@a44bigdog:
So mojo on J2 ALL of Japan’s land units are now sitting in Manchuria. That is not exactly a bad thing for Russia. As a matter of fact it has just bought Russia some time to focus completely on Germany. In your example it will be J5 before a Japanese Infantry sets foot in Novosibirsk. That is plenty of time to allow the Allies time to start relieving Russia on the German front.
I agree that all of Japan’s land units in Manchuria is good for Russia, particularly when thinking of India.
Losing 6 Russian infantry for 3-5 Jap infantry tops, though, is bad for Russia. First, there’s nothing to oppose Japan’s advance unless you’ve sent out even more infantry. Second, those Russian infantry would have been valuable at the western front against Germany.
Japan often doesn’t see serious pushing in Asia until J3 anyways, as fighters return from Pearl. Unless Germany and Japan are doing some serious tank dashing, and given a competent Russia player, Japan should not have seen a take and hold of Novosibirsk by J3-4 anyways. J5 Novosibirsk is inconvenient, but given the price paid in Russian blood, acceptable.
All in all, as Japan, I would rather kill 6 infantry early at favorable odds, than have to deal with 6 more infantry potentially used as fodder with fighters and tanks backing up the punch, or an infantry stack sitting on Novosibirsk as I approach Moscow. Russia receives one infantry in compensation for taking Manchuria but loses 6; Japan loses 3-4 infantry but the Japanese infantry push backed up by 4-5 transports is strong.