@dustwhit:
It seems to me that the UK is in the best position to deter J’s advance, particularly from a first move perspective. If G doesn’t take Egt, than UK1 can be 2inf Aus to Ngu, an attack on Bor or Fic, along w/ attak to 59, and move bomber to Nov. Most of that doesn’t seem to be any big loss/risk for UK, but potentially big for them if dice go their way
With Russia stacking 6 in Bury and maybe a reinforced UK fgh from 35 in Chi, that’s a lot for J to have to decide on.
If you’re gonna move 6 inf to Bury R1, then land the Uk fighter there too. In China it won’t survive, but if you land it in Bury you can potentially threaten fleets with your sub (which goes to the ngu or sol sea zone), your fighter, and your bomber. And it’s pretty risky for Japan to hit Bury in dice with 6 inf 1 fig there.
That said I think it’s probably a better move to use the 2 inf from ind plus fig on an Egy counter then on Borneo (ie if you lose Africa Germany will get so big that it doesn’t matter whether you contain Japan or not).
FIC is also potentially a better move then Borneo. At least with FIC you could use your fighter in the attack and still land it in Buryatia.
I don’t recommend New Guinea…too much risk too little reward.