2018 Playoffs Adam (Allies) vs Farmboy (Axis) BM

[Adam514]

No intercept.

[farmboy]

Ok.

Also, I will probably get through the combats today but might need some time to think through the NCMs. That sub in the pacific in particular I need to think about and not sure I will have the time tonight.

[Adam514]

Sounds good.

[farmboy]

TripleA Turn Summary: Germans round 20

TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 Balanced Mod3, version: 3.4

Game History

Round: 20

    Research Technology - Germans

    Purchase Units - Germans
        Germans buy 15 infantry and 3 mech_infantrys; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; 

    Combat Move - Germans
        3 infantry moved from Novgorod to Belarus
        1 artillery and 2 infantry moved from Novgorod to Archangel
        1 fighter moved from Novgorod to Archangel
        3 infantry moved from Eastern Poland to Western Ukraine
        1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Germany to Western Ukraine
        1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Western Germany to Belarus
        2 infantry moved from Western Germany to Holland Belgium
        2 armour and 4 mech_infantrys moved from Bessarabia to Ukraine
        2 tactical_bombers moved from Western Germany to Holland Belgium
        1 bomber and 3 fighters moved from Novgorod to Russia
        1 bomber moved from Shensi to Russia
        1 fighter and 3 tactical_bombers moved from Western Germany to Holland Belgium

    Combat - Germans
        Air Battle in Russia
            Germans attacks with 5 units heading to Russia
            Air Battle is over, the remaining bombers go on to their targets
        Strategic bombing raid in Russia
                AA fire in Russia : 0/2 hits, 0.33 expected hits
            Bombing raid in Russia rolls: 7,8 and causes: 15 damage to unit: factory_major
            Bombing raid in Russia causes 15 damage total. 
        Battle in Holland Belgium
            Germans attack with 1 fighter, 2 infantry and 5 tactical_bombers
            Americans defend with 1 infantry
                Germans roll dice for 1 fighter, 2 infantry and 5 tactical_bombers in Holland Belgium, round 2 : 5/8 hits, 3.50 expected hits
                Americans roll dice for 1 infantry in Holland Belgium, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Americans lost in Holland Belgium
            Germans win, taking Holland Belgium from Americans with 1 fighter, 2 infantry and 5 tactical_bombers remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
            Casualties for Americans: 1 infantry
        Battle in Ukraine
            Germans attack with 2 armour and 4 mech_infantrys
            Russians defend with 1 aaGun, 1 artillery, 1 factory_minor and 2 infantry
                Germans roll dice for 2 armour and 4 mech_infantrys in Ukraine, round 2 : 1/6 hits, 1.67 expected hits
                Russians roll dice for 1 aaGun, 1 artillery and 2 infantry in Ukraine, round 2 : 1/3 hits, 1.00 expected hits
                1 aaGun owned by the Russians and 1 mech_infantry owned by the Germans lost in Ukraine
                Germans roll dice for 2 armour and 3 mech_infantrys in Ukraine, round 3 : 1/5 hits, 1.50 expected hits
                Russians roll dice for 1 artillery and 2 infantry in Ukraine, round 3 : 1/3 hits, 1.00 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Russians and 1 mech_infantry owned by the Germans lost in Ukraine
                Germans roll dice for 2 armour and 2 mech_infantrys in Ukraine, round 4 : 1/4 hits, 1.33 expected hits
                Russians roll dice for 1 artillery and 1 infantry in Ukraine, round 4 : 0/2 hits, 0.67 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Russians lost in Ukraine
                Germans roll dice for 2 armour and 2 mech_infantrys in Ukraine, round 5 : 1/4 hits, 1.33 expected hits
                Russians roll dice for 1 artillery in Ukraine, round 5 : 1/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                1 artillery owned by the Russians and 1 mech_infantry owned by the Germans lost in Ukraine
            Germans win, taking Ukraine from Russians with 2 armour and 1 mech_infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
            Casualties for Germans: 3 mech_infantrys
            Casualties for Russians: 1 aaGun, 1 artillery and 2 infantry
        Battle in Western Ukraine
            Germans attack with 1 fighter, 3 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber
            Russians defend with 2 infantry
                Germans roll dice for 1 fighter, 3 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber in Western Ukraine, round 2 : 2/5 hits, 1.67 expected hits
                Russians roll dice for 2 infantry in Western Ukraine, round 2 : 0/2 hits, 0.67 expected hits
                2 infantry owned by the Russians lost in Western Ukraine
            Germans win, taking Western Ukraine from Russians with 1 fighter, 3 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 6
            Casualties for Russians: 2 infantry
        Battle in Archangel
            Germans attack with 1 artillery, 1 fighter and 2 infantry
            Russians defend with 2 infantry
                Germans roll dice for 1 artillery, 1 fighter and 2 infantry in Archangel, round 2 : 2/4 hits, 1.33 expected hits
                Russians roll dice for 2 infantry in Archangel, round 2 : 1/2 hits, 0.67 expected hits
                2 infantry owned by the Russians and 1 infantry owned by the Germans lost in Archangel
            Germans win, taking Archangel from Russians with 1 artillery, 1 fighter and 1 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
            Casualties for Germans: 1 infantry
            Casualties for Russians: 2 infantry
        Battle in Belarus
            Germans attack with 1 fighter, 3 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber
            Russians defend with 2 infantry
                Germans roll dice for 1 fighter, 3 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber in Belarus, round 2 : 3/5 hits, 1.67 expected hits
                Russians roll dice for 2 infantry in Belarus, round 2 : 2/2 hits, 0.67 expected hits
                2 infantry owned by the Russians and 2 infantry owned by the Germans lost in Belarus
            Germans win, taking Belarus from Russians with 1 fighter, 1 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 0
            Casualties for Germans: 2 infantry
            Casualties for Russians: 2 infantry
        Cleaning up after air battles

    Non Combat Move - Germans
        1 bomber moved from Russia to Novgorod
        1 bomber moved from Russia to Kazakhstan
        3 fighters moved from Russia to Kazakhstan
        1 fighter moved from Archangel to Germany
        7 infantry moved from Poland to Eastern Poland
        3 armour and 4 mech_infantrys moved from Eastern Poland to Novgorod
        3 mech_infantrys moved from Poland to Novgorod
        1 armour and 4 mech_infantrys moved from Bessarabia to Eastern Poland
        1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Belarus to Novgorod
        1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Western Ukraine to Eastern Poland
        2 transports moved from 96 Sea Zone to 97 Sea Zone
        2 artilleries moved from Northern Italy to 97 Sea Zone
        2 artilleries and 2 transports moved from 97 Sea Zone to 98 Sea Zone
        1 battleship and 1 carrier moved from 96 Sea Zone to 98 Sea Zone
        2 artilleries moved from 98 Sea Zone to Alexandria
        1 fighter and 5 tactical_bombers moved from Holland Belgium to Western Germany
        2 fighters and 2 tactical_bombers moved from Western Germany to Alexandria
        1 submarine moved from 113 Sea Zone to 125 Sea Zone
        5 infantry moved from Germany to Slovakia Hungary

    Place Units - Germans
        2 infantry and 3 mech_infantrys placed in Western Germany
        10 infantry placed in Germany
        3 infantry placed in Novgorod

    Turn Complete - Germans
        Total Cost from Convoy Blockades: 2
            Rolling for Convoy Blockade Damage in 125 Sea Zone. Rolls: 4,4,2,4
        Germans collect 48 PUs (2 lost to blockades); end with 48 PUs
        Trigger Germans 5 Swedish Iron Ore: Germans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 53 PUs
        Objective Germans 7 Control of Balkans: Germans met a national objective for an additional 2 PUs; end with 55 PUs
        Objective Germans 2 Control Novgorod Or Volgograd Or Russia: Germans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 60 PUs

Combat Hit Differential Summary :

AA fire in Russia : : -0.33
Germans : 2.00
Americans : -0.33
Russians : 1.00

Savegame

[farmboy]

posting for now but will come back to the German sub by Malaya later.

[Adam514]

Alright.

[farmboy]

Sorry for the delay. Even though it is just a sub, I need to have a fairly clear sense of where I intend the Japanese fleet to be before deciding on where it goes, and don’t think I’ll have the time until tomorrow.

[Adam514]

No worries, thanks for letting me know.

[farmboy]

TripleA Turn Summary: Germans round 20

TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 Balanced Mod3, version: 3.4

Game History

Round: 20

    Research Technology - Germans

    Purchase Units - Germans
        Germans buy 15 infantry and 3 mech_infantrys; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; 

    Combat Move - Germans
        3 infantry moved from Novgorod to Belarus
        1 artillery and 2 infantry moved from Novgorod to Archangel
        1 fighter moved from Novgorod to Archangel
        3 infantry moved from Eastern Poland to Western Ukraine
        1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Germany to Western Ukraine
        1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Western Germany to Belarus
        2 infantry moved from Western Germany to Holland Belgium
        2 armour and 4 mech_infantrys moved from Bessarabia to Ukraine
        2 tactical_bombers moved from Western Germany to Holland Belgium
        1 bomber and 3 fighters moved from Novgorod to Russia
        1 bomber moved from Shensi to Russia
        1 fighter and 3 tactical_bombers moved from Western Germany to Holland Belgium

    Combat - Germans
        Air Battle in Russia
            Germans attacks with 5 units heading to Russia
            Air Battle is over, the remaining bombers go on to their targets
        Strategic bombing raid in Russia
                AA fire in Russia : 0/2 hits, 0.33 expected hits
            Bombing raid in Russia rolls: 7,8 and causes: 15 damage to unit: factory_major
            Bombing raid in Russia causes 15 damage total. 
        Battle in Holland Belgium
            Germans attack with 1 fighter, 2 infantry and 5 tactical_bombers
            Americans defend with 1 infantry
                Germans roll dice for 1 fighter, 2 infantry and 5 tactical_bombers in Holland Belgium, round 2 : 5/8 hits, 3.50 expected hits
                Americans roll dice for 1 infantry in Holland Belgium, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Americans lost in Holland Belgium
            Germans win, taking Holland Belgium from Americans with 1 fighter, 2 infantry and 5 tactical_bombers remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
            Casualties for Americans: 1 infantry
        Battle in Ukraine
            Germans attack with 2 armour and 4 mech_infantrys
            Russians defend with 1 aaGun, 1 artillery, 1 factory_minor and 2 infantry
                Germans roll dice for 2 armour and 4 mech_infantrys in Ukraine, round 2 : 1/6 hits, 1.67 expected hits
                Russians roll dice for 1 aaGun, 1 artillery and 2 infantry in Ukraine, round 2 : 1/3 hits, 1.00 expected hits
                1 aaGun owned by the Russians and 1 mech_infantry owned by the Germans lost in Ukraine
                Germans roll dice for 2 armour and 3 mech_infantrys in Ukraine, round 3 : 1/5 hits, 1.50 expected hits
                Russians roll dice for 1 artillery and 2 infantry in Ukraine, round 3 : 1/3 hits, 1.00 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Russians and 1 mech_infantry owned by the Germans lost in Ukraine
                Germans roll dice for 2 armour and 2 mech_infantrys in Ukraine, round 4 : 1/4 hits, 1.33 expected hits
                Russians roll dice for 1 artillery and 1 infantry in Ukraine, round 4 : 0/2 hits, 0.67 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Russians lost in Ukraine
                Germans roll dice for 2 armour and 2 mech_infantrys in Ukraine, round 5 : 1/4 hits, 1.33 expected hits
                Russians roll dice for 1 artillery in Ukraine, round 5 : 1/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                1 artillery owned by the Russians and 1 mech_infantry owned by the Germans lost in Ukraine
            Germans win, taking Ukraine from Russians with 2 armour and 1 mech_infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
            Casualties for Germans: 3 mech_infantrys
            Casualties for Russians: 1 aaGun, 1 artillery and 2 infantry
        Battle in Western Ukraine
            Germans attack with 1 fighter, 3 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber
            Russians defend with 2 infantry
                Germans roll dice for 1 fighter, 3 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber in Western Ukraine, round 2 : 2/5 hits, 1.67 expected hits
                Russians roll dice for 2 infantry in Western Ukraine, round 2 : 0/2 hits, 0.67 expected hits
                2 infantry owned by the Russians lost in Western Ukraine
            Germans win, taking Western Ukraine from Russians with 1 fighter, 3 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 6
            Casualties for Russians: 2 infantry
        Battle in Archangel
            Germans attack with 1 artillery, 1 fighter and 2 infantry
            Russians defend with 2 infantry
                Germans roll dice for 1 artillery, 1 fighter and 2 infantry in Archangel, round 2 : 2/4 hits, 1.33 expected hits
                Russians roll dice for 2 infantry in Archangel, round 2 : 1/2 hits, 0.67 expected hits
                2 infantry owned by the Russians and 1 infantry owned by the Germans lost in Archangel
            Germans win, taking Archangel from Russians with 1 artillery, 1 fighter and 1 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
            Casualties for Germans: 1 infantry
            Casualties for Russians: 2 infantry
        Battle in Belarus
            Germans attack with 1 fighter, 3 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber
            Russians defend with 2 infantry
                Germans roll dice for 1 fighter, 3 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber in Belarus, round 2 : 3/5 hits, 1.67 expected hits
                Russians roll dice for 2 infantry in Belarus, round 2 : 2/2 hits, 0.67 expected hits
                2 infantry owned by the Russians and 2 infantry owned by the Germans lost in Belarus
            Germans win, taking Belarus from Russians with 1 fighter, 1 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 0
            Casualties for Germans: 2 infantry
            Casualties for Russians: 2 infantry
        Cleaning up after air battles

    Non Combat Move - Germans
        1 bomber moved from Russia to Novgorod
        1 bomber moved from Russia to Kazakhstan
        3 fighters moved from Russia to Kazakhstan
        1 fighter moved from Archangel to Germany
        7 infantry moved from Poland to Eastern Poland
        3 armour and 4 mech_infantrys moved from Eastern Poland to Novgorod
        3 mech_infantrys moved from Poland to Novgorod
        1 armour and 4 mech_infantrys moved from Bessarabia to Eastern Poland
        1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Belarus to Novgorod
        1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Western Ukraine to Eastern Poland
        2 transports moved from 96 Sea Zone to 97 Sea Zone
        2 artilleries moved from Northern Italy to 97 Sea Zone
        2 artilleries and 2 transports moved from 97 Sea Zone to 98 Sea Zone
        1 battleship and 1 carrier moved from 96 Sea Zone to 98 Sea Zone
        2 artilleries moved from 98 Sea Zone to Alexandria
        1 fighter and 5 tactical_bombers moved from Holland Belgium to Western Germany
        2 fighters and 2 tactical_bombers moved from Western Germany to Alexandria
        1 submarine moved from 113 Sea Zone to 125 Sea Zone
        5 infantry moved from Germany to Slovakia Hungary

    Place Units - Germans
        2 infantry and 3 mech_infantrys placed in Western Germany
        10 infantry placed in Germany
        3 infantry placed in Novgorod

    Turn Complete - Germans
        Total Cost from Convoy Blockades: 2
            Rolling for Convoy Blockade Damage in 125 Sea Zone. Rolls: 4,4,2,4
        Germans collect 48 PUs (2 lost to blockades); end with 48 PUs
        Trigger Germans 5 Swedish Iron Ore: Germans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 53 PUs
        Objective Germans 7 Control of Balkans: Germans met a national objective for an additional 2 PUs; end with 55 PUs
        Objective Germans 2 Control Novgorod Or Volgograd Or Russia: Germans met a national objective for an additional 5 PUs; end with 60 PUs
        Turning on Edit Mode
        EDIT: Removing units owned by Germans from 37 Sea Zone: 1 submarine
        EDIT: Adding units owned by Germans to 35 Sea Zone: 1 submarine
        EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode

Combat Hit Differential Summary :

AA fire in Russia : : -0.33
Germans : 2.00
Americans : -0.33
Russians : 1.00

Savegame

[farmboy]

that is final. Sub is in 35

[Adam514]

TripleA Turn Summary: Russians round 20

TripleA Turn Summary for game: World War II Global 1940 Balanced Mod3, version: 3.4

Game History

Round: 20

    Purchase Units - Russians
        Russians repair damage of 10x factory_major; Remaining resources: 31 PUs; 
        Russians buy 3 armour, 1 fighter and 1 infantry; Remaining resources: 0 PUs; 

    Combat Move - Russians
        Trigger Russians Unrestricted Movement: Setting movementRestrictionTerritories cleared  for rulesAttachment attached to Russians
        1 artillery and 2 infantry moved from Bryansk to Belarus
        3 infantry moved from Smolensk to Archangel
        1 fighter moved from Russia to Archangel
        1 artillery and 3 infantry moved from Bryansk to Ukraine
        3 infantry moved from Bryansk to Western Ukraine
        1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Russia to Western Ukraine
        1 fighter moved from Russia to Ukraine
        1 infantry moved from Bryansk to Ukraine

    Combat - Russians
        Battle in Ukraine
            Russians attack with 1 artillery, 1 fighter and 4 infantry
            Germans defend with 2 armour, 1 factory_minor and 1 mech_infantry
                Russians roll dice for 1 artillery, 1 fighter and 4 infantry in Ukraine, round 2 : 1/6 hits, 1.67 expected hits
                Germans roll dice for 2 armour and 1 mech_infantry in Ukraine, round 2 : 3/3 hits, 1.33 expected hits
                3 infantry owned by the Russians and 1 mech_infantry owned by the Germans lost in Ukraine
                Russians roll dice for 1 artillery, 1 fighter and 1 infantry in Ukraine, round 3 : 2/3 hits, 1.17 expected hits
                Germans roll dice for 2 armour in Ukraine, round 3 : 0/2 hits, 1.00 expected hits
                2 armour owned by the Germans lost in Ukraine
            Russians win, taking Ukraine from Germans with 1 artillery, 1 fighter and 1 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 7
            Casualties for Russians: 3 infantry
            Casualties for Germans: 2 armour and 1 mech_infantry
        Battle in Western Ukraine
            Russians attack with 1 fighter, 3 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber
            Germans defend with 3 infantry
                Russians roll dice for 1 fighter, 3 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber in Western Ukraine, round 2 : 2/5 hits, 1.67 expected hits
                Germans roll dice for 3 infantry in Western Ukraine, round 2 : 0/3 hits, 1.00 expected hits
                2 infantry owned by the Germans lost in Western Ukraine
                Russians roll dice for 1 fighter, 3 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber in Western Ukraine, round 3 : 1/5 hits, 1.67 expected hits
                Germans roll dice for 1 infantry in Western Ukraine, round 3 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Germans lost in Western Ukraine
            Russians win, taking Western Ukraine from Germans with 1 fighter, 3 infantry and 1 tactical_bomber remaining. Battle score for attacker is 9
            Casualties for Germans: 3 infantry
        Battle in Archangel
            Russians attack with 1 fighter and 3 infantry
            Germans defend with 1 artillery and 1 infantry
                Russians roll dice for 1 fighter and 3 infantry in Archangel, round 2 : 2/4 hits, 1.00 expected hits
                Germans roll dice for 1 artillery and 1 infantry in Archangel, round 2 : 1/2 hits, 0.67 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Russians, 1 artillery owned by the Germans and 1 infantry owned by the Germans lost in Archangel
            Russians win, taking Archangel from Germans with 1 fighter and 2 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 4
            Casualties for Russians: 1 infantry
            Casualties for Germans: 1 artillery and 1 infantry
        Battle in Belarus
            Russians attack with 1 artillery and 2 infantry
            Germans defend with 1 infantry
                Russians roll dice for 1 artillery and 2 infantry in Belarus, round 2 : 2/3 hits, 0.83 expected hits
                Germans roll dice for 1 infantry in Belarus, round 2 : 0/1 hits, 0.33 expected hits
                1 infantry owned by the Germans lost in Belarus
            Russians win, taking Belarus from Germans with 1 artillery and 2 infantry remaining. Battle score for attacker is 3
            Casualties for Germans: 1 infantry

    Non Combat Move - Russians
        1 fighter and 1 tactical_bomber moved from Western Ukraine to Russia
        1 fighter moved from Ukraine to Russia
        1 fighter moved from Archangel to Russia
        1 infantry moved from Volgograd to Caucasus
        1 infantry moved from Samara to Volgograd
        3 artilleries and 5 infantry moved from Russia to Samara
        5 mech_infantrys moved from Russia to Samara
        1 aaGun moved from Russia to Bryansk
        1 infantry moved from Smolensk to Vologda
        5 infantry moved from Bryansk to Smolensk
        10 infantry moved from Bryansk to Smolensk
        1 artillery moved from Bryansk to Smolensk
        2 artilleries moved from Bryansk to Smolensk
        2 aaGuns and 12 infantry moved from Buryatia to Amur
        1 armour moved from Russia to Samara
        6 armour moved from Russia to Samara

    Place Units - Russians
        3 armour, 1 fighter and 1 infantry placed in Russia
        Turning on Edit Mode
        EDIT: Removing units owned by Russians from Russia: 1 armour
        EDIT: Adding units owned by Russians to Samara: 1 armour
        EDIT: Removing units owned by Russians from Samara: 1 mech_infantry
        EDIT: Adding units owned by Russians to Tambov: 1 mech_infantry
        EDIT: Removing units owned by Russians from Bryansk: 1 infantry
        EDIT: Adding units owned by Russians to Rostov: 1 infantry
        EDIT: Turning off Edit Mode

    Turn Complete - Russians
        Russians collect 30 PUs; end with 30 PUs
        Trigger Russians 7 Great Patriotic War: Russians met a national objective for an additional 3 PUs; end with 33 PUs
        Trigger Russians 2 Persia Lend Lease Lane: Russians met a national objective for an additional 2 PUs; end with 35 PUs
        Trigger Russians 5 Persia Lend Lease Lane War With Japan: Russians met a national objective for an additional 2 PUs; end with 37 PUs

Combat Hit Differential Summary :

Germans : -0.67
Russians : 2.00

Savegame

[farmboy]

I’m kicking myself for not adding another blocker to keep the US from landing in Guam. I misjudged the odds if you moved your fleet inwards without blockers. I think I was checking the fleet without scramble support and forgot to consider that too.

I moved the German sub to the Philippines thinking that is the most likely spot the Japan fleet will end up. With blockers on your stack in 54 I think I can have the odds in both Japan and Philippines although it would certainly be close. And at least the Philippines blocks you from setting up in the islands and probably permanently denying them to me. Although I imagine it means you get a foothold in Korea and would be hard to dislodge from 6 after. I also considered Paulau because it would put me in between your two fleets and threaten ANZAC and deny you the bonus, but it allows you to go north safely without blockers or south to secure an island with blockers. I also considered Hong Kong since it would mean at least one less blocker but it also seemed that you could certainly set up the fleet securely in the money islands if I did that. I didn’t think it would be a good move for me to simply build and wait in 6.

I’m also seriously considering attacking your fleet. My odds are about 45%. That obviously could effectively end the game if I lose badly (and maybe also if I win dramatically), but I’m not sure my odds are better than 45% in the game if I don’t. And even a narrow loss where you lose your carriers and comparable TUV might be okay for me?

Anyway I feel a bit out of my depth with this situation. After I make my move, one way or the other, I’d be curious how you would have handled this. Might get to it in the next hour. Otherwise it will likely be tomorrow.

[Adam514]

Guam wasn’t that obvious of a move for me, I was considering doing Philippines with some blockers even with Guam as an option. And you can’t block everything every time, even though blocking has generally been successful for you this game.

You can stack both Philippines sz and Japan sz?

[farmboy]

@Adam514

I can’t hold both sea zones but I can just barely get better than 50% odds on 35 and in Japan itself. One thing I have to now be careful about is that even with blockers for Japan, you could use the US air on Japan first and then land the ANZAC units. So I have to leave enough back in Japan to make that move unlikely.

[Adam514]

Yeah that was part of the Guam move. I calced it quickly and you should be able to do both, just can’t use the air for attacks this turn.

[farmboy]

quick question. When you leave land units on transports for a turn I know it means that on the subsequent turn, you are not committed to landing both in an amphibious attack. Does it also mean you can split them up in the landings so that one transport can allow landings on two locations?

[Adam514]

No, 1 tp can only unload in 1 territory.

[farmboy]

@Adam514 Thanks. I was pretty sure that was the case, but wanted to be sure.

[farmboy]

Sorry, another question. If I attack your fleet at 21 and we get to a point where you are down to BB and air and my surviving subs roll more than 2 hits do you lose the transports then or does it only happen after I have won the battle. I’m wondering if there is a situation where I can retreat surviving units but because of the subs still hit your transports.

[Adam514]

I’ll lose tp, but if you only have subs remaining vs tp and air, you aren’t supposed to be allowed to retreat since the air can’t hit you and there are only NC ships left.

I don’t see that happening though, if you change your OOL to keep subs I’ll change mine to keep DDs.

Off to sleep, take your time.