• Germany has a choice when it comes to Navy…

    Go heavy, or surrender the seas…


  • @ncscswitch:

    Germany has a choice when it comes to Navy…

    Go heavy, or surrender the seas…

    The only time I can see otherwise is if Germany gets a bid of 8 and adds a tpt in the baltic
    then buying a tpt on G1 is worth while.


  • If I get 8 IPC as Germany, the TRN will be in SZ14, or perhaps a SUB in SZ8…


  • If I get 8 IPC as Germany, the TRN will be in SZ14, or perhaps a SUB in SZ8…

    I remember trying that lol. It was really funny to see Germany sailing into the heart of Africa along the west coast, and also Germany sinking the UK bb/tran + Russian sub in the other case lmao. It wasn’t terribly advantageous in the long run though in my experience, but I didn’t try it often enough to feel conclusive about it.


  • @ncscswitch:

    If I get 8 IPC as Germany, the TRN will be in SZ14, or perhaps a SUB in SZ8…

    I will not take axis for less than 8 ipc, the tripleA ladder rules says 9.
    With 9 ipc it’s about 50-50 win/loss.
    I guess most ppl play with axis bid down, I estimate axis bid below 6 means axis must be better player(s),
    if then axis players manage to win games with any bid substantially below the 8-9 range.


  • Thanks Lucifer.  I must be a pretty good player then… I win 2 out of 3 games, and almost every game has been a bid of 8 or less (one as low as 4) :-D


  • @ncscswitch:

    If I get 8 IPC as Germany, the TRN will be in SZ14, or perhaps a SUB in SZ8…

    I used to think that too, until someone put the tpt in sz5 on me and I hated what it made me do for Russia round 1.

    With 2 sz5 tpts, UK can be lost on G1.  I am not too happy giving Germany a 42% chance of taking out London.

    Russia must take out Norway to kill a ftr and/or put 1 ftr in London.


  • There are other, BETTER, ways to prevent a G2 Sea Lion than either Norway or a Russian FIG to London; even against a MASSIVE number of German TRNs in SZ5.


  • Someone tried the sealion against me a few weeks ago, with 5 trans G1.
    It’s not difficult to counter if you have calculated this scenario before.
    Sealion didn’t happen this time, I lost because of other reasons, but this made me think
    about possibillities that I didn’t know existed before that game.
    I made several errors which helped me lose the game because I had not thought about what do if……?
    I guess now I would be happy (as allies) if G bought 5 trans, 5 trans G1 will help Russia more than Germany.


  • 5 TRN G1 are 10 INF and 2 TANK less for Germany
    Sealion with 5 TRN is 10 Less infantry for Germany.
    20 if LESS and 2 TANK Less on G2 is German ready to be assailed by Russia (alone!)

    Then 5 TRN in G1 means Germany being assailed by Russia…. mmmm I dislike 5 TRN in G1! :-D

  • '18 '17 '16 '11 Moderator

    I had someone bid 8 IPC for a submarine in SZ 8 on me before.  I solved that problem by taking Norway with Russia on R1.  End of threat to the British fleet.  Havn’t worked out the odds on if I was really lucky or not, but it’s possible to solve their bid and neutralize their effectiveness.

    Anyway, the transport in SZ 14 is a favorite of mine.  3 Infantry in Ukraine as well, since it all but forces Russia to leave you with fighters. (Momma loves fighters!  And rockets, but fighters too!)

    To be realistic, however, I think Germany should be happy if they get two units for Libya/Ukraine which is to say, about a 6 or 7 IPC bid.  At least against opponents on this board.

    If you are playing people at AAMC, you can realistically expect to win bids (FIDA) of 18-22 IPC on a pretty regular basis.


  • @ncscswitch:

    There are other, BETTER, ways to prevent a G2 Sea Lion than either Norway or a Russian FIG to London; even against a MASSIVE number of German TRNs in SZ5.

    who said G2?

    I said Germanys FIRST turn


  • I dislike setting up my board to have the game determined by a dice roll on G1 that has a 38% chance of clearing London


  • @ncscswitch:

    I dislike setting up my board to have the game determined by a dice roll on G1 that has a 38% chance of clearing London

    OK

    What are you talking about?
    Please put into context.


  • @ncscswitch:

    I dislike setting up my board to have the game determined by a dice roll on G1 that has a 38% chance of clearing London

    It’s 16% for sealion victory with lowluck.
    32% with reg dice.


  • If the AA gun doesn’t get any hits, it’s 32% with lowluck, and 45%-46% with reg dice….    :mrgreen:
    How bout some short games???  :-D :lol: 8-)


  • And if you lose the gamble, you end up with Germany pretty much toast.

  • '18 '17 '16 '11 Moderator

    Not to mention America’s gunna liberate England and Geramny’s still pretty much toast.


  • If Germany fails in sealion, then Germany is dead. Usually, and granted that G got all ftrs killed in the attempt.
    But if Germany takes london and 30 ipc from UK, then there’s no hope for allies.

    We might start a discussion on weather allies can recover, even when US can recapture London.
    I don’t think 1 out 10 times is an interesting debate. Maybe the number is 1 out of 50 times, that allies can win if sealion succeds.

    1. G gets 30 ipc, + 8 for London.
    2. UK cant buy for one turn. UK lose 2 rnds because if this.
    3. Nearly all UK ground units in Northern Europe are killed. 
    4. US lose 1 rnd in Europe to take back London.
    5. Depending on how big fleet G has, either with sealion G1 or G2, US+UK needs to stack London
      to prevent two sealion’s in the same game…. 
    6. Fill in plz.

    I really don’t se the problem if G place an 8 bid trans in Baltic.
    If G attempts sealion, then you win about 70% of the those games.
    That is if sealion G1. G2, that’s another story.


  • @Lucifer:

    If G attempts sealion, then you win about 70% of the those games.
    That is if sealion G1. G2, that’s another story.

    My dice sim says 42% chance of taking UK.

    And I don’t think Germany is TOAST if they fail on a sea lion G1

    What have they lost if they fail?

    Germany trades 2 inf, 2 tanks for 2 inf, art, tank
    They traded 2 ftrs and a bomber for 2 ftrs and a bomber

    If things go really bad, they can always w/d and save a plane or two or three….

    You people are pretty cavalier about losing your capital.
    Capital loss is punished pretty hard in A&A (some say too hard)

    We should discuss (perhaps another thread) G1 Sea lion …
    what happens if it fails
    what happens if it succeeds.

    As Germany, depending on how well/poorly Russia did attacking Germany, I would/would not attack London.

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