@Chris_Henry:
Great topic and thread. I’ll preface by saying I have not yet had the opportunity to play my game just yet, work gets in the way, and having someplace to keep the awesome, hulking map, set up for extended periods of time alludes us.
I’ve done my best to familiarize myself with the game and rules though.
Point here as it relates to this topic, is that the Spanish Civil War really does play into this strategy a lot as well when you think of it. If the goal for Italy/Mediterranean Axis is Gibraltar, doesn’t making sure the Nationalists win the Spanish Civil War take on a whole great importance? As you say in your original post, the amphibious attacking is brutally costly. Activation and alignment of an Axis Spain though would alleviate the need for an amphibious assault on the Rock.
I’m sure that has not alluded you or anyone else here, that’s not my point. The point was that when discussing Italian objectives being Gibraltar, I think you need to add the Spanish Civil War into the wider spectrum of steps to attaining that goal.
That just adds to the fun and intrigue of the game for me. Thinking that one thing, maybe seemingly not connected to an action, truly is in the grander scheme of strategy!
I’ve been thinking about what you wrote Chris_Henry, and I think you pose a really good thought!
From the Italian perspective, the Nationalists should win the Spanish Civil War. But, should the Nationalists win the Civil War before Germany is at war with the Soviets, or win postpone winning it until after.
If Nationalists win the CW before Barbarossa begins; Spain is secure from Allied invasion, barring Allied payment of a decent penalty. If Spain is relatively secure from invasion: any attack on Gibraltar must be with a deadly Amphibious Assault.
If the Nationalists win the CW after Barbarossa begins; they Align to Germany, and now there are three different territories in which Allies can put a foothold, and therefore the Axis must protect to greater or lesser degree.
One foothold, Leon-Castille is the best American foothold in Europe. Leon-Castille is within reach of American Naval Transports, and as a cherry on top, it also has a Port, that means it becomes the primary shuttle point to drop off American troops into Europe. From Washington & New York to Leon-Castille. The Atlantic Railway.
From Leon-Castille the Allies can go south into the plains of Extremadura, from there to Gibraltar without amphibious assaults, from there…well…anywhere.
From Leon-Castille the Allies can go east to Asturia-Vasconia and then into France.
Its such a tempting target for the Allies that if the Italian Operation Key manages to fortify in Gibraltar, then it is almost worth it for the Americans to to declare war against Nationalist Spain, pay the penalty, and invade.
Neutral Nationalist Spain is weak and cannot stop the Americans invading.
Axis Nationalist Spain, with its Madrid Factory and leftovers from the CW, has just enough time to fortify itself a little. It also gives 2 additional IPP to Germany.
It depends on the mentality of the Allies, will they pay a penalty of cash, or a penalty of blood. The Atlantic Railway, against an Axis Spain or Neutral Spain, or the Normandy Landing.