36 Sea Zone to 35 Sea Zone

       1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from Queensland to 54 Sea Zone

       1 artillery, 1 infantry and 1 transport moved from 54 Sea Zone to 35 Sea Zone

       1 destroyer and 1 submarine moved from 54 Sea Zone to 35 Sea Zone

       1 carrier and 1 submarine moved from 10 Sea Zone to 30 Sea Zone

       1 destroyer moved from 10 Sea Zone to 25 Sea Zone

       1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from 91 Sea Zone to United Kingdom

       1 submarine moved from 92 Sea Zone to 97 Sea Zone

       1 submarine moved from 91 Sea Zone to 93 Sea Zone

       1 carrier moved from 91 Sea Zone to 96 Sea Zone

       1 carrier moved from 101 Sea Zone to 91 Sea Zone

       1 fighter moved from Western United States to 91 Sea Zone

       1 aaGun, 2 infantry and 1 mech_infantry moved from Central United States to 101 Sea Zone

       1 aaGun, 2 infantry, 1 mech_infantry and 2 transports moved from 101 Sea Zone to 91 Sea Zone

       1 aaGun and 2 infantry moved from 91 Sea Zone to Morocco

       1 mech_infantry moved from 91 Sea Zone to Morocco

       1 bomber moved from Ukraine to Russia

       1 submarine moved from 33 Sea Zone to 44 Sea Zone

       1 submarine moved from 33 Sea Zone to 42 Sea Zone

       2 fighters moved from Amur to 35 Sea Zone

       1 battleship, 7 carriers, 2 cruisers, 7 destroyers, 2 fighters and 4 submarines moved from 33 Sea Zone to 35 Sea Zone

       1 infantry moved from Amur to Buryatia

       1 submarine moved from 33 Sea Zone to 35 Sea Zone



   Place Units - Americans

       1 fighter placed in Eastern United States

       1 fighter placed in Western United States

       2 infantry placed in Central United States

       1 transport placed in 101 Sea Zone

       1 destroyer placed in 101 Sea Zone

       1 carrier, 1 destroyer and 2 submarines placed in 10 Sea Zone

       Turning on Edit Mode

       EDIT: Removing units owned by Americans from 91 Sea Zone: 1 submarine

       EDIT: Adding units owned by Americans to 93 Sea Zone: 1 submarine

       EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode

       Americans undo move 6.

       1 carrier, 1 destroyer and 1 submarine placed in 10 Sea Zone

       1 submarine placed in 101 Sea Zone



   Turn Complete - Americans

       Americans collect 58 PUs; end with 58 PUs

       Objective Americans 1 Homeland: Americans met a national objective for an additional 10 PUs; end with 68 PUs

       Objective Americans 3 Defense Obligations: Americans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 73 PUs

       Objective Americans 2 Outer Territories: Americans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 78 PUs

       Objective Americans 4 Philippines: Americans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 83 PUs



   Purchase Units - Chinese

       Trigger Chinese Loses Burma Road: Chinese has their production frontier changed to: productionChinese_Burma_Road_Closed

       Chinese buy nothing; Remaining resources: 5 PUs; 



   Combat Move - Chinese



   Turn Complete - Chinese

       Chinese collect 0 PUs; end with 5 PUs



   Purchase Units - British

       British buy 3 fighters and 1 infantry; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; 



   Purchase Units - UK_Pacific

       UK_Pacific buy 2 infantry; Remaining resources: 1 PUs; 



   Combat Move - British

       Turning on Edit Mode

       EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode

       1 bomber moved from Trans-Jordan to 97 Sea Zone

       1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from 92 Sea Zone to 97 Sea Zone

       2 fighters moved from Gibraltar to 97 Sea Zone

       2 submarines moved from 93 Sea Zone to 97 Sea Zone

       1 destroyer moved from 92 Sea Zone to 97 Sea Zone

       EDIT: 1 destroyer moved from 91 Sea Zone to 96 Sea Zone

       3 artilleries moved from Algeria to 92 Sea Zone

       2 artilleries and 2 transports moved from 92 Sea Zone to 94 Sea Zone

       2 infantry moved from Tunisia to 94 Sea Zone

       1 artillery, 1 infantry and 1 transport moved from 94 Sea Zone to 96 Sea Zone

       1 artillery, 1 infantry and 1 transport moved from 94 Sea Zone to 96 Sea Zone

       2 artilleries and 2 infantry moved from 96 Sea Zone to Malta

       1 battleship moved from 92 Sea Zone to 96 Sea Zone

       1 artillery and 1 transport moved from 92 Sea Zone to 96 Sea Zone

       1 infantry moved from Tobruk to 96 Sea Zone

       1 artillery, 1 infantry and 1 transport moved from 96 Sea Zone to 99 Sea Zone

       1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from 99 Sea Zone to Cyprus



   Combat - British

       Battle in 97 Sea Zone

           British attack with 1 bomber, 1 destroyer, 3 fighters, 2 submarines and 1 tactical_bomber; Americans loiter and taunt

           Germans defend with 1 submarine; Italians defend with 1 destroyer and 2 submarines

               British roll dice for 2 submarines in 97 Sea Zone, round 2 : 0/2 hits, 0,67 expected hits

               British roll dice for 1 bomber, 1 destroyer, 3 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber in 97 Sea Zone, round 2 : 5/6 hits, 3,17 expected hits

               Italians roll dice for 3 submarines in 97 Sea Zone, round 2 : 0/3 hits, 0,50 expected hits

               Italians roll dice for 1 destroyer in 97 Sea Zone, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0,33 expected hits

               1 destroyer owned by the Italians, 1 submarine owned by the Germans and 2 submarines owned by the Italians lost in 97 Sea Zone

           British win, taking 97 Sea Zone from Germans with 1 bomber, 1 destroyer, 3 fighters, 2 submarines and 1 tactical_bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 26

           Casualties for Italians: 1 destroyer and 2 submarines

           Casualties for Germans: 1 submarine

       Battle in Cyprus

           British attack with 1 artillery and 1 infantry

           Italians defend with 1 infantry

               British roll dice for 1 artillery and 1 infantry in Cyprus, round 2 : 0/2 hits, 0,67 expected hits

               Italians roll dice for 1 infantry in Cyprus, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0,33 expected hits

               British roll dice for 1 artillery and 1 infantry in Cyprus, round 3 : 1/2 hits, 0,67 expected hits

               Italians roll dice for 1 infantry in Cyprus, round 3 : 1/1 hits, 0,33 expected hits

               1 infantry owned by the Italians and 1 infantry owned by the British lost in Cyprus

           British win, taking Cyprus from Italians with 1 artillery remaining. Battle score for attacker is 0

           Casualties for British: 1 infantry

           Casualties for Italians: 1 infantry

       Battle in Malta

           British attack with 2 artilleries and 2 infantry

           Italians defend with 1 infantry

               British roll dice for 1 battleship in Malta, round 2 : 1/1 hits, 0,67 expected hits

               Italians roll dice for 1 infantry in Malta, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0,33 expected hits

               1 infantry owned by the Italians lost in Malta

           British win, taking Malta from Italians with 2 artilleries and 2 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3

           Casualties for Italians: 1 infantry



   Non Combat Move - British

       Turning on Edit Mode

       EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode

       3 aaGuns, 2 artilleries, 14 infantry and 1 mech_infantry moved from Burma to India

       2 fighters moved from Persia to Russia

       1 artillery and 1 infantry moved from Iraq to Northwest Persia

       2 artilleries and 3 infantry moved from Persia to Northwest Persia

       3 infantry moved from Trans-Jordan to Iraq

       3 infantry moved from Egypt to Trans-Jordan

       1 aaGun moved from Tobruk to Alexandria

       3 fighters and 1 tactical_bomber moved from 97 Sea Zone to 96 Sea Zone

       1 bomber moved from 97 Sea Zone to Trans-Jordan

       1 carrier moved from 92 Sea Zone to 96 Sea Zone

       EDIT: 1 aaGun moved from Morocco to Gibraltar

       EDIT: 1 infantry moved from Morocco to Gibraltar

       EDIT: 1 infantry and 1 mech_infantry moved from Morocco to Gibraltar

       1 submarine moved from 71 Sea Zone to 81 Sea Zone

       1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from India to Northwest Persia



   Place Units - British

       3 fighters placed in Persia

       1 infantry placed in Egypt



   Turn Complete - British

       British collect 33 PUs; end with 33 PUs

       Objective British 1 Original: British met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 38 PUs



   Place Units - UK_Pacific

       2 infantry placed in India



   Turn Complete - UK_Pacific

       UK_Pacific collect 6 PUs; end with 7 PUs

       Some Units in India change ownership: 2 infantry

Combat Hit Differential Summary :

Americans regular : 0,67

Italians regular : -0,83

Japanese regular : -0,33

Germans AA : -0,17

British regular : 1,17

[jkeller]

Americans regular : 0,67

Italians regular : -0,83

Japanese regular : -0,33

Germans AA : -0,17

British regular : 1,17

Of course every allied is above expected and every axis is below what’s new lol

[jkeller]

average TUV swing seems to be less bad with scramble in sz97 so I will reroll it

[trulpen]

Which figs to scramble?

[jkeller]

3 Italian fighters

[jkeller]

If you need to adjust noncombat based on results I have no problem with that of course

[trulpen]

The rerolled battle.

L21 SF jkeller vs trulpen (+43) OOB battle.tsvg

[trulpen]

Adjusted. 2 UK-figs on the US-ac.

UCU8 L21 SF jkeller vs trulpen (+43) OOB.tsvg

[jkeller]

@jkeller holy shit 34 ipc below expectation lol that was horrible

[trulpen]

Wasn’t good for Mussolini. With the bad result on the first go I can understand you wanted another shot. Could’ve worked, but this was of course worse. I’ll try to not assume so much regarding scrambles, but rather await your decisions.

[trulpen]

The difference in TUV between the two results was just 8 though.

[trulpen]

Oh, wait, perhaps not.

[jkeller]

wasnt based on dice at all but average expected outcome. of course average does not mean it will be better than even a bad initial roll lol. oh well i would still make same decision again especially with even a small possibility of killing uk fighters and german counter on british fleet

[jkeller]

italy l21-sf-jkeller-vs-trulpen-43-oob (36).tsvg

[trulpen]

Yes, seems correct.

First was +26.

Second +34.

Expected TUV was +10.

[trulpen]

@jkeller said in L21 playoff OOB jkeller(X) vs trulpen (L+43):

wasnt based on dice at all but average expected outcome. of course average does not mean it will be better than even a bad initial roll lol. oh well i would still make same decision again especially with even a small possibility of killing uk fighters and german counter on british fleet

Yep, that actually makes a lot of sense.

[jkeller]

initial roll was -28 vs -20 expected. adjusted battle was -44 vs a -10 expected. but i would do it again

[jkeller]

ya first one -26. second one -44

[trulpen]

Franz8 L21 SF jkeller vs trulpen (+43) OOB.tsvg

[jkeller]

Game History

Round: 9

    Research Technology - Germans

    Purchase Units - Germans
        Germans repair damage of 3x factory_minor; Remaining resources: 77 PUs; 
        Germans buy 1 artillery, 1 fighter, 13 infantry and 6 mech_infantrys; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; 

    Combat Move - Germans
        1 mech_infantry moved from Volgograd to Kazakhstan
        4 infantry moved from Volgograd to Kazakhstan
        1 infantry moved from Smolensk to Vologda
        1 bomber moved from Western Germany to Vologda
        1 infantry moved from Volgograd to Samara
        1 infantry moved from Tambov to Samara
        11 armour and 22 mech_infantrys moved from Volgograd to Northwest Persia
        1 bomber moved from Southern Italy to Samara
        4 fighters moved from Western Germany to 97 Sea Zone
        2 fighters moved from Southern Italy to 97 Sea Zone
        1 infantry moved from Smolensk to Vologda
        1 infantry moved from Archangel to Vologda

    Combat - Germans
        Battle in 97 Sea Zone
            Germans attack with 6 fighters
            British defend with 1 destroyer; Americans defend with 1 submarine
            1 submarine owned by the Americans submerged
                Germans roll dice for 6 fighters in 97 Sea Zone, round 2 : 4/6 hits, 3.00 expected hits
                Americans roll dice for 1 destroyer in 97 Sea Zone, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                1 destroyer owned by the British lost in 97 Sea Zone
            Germans win with 6 fighters remaining. Battle score for attacker is 8
            Casualties for British: 1 destroyer
        Battle in Northwest Persia
            Germans attack with 11 armour and 22 mech_infantrys
            British defend with 3 artilleries, 1 fighter, 6 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber
                Germans roll dice for 11 armour and 22 mech_infantrys in Northwest Persia, round 2 : 9/33 hits, 9.17 expected hits
                British roll dice for 3 artilleries, 1 fighter, 6 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber in Northwest Persia, round 2 : 2/11 hits, 4.17 expected hits
                3 artilleries owned by the British, 2 mech_infantrys owned by the Germans and 6 infantry owned by the British lost in Northwest Persia
                Germans roll dice for 11 armour and 20 mech_infantrys in Northwest Persia, round 3 : 10/31 hits, 8.83 expected hits
                British roll dice for 1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber in Northwest Persia, round 3 : 2/2 hits, 1.17 expected hits
                1 tactical_bomber owned by the British, 2 mech_infantrys owned by the Germans and 1 fighter owned by the British lost in Northwest Persia
            Germans win, taking Northwest Persia from British with 11 armour and 18 mech_infantrys remaining. Battle score for attacker is 35
            Casualties for Germans: 4 mech_infantrys
            Casualties for British: 3 artilleries, 1 fighter, 6 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber
        Battle in Kazakhstan
            Germans attack with 4 infantry and 1 mech_infantry
            Russians defend with 1 infantry
                Germans roll dice for 4 infantry and 1 mech_infantry in Kazakhstan, round 2 : 2/5 hits, 0.83 expected hits
                Russians roll dice for 1 infantry in Kazakhstan, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Russians lost in Kazakhstan
            Germans win, taking Kazakhstan from Russians with 4 infantry and 1 mech_infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
            Casualties for Russians: 1 infantry
        Battle in Samara
            Germans attack with 1 bomber and 2 infantry
            Russians defend with 1 infantry
                Germans roll dice for 1 bomber and 2 infantry in Samara, round 2 : 1/3 hits, 1.00 expected hits
                Russians roll dice for 1 infantry in Samara, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Russians lost in Samara
            Germans win, taking Samara from Russians with 1 bomber and 2 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
            Casualties for Russians: 1 infantry
        Battle in Vologda
            Germans attack with 1 bomber and 3 infantry
            Russians defend with 1 artillery and 1 infantry
                Germans roll dice for 1 bomber and 3 infantry in Vologda, round 2 : 1/4 hits, 1.17 expected hits
                Russians roll dice for 1 artillery and 1 infantry in Vologda, round 2 : 0/2 hits, 0.67 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Russians lost in Vologda
                Germans roll dice for 1 bomber and 3 infantry in Vologda, round 3 : 3/4 hits, 1.17 expected hits
                Russians roll dice for 1 artillery in Vologda, round 3 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                1 artillery owned by the Russians lost in Vologda
            Germans win, taking Vologda from Russians with 1 bomber and 3 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 7
            Casualties for Russians: 1 artillery and 1 infantry

    Non Combat Move - Germans
        3 infantry moved from Novgorod to Archangel
        2 infantry moved from Novgorod to Archangel
        1 bomber moved from Samara to Volgograd
        3 artilleries moved from Ukraine to Bryansk
        3 artilleries moved from Belarus to Bryansk
        2 mech_infantrys moved from Poland to Belarus
        1 infantry moved from Archangel to Smolensk
        1 transport moved from 115 Sea Zone to 114 Sea Zone
        2 infantry moved from Germany to 114 Sea Zone
        2 infantry and 1 transport moved from 114 Sea Zone to 115 Sea Zone
        2 infantry moved from 115 Sea Zone to Novgorod
        8 mech_infantrys moved from Western Germany to Slovakia Hungary
        1 mech_infantry moved from Western Germany to Slovakia Hungary
        1 bomber moved from Vologda to Archangel
        1 fighter moved from 97 Sea Zone to Volgograd
        2 fighters moved from 97 Sea Zone to Southern Italy
        3 fighters moved from 97 Sea Zone to Western Germany
        2 aaGuns moved from France to Western Germany

    Place Units - Germans
        3 infantry placed in Ukraine
        3 infantry placed in Volgograd
        Germans undo move 1.
        1 artillery and 2 infantry placed in Ukraine
        3 infantry placed in Novgorod
        2 infantry placed in Germany
        3 infantry placed in France
        1 fighter and 6 mech_infantrys placed in Western Germany
        Germans undo move 5.
        1 infantry placed in Western Germany
        2 infantry placed in France

    Turn Complete - Germans
        Total Cost from Convoy Blockades: 2
            Rolling for Convoy Blockade Damage in 97 Sea Zone. Rolls: 3,1
        Germans collect 62 PUs (2 lost to blockades); end with 62 PUs
        Trigger Germans 5 Swedish Iron Ore: Germans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 67 PUs
        Objective Germans 6 Control Iraq Or Persia Or Northwest Persia: Germans met a national objective for an additional 2 PUs; end with 69 PUs
        Objective Germans 3 Control Caucasus: Germans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 74 PUs
        Objective Germans 2 Control Novgorod Or Volgograd Or Russia: Germans met a national objective for an additional 10 PUs; end with 84 PUs

Combat Hit Differential Summary :

Americans regular : -0.33
Russians regular : -1.67
Germans regular : 4.83
British regular : -1.33