@Glasi You need to create a separate Commander Name on Steam and tell me, so that I could merge manually. Probably better send me a DM with all the info (e.g. emails used for both)
PRNG experiment going on right now?
-
@Nosho said in PRNG experiment going on right now?:
I don’t need data
It’s true that you don’t need data to make subjective claims.
But really, everyone needs Data.
-
Didn’t mean to start a thing. Was just wondering if other suspected the same. But Maybe @Nosho is right, just my incorrect perception based on limited sampling.
-
@aardvarkpepper Very intellectually honest of you to omit the rest of my sentence: “I don’t need data to assume a modern PRNG is extremely close to random”
If you or anyone else want to convince anyone that their anecdotal evidence is relevant to supporting the claim that PRNG has significant and noticeable patterns/trends that make it substantially different from randomness, then you are the one that has the burden of proof. The people that assume that PRNG is a valid randomness generator can be confident in their assumption based on the fact that, for example, GPS, works pretty well. When you make a claim that goes against the commonly accepted current understanding of things, you back it up and submit it to others for scrutiny, or hold your peace.
-
@djensen said in PRNG experiment going on right now?:
Didn’t mean to start a thing. Was just wondering if other suspected the same. But Maybe @Nosho is right, just my incorrect perception based on limited sampling.
After losing 5 out of 6 bombers on a SBR and seeing my surviving bomber score a 1 in a recent game, I have to admit it was very tempting for me to believe something weird was going on there. But given the fast pace and the sheer amount of games we can play online, weird stuff is bound to happen often, even due to pure randomness. I estimate I’ve conducted over 2000 SBRs on A&A Online so far. Some extreme results are to be expected at some point, and will be very salient to our memory. Cheers
-
@Nosho You should start manually recording your SBR results. :rolling_on_the_floor_laughing:
-
This post is deleted! -
You can dictate terms to me when you pay me. Until then -
PRNG evaluation is designed to evaluate groups of single independent events such as dice rolls. But Axis and Allies dice are properly evaluated as groups of groups of independent events.
-
@aardvarkpepper :thinking_face:
-
@aardvarkpepper So is it your actual belief that the PNRG dice in A&A Online are significantly deviating from a random distribution? If so, in what way do you think they are deviating from a random distribution, and what is your evidence supporting this opinion?
-
I locked the thread because I know where this is going - an explosive reponse. If you two would like to chat privately about it, go ahead. Keep in mind forum rules still apply to chats.
Suggested Topics
