hehe…good point cc,
however, if you do the math you’ll find the odds are really really close (meaning potentially worth it) at several key points with PE games. Since the outcome of larger battles is then likely defined by the actual first round or two of combat and the standard deviation from those is quite wide…it becomes do you wanna stay and fight to hold Karelia and take the risk the enemy doesn’t attack or not? The odds are that close and it occurs for both the Russkies and the Germans, and in both Karelia & Russia. This is what differentiates the PE game.
In ‘normal’ games the odds are almost always in the Allied favour in Europe and the Germans are forced into an early defensive shell. This playout lets them dictate the tempo early and force those serious considerations backed by the odds far earlier and in different ways than in normal playout. Just add 6-7 Germans at setup and run the odds for an all-out gang rush at Karelia on G1…as the Russians and knowing these odds…what are you going to do? Almost anything that Russia does/doesn’t do on R1 becomes risky…whereas the standard stack of Karelia usually has little risk. And what then if Germany does an armour heavy buy on G1? Chances are you will have to give serious consideration to vacating Karelia on R1 or R2. Or what if Germany actually runs Stalingrad 43…do you actually hit Caucusus? Do you risk disaster? But if you don’t then how do you hold both Moscow and Karelia against a G2 attack? Gee, should you even buy the standard 8 Inf on R1 or is it better/necessary to build 3/3 on R1 as you might need the counter-attack punch? With the odds much different than standard play…you better be careful. The point here is that the playout/odds are different in Europe early and those odds are really close…which means that you need to test it out in a few games to get the flavour and then establish your risk tolerance for potentially early game winning/losing battles with very dicey odds (pun intended). It’s just an alternative to standard playout.





